Prediction 2127

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation set 1 for SC using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 46.46 119.70 147.68 161.67
2022-10-16 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 54.93 122.71 147.98 160.62
2022-10-23 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 47.80 119.45 147.39 161.37
2022-10-30 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 38.49 99.23 121.90 133.24
2022-11-06 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 24.88 82.33 104.12 115.01
2022-11-13 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 25.68 90.27 114.49 126.61
2022-11-20 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 28.70 101.51 130.55 145.07
2022-11-27 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 29.62 104.28 134.55 149.68
2022-12-04 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 31.12 118.51 155.15 173.47
2022-12-11 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 37.82 128.76 168.08 187.74
2022-12-18 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 38.64 134.11 173.61 193.36
2022-12-25 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 52.71 161.94 207.39 230.12
2023-01-01 0.68 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 67.35 187.83 237.37 262.14
2023-01-08 16.61 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 88.44 213.54 262.76 287.38
2023-01-15 16.15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 97.96 239.92 297.12 325.72
2023-01-22 21.54 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 124.69 280.05 341.57 372.33
2023-01-29 12.86 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 129.71 289.88 352.94 384.47
2023-02-05 4.41 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 128.47 304.08 374.77 410.12
2023-02-12 15.22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 157.05 371.69 457.43 500.30
2023-02-19 41.11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 204.98 440.15 533.08 579.55
2023-02-26 54.20 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 240.84 483.36 577.94 625.23
2023-03-05 80.22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 280.80 540.75 641.83 692.37
2023-03-12 81.35 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 299.30 579.33 689.54 744.64
2023-03-19 78.90 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 303.42 584.04 692.93 747.37
2023-03-26 86.23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 318.32 617.24 733.42 791.51
2023-04-02 134.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.80 368.47 676.52 797.23 857.59
2023-04-09 163.61 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.26 392.63 705.74 830.09 892.27
2023-04-16 163.76 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.63 401.34 705.45 824.06 883.37
2023-04-23 154.74 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.88 394.48 706.96 830.52 892.29
2023-04-30 128.71 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.58 363.63 649.83 760.72 816.16
2023-05-07 109.18 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.96 315.45 590.44 698.36 752.33
2023-05-14 100.45 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.06 281.69 535.83 636.70 687.13
2023-05-21 68.12 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.43 218.35 437.58 523.85 566.98
2023-05-28 61.83 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.37 186.41 365.13 434.01 468.46
2023-06-04 45.19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.90 148.82 284.31 337.03 363.39
2023-06-11 35.11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 115.31 228.40 273.65 296.28
2023-06-18 26.89 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 89.74 171.84 205.22 221.91
2023-06-25 35.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.20 74.04 134.46 159.08 171.38
2023-07-02 24.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 48.35 94.22 113.34 122.90
2023-07-09 15.13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 29.25 67.92 85.32 94.02
2023-07-16 8.91 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 17.14 36.08 44.99 49.44
2023-07-23 4.49 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 11.54 36.27 48.42 54.50
2023-07-30 4.94 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 12.85 37.75 50.10 56.27
2023-08-06 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 2.94 15.66 21.84 24.93
2023-08-13 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023-08-20 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 5.87 7.41 7.67 7.80
2023-08-27 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023-09-03 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023-09-10 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023-09-17 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 22.17 32.64 37.88
2023-09-24 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 13.85 23.58 28.45
2023-10-01 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 13.77 21.51 25.38
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