Prediction 2125

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation set 1 for RO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 19.69 0.00 0.00 2.93 11.15 36.39 58.37 67.01 71.32
2022-10-16 21.67 0.00 0.13 3.66 12.56 38.66 63.86 73.81 78.79
2022-10-23 21.57 0.00 0.41 3.73 12.34 40.54 70.10 81.90 87.80
2022-10-30 19.08 0.00 0.10 3.00 10.45 39.05 73.08 86.74 93.58
2022-11-06 19.90 0.00 0.00 2.53 10.45 41.16 80.00 95.61 103.42
2022-11-13 22.03 1.64 2.65 4.69 10.82 48.22 94.20 112.57 121.75
2022-11-20 26.66 3.41 4.61 7.00 14.04 58.03 113.23 135.73 146.99
2022-11-27 31.31 4.27 5.81 8.88 17.14 66.86 130.07 155.88 168.79
2022-12-04 36.33 6.42 8.01 11.20 20.06 77.76 150.15 179.79 194.61
2022-12-11 41.36 8.05 9.49 12.36 21.20 87.24 167.91 201.31 218.01
2022-12-18 44.18 6.26 7.89 11.16 21.28 95.06 182.43 217.80 235.49
2022-12-25 48.65 6.58 8.45 12.19 23.63 105.71 204.10 244.06 264.03
2023-01-01 54.12 6.50 8.69 13.09 26.24 118.05 224.90 267.97 289.51
2023-01-08 55.07 3.67 6.04 10.79 25.52 124.26 237.67 282.58 305.04
2023-01-15 57.21 0.98 3.52 8.60 24.36 131.49 253.82 302.57 326.95
2023-01-22 60.41 0.00 2.48 7.86 24.28 141.56 269.83 320.66 346.07
2023-01-29 70.86 1.34 4.40 10.52 29.18 157.39 288.59 340.40 366.30
2023-02-05 81.46 3.65 6.93 13.50 34.08 171.34 307.56 361.67 388.73
2023-02-12 86.17 1.58 5.33 12.83 35.80 182.93 327.37 384.34 412.83
2023-02-19 85.40 0.00 1.56 9.08 32.30 187.48 337.27 396.21 425.68
2023-02-26 83.97 0.00 0.00 7.40 31.32 187.77 337.66 396.47 425.87
2023-03-05 83.54 0.00 1.83 9.00 32.00 186.43 334.82 393.15 422.32
2023-03-12 78.20 0.00 0.00 7.32 29.87 178.79 325.26 382.92 411.76
2023-03-19 70.71 0.00 0.00 4.09 24.00 166.84 309.51 365.50 393.50
2023-03-26 69.60 0.00 0.00 6.17 25.30 162.62 305.00 361.14 389.20
2023-04-02 69.65 0.00 2.00 8.29 27.56 157.79 295.05 349.17 376.24
2023-04-09 67.62 0.60 3.73 10.00 29.00 149.80 281.52 333.91 360.10
2023-04-16 59.06 0.23 2.98 8.48 25.06 135.59 257.35 305.51 329.60
2023-04-23 54.11 0.01 2.83 8.48 24.33 126.40 243.91 290.49 313.78
2023-04-30 47.43 1.01 3.39 8.15 21.72 115.86 223.70 266.23 287.49
2023-05-07 43.66 1.76 4.00 8.49 21.25 106.10 207.71 247.99 268.13
2023-05-14 40.73 1.31 3.61 8.20 20.60 97.51 193.75 231.97 251.08
2023-05-21 36.78 2.50 4.54 8.60 19.81 87.77 173.70 207.58 224.52
2023-05-28 37.47 3.25 5.43 9.79 21.40 83.24 160.92 191.36 206.58
2023-06-04 38.22 3.10 5.44 10.12 22.29 80.19 147.94 174.66 188.03
2023-06-11 39.24 4.08 6.34 10.85 22.83 77.53 139.03 163.17 175.24
2023-06-18 37.77 3.20 5.52 10.17 22.86 72.64 127.32 148.81 159.55
2023-06-25 34.34 0.00 1.85 6.94 20.27 62.78 108.47 126.37 135.32
2023-07-02 30.98 0.00 0.00 4.89 17.90 55.98 95.75 111.17 118.88
2023-07-09 27.39 0.00 0.00 3.19 15.05 47.11 82.28 96.54 103.68
2023-07-16 28.09 0.00 0.00 3.14 16.03 44.66 73.53 85.35 91.26
2023-07-23 27.38 0.00 0.00 1.45 15.11 42.59 66.80 76.68 81.62
2023-07-30 26.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.51 41.39 61.88 70.34 74.57
2023-08-06 22.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.33 36.43 53.48 60.41 63.87
2023-08-13 20.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.19 30.94 45.27 51.50 54.61
2023-08-20 18.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.17 26.02 38.52 44.01 46.75
2023-08-27 13.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.18 20.19 30.34 34.79 37.01
2023-09-03 10.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.39 17.63 29.56 34.54 37.03
2023-09-10 11.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25 18.48 32.32 38.45 41.52
2023-09-17 5.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.89 18.38 20.35 21.34
2023-09-24 5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.93 18.79 21.33 22.59
2023-10-01 5.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.32 18.70 20.97 22.11
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