Prediction 2128

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation set 1 for AL using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 169.35 55.98 62.74 76.27 115.51 269.03 399.01 449.68 475.02
2022-10-16 143.68 45.08 51.22 63.50 97.50 226.54 346.10 393.63 417.40
2022-10-23 123.62 38.50 44.46 56.39 87.87 197.13 304.74 347.81 369.34
2022-10-30 113.96 33.68 39.54 51.27 83.26 175.31 265.97 301.90 319.86
2022-11-06 99.15 20.72 26.54 38.18 69.28 148.89 220.24 247.60 261.28
2022-11-13 86.08 11.78 17.54 29.06 59.31 131.25 196.99 222.43 235.15
2022-11-20 79.45 7.42 12.48 22.58 50.11 118.00 177.00 200.09 211.63
2022-11-27 70.28 3.21 8.11 17.91 42.98 103.28 161.26 185.27 197.28
2022-12-04 62.68 0.00 0.00 8.91 34.53 91.56 141.91 163.10 173.70
2022-12-11 55.96 0.00 0.00 7.63 30.67 83.36 129.22 149.05 158.97
2022-12-18 57.28 0.00 0.37 7.60 29.39 82.83 127.44 146.35 155.81
2022-12-25 55.31 0.00 0.00 3.91 26.39 85.48 134.67 156.58 167.53
2023-01-01 52.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.67 89.60 142.46 165.08 176.39
2023-01-08 53.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.60 91.80 148.84 171.72 183.16
2023-01-15 52.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.62 92.54 157.52 184.36 197.78
2023-01-22 50.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.37 95.15 163.65 191.30 205.13
2023-01-29 48.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.89 95.05 162.46 189.22 202.60
2023-02-05 52.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.17 93.29 164.65 193.44 207.83
2023-02-12 48.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.70 90.96 169.38 202.08 218.43
2023-02-19 49.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.46 98.28 180.97 214.26 230.91
2023-02-26 55.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.24 103.04 183.61 215.94 232.10
2023-03-05 57.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.12 106.59 191.22 225.73 242.99
2023-03-12 68.48 0.00 0.00 8.79 37.03 125.48 220.94 260.30 279.97
2023-03-19 81.17 1.80 6.94 17.20 44.82 144.20 250.24 292.57 313.73
2023-03-26 85.35 3.96 8.82 18.55 46.63 157.86 277.34 324.16 347.57
2023-04-02 83.07 2.76 7.44 16.79 43.46 164.34 293.57 344.08 369.33
2023-04-09 82.09 0.00 1.02 10.76 39.28 166.06 311.17 369.62 398.85
2023-04-16 87.60 2.49 6.84 15.54 42.53 181.18 324.25 381.58 410.25
2023-04-23 97.38 4.61 9.23 18.47 47.20 198.96 350.53 409.86 439.53
2023-04-30 102.22 0.00 4.27 15.25 47.59 207.41 359.67 419.29 449.11
2023-05-07 99.96 1.96 6.93 16.86 47.62 205.88 364.86 427.35 458.60
2023-05-14 101.91 0.48 5.71 16.17 46.15 208.09 368.23 430.97 462.34
2023-05-21 91.40 0.00 0.00 9.81 41.15 193.06 350.28 410.91 441.22
2023-05-28 92.79 7.61 11.51 19.30 42.22 193.35 345.80 405.12 434.78
2023-06-04 102.94 17.53 21.21 28.56 51.24 207.86 356.13 414.68 443.96
2023-06-11 105.28 19.98 23.22 29.71 50.57 210.91 360.33 418.09 446.98
2023-06-18 106.68 17.15 20.87 28.31 51.94 211.77 363.69 423.32 453.14
2023-06-25 112.22 8.91 14.45 25.52 56.21 215.50 367.18 425.47 454.62
2023-07-02 110.98 11.51 17.01 28.01 58.83 212.73 361.06 417.26 445.36
2023-07-09 109.72 10.63 16.31 27.65 61.12 197.95 338.60 393.90 421.54
2023-07-16 98.66 6.95 12.06 22.27 53.46 175.38 299.88 349.49 374.30
2023-07-23 99.47 0.36 6.71 19.42 54.94 174.67 290.80 337.73 361.20
2023-07-30 107.03 1.43 8.17 21.65 59.78 171.52 279.79 324.55 346.94
2023-08-06 102.79 5.26 11.41 23.71 58.54 160.92 242.47 274.88 291.08
2023-08-13 92.45 2.59 8.90 21.51 56.32 137.28 207.54 237.27 252.13
2023-08-20 93.19 3.31 9.92 23.12 59.20 128.33 189.50 216.06 229.35
2023-08-27 89.93 1.73 8.45 21.89 56.56 118.44 165.87 184.64 194.02
2023-09-03 83.78 0.00 5.97 18.25 53.48 105.03 142.26 157.44 165.02
2023-09-10 66.97 0.00 0.00 8.31 39.32 81.52 116.55 132.08 139.85
2023-09-17 54.27 14.22 16.38 20.70 33.92 79.93 105.72 114.93 119.53
2023-09-24 48.48 11.87 13.66 17.25 28.23 71.49 94.51 102.70 106.80
2023-10-01 40.74 4.99 7.22 11.70 23.32 61.10 82.01 89.59 93.38
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