Prediction 2125
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation set 1 for RO using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 19.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.93 | 11.15 | 36.39 | 58.37 | 67.01 | 71.32 |
| 2022-10-16 | 21.67 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 3.66 | 12.56 | 38.66 | 63.86 | 73.81 | 78.79 |
| 2022-10-23 | 21.57 | 0.00 | 0.41 | 3.73 | 12.34 | 40.54 | 70.10 | 81.90 | 87.80 |
| 2022-10-30 | 19.08 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 3.00 | 10.45 | 39.05 | 73.08 | 86.74 | 93.58 |
| 2022-11-06 | 19.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.53 | 10.45 | 41.16 | 80.00 | 95.61 | 103.42 |
| 2022-11-13 | 22.03 | 1.64 | 2.65 | 4.69 | 10.82 | 48.22 | 94.20 | 112.57 | 121.75 |
| 2022-11-20 | 26.66 | 3.41 | 4.61 | 7.00 | 14.04 | 58.03 | 113.23 | 135.73 | 146.99 |
| 2022-11-27 | 31.31 | 4.27 | 5.81 | 8.88 | 17.14 | 66.86 | 130.07 | 155.88 | 168.79 |
| 2022-12-04 | 36.33 | 6.42 | 8.01 | 11.20 | 20.06 | 77.76 | 150.15 | 179.79 | 194.61 |
| 2022-12-11 | 41.36 | 8.05 | 9.49 | 12.36 | 21.20 | 87.24 | 167.91 | 201.31 | 218.01 |
| 2022-12-18 | 44.18 | 6.26 | 7.89 | 11.16 | 21.28 | 95.06 | 182.43 | 217.80 | 235.49 |
| 2022-12-25 | 48.65 | 6.58 | 8.45 | 12.19 | 23.63 | 105.71 | 204.10 | 244.06 | 264.03 |
| 2023-01-01 | 54.12 | 6.50 | 8.69 | 13.09 | 26.24 | 118.05 | 224.90 | 267.97 | 289.51 |
| 2023-01-08 | 55.07 | 3.67 | 6.04 | 10.79 | 25.52 | 124.26 | 237.67 | 282.58 | 305.04 |
| 2023-01-15 | 57.21 | 0.98 | 3.52 | 8.60 | 24.36 | 131.49 | 253.82 | 302.57 | 326.95 |
| 2023-01-22 | 60.41 | 0.00 | 2.48 | 7.86 | 24.28 | 141.56 | 269.83 | 320.66 | 346.07 |
| 2023-01-29 | 70.86 | 1.34 | 4.40 | 10.52 | 29.18 | 157.39 | 288.59 | 340.40 | 366.30 |
| 2023-02-05 | 81.46 | 3.65 | 6.93 | 13.50 | 34.08 | 171.34 | 307.56 | 361.67 | 388.73 |
| 2023-02-12 | 86.17 | 1.58 | 5.33 | 12.83 | 35.80 | 182.93 | 327.37 | 384.34 | 412.83 |
| 2023-02-19 | 85.40 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 9.08 | 32.30 | 187.48 | 337.27 | 396.21 | 425.68 |
| 2023-02-26 | 83.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.40 | 31.32 | 187.77 | 337.66 | 396.47 | 425.87 |
| 2023-03-05 | 83.54 | 0.00 | 1.83 | 9.00 | 32.00 | 186.43 | 334.82 | 393.15 | 422.32 |
| 2023-03-12 | 78.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.32 | 29.87 | 178.79 | 325.26 | 382.92 | 411.76 |
| 2023-03-19 | 70.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.09 | 24.00 | 166.84 | 309.51 | 365.50 | 393.50 |
| 2023-03-26 | 69.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.17 | 25.30 | 162.62 | 305.00 | 361.14 | 389.20 |
| 2023-04-02 | 69.65 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.29 | 27.56 | 157.79 | 295.05 | 349.17 | 376.24 |
| 2023-04-09 | 67.62 | 0.60 | 3.73 | 10.00 | 29.00 | 149.80 | 281.52 | 333.91 | 360.10 |
| 2023-04-16 | 59.06 | 0.23 | 2.98 | 8.48 | 25.06 | 135.59 | 257.35 | 305.51 | 329.60 |
| 2023-04-23 | 54.11 | 0.01 | 2.83 | 8.48 | 24.33 | 126.40 | 243.91 | 290.49 | 313.78 |
| 2023-04-30 | 47.43 | 1.01 | 3.39 | 8.15 | 21.72 | 115.86 | 223.70 | 266.23 | 287.49 |
| 2023-05-07 | 43.66 | 1.76 | 4.00 | 8.49 | 21.25 | 106.10 | 207.71 | 247.99 | 268.13 |
| 2023-05-14 | 40.73 | 1.31 | 3.61 | 8.20 | 20.60 | 97.51 | 193.75 | 231.97 | 251.08 |
| 2023-05-21 | 36.78 | 2.50 | 4.54 | 8.60 | 19.81 | 87.77 | 173.70 | 207.58 | 224.52 |
| 2023-05-28 | 37.47 | 3.25 | 5.43 | 9.79 | 21.40 | 83.24 | 160.92 | 191.36 | 206.58 |
| 2023-06-04 | 38.22 | 3.10 | 5.44 | 10.12 | 22.29 | 80.19 | 147.94 | 174.66 | 188.03 |
| 2023-06-11 | 39.24 | 4.08 | 6.34 | 10.85 | 22.83 | 77.53 | 139.03 | 163.17 | 175.24 |
| 2023-06-18 | 37.77 | 3.20 | 5.52 | 10.17 | 22.86 | 72.64 | 127.32 | 148.81 | 159.55 |
| 2023-06-25 | 34.34 | 0.00 | 1.85 | 6.94 | 20.27 | 62.78 | 108.47 | 126.37 | 135.32 |
| 2023-07-02 | 30.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.89 | 17.90 | 55.98 | 95.75 | 111.17 | 118.88 |
| 2023-07-09 | 27.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.19 | 15.05 | 47.11 | 82.28 | 96.54 | 103.68 |
| 2023-07-16 | 28.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.14 | 16.03 | 44.66 | 73.53 | 85.35 | 91.26 |
| 2023-07-23 | 27.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.45 | 15.11 | 42.59 | 66.80 | 76.68 | 81.62 |
| 2023-07-30 | 26.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.51 | 41.39 | 61.88 | 70.34 | 74.57 |
| 2023-08-06 | 22.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.33 | 36.43 | 53.48 | 60.41 | 63.87 |
| 2023-08-13 | 20.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.19 | 30.94 | 45.27 | 51.50 | 54.61 |
| 2023-08-20 | 18.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.17 | 26.02 | 38.52 | 44.01 | 46.75 |
| 2023-08-27 | 13.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.18 | 20.19 | 30.34 | 34.79 | 37.01 |
| 2023-09-03 | 10.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 17.63 | 29.56 | 34.54 | 37.03 |
| 2023-09-10 | 11.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.25 | 18.48 | 32.32 | 38.45 | 41.52 |
| 2023-09-17 | 5.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.89 | 18.38 | 20.35 | 21.34 |
| 2023-09-24 | 5.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.93 | 18.79 | 21.33 | 22.59 |
| 2023-10-01 | 5.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.32 | 18.70 | 20.97 | 22.11 |
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