Prediction 2129

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation set 1 for AC using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 26.61 12.56 13.45 15.25 19.86 46.24 71.37 80.93 85.72
2022-10-16 29.60 16.17 16.92 18.41 22.30 53.00 87.60 101.16 107.94
2022-10-23 32.50 18.29 18.98 20.38 24.19 62.71 106.12 123.12 131.62
2022-10-30 36.54 19.90 20.56 21.90 25.74 74.04 125.63 145.42 155.31
2022-11-06 43.01 19.66 20.63 22.59 28.60 84.86 145.81 169.44 181.25
2022-11-13 51.06 19.75 20.72 22.68 29.25 101.56 173.97 201.91 215.88
2022-11-20 52.10 15.26 16.49 18.96 27.50 112.56 196.45 229.31 245.73
2022-11-27 52.51 7.51 9.26 12.78 23.66 123.40 218.79 255.98 274.57
2022-12-04 65.84 7.95 10.37 15.21 30.30 148.26 253.84 295.10 315.73
2022-12-11 85.17 13.40 16.32 22.18 40.59 173.76 285.82 329.58 351.46
2022-12-18 96.08 15.47 18.76 25.35 46.37 188.74 303.74 347.88 369.95
2022-12-25 103.78 14.29 18.23 26.11 50.40 202.16 327.24 375.48 399.60
2023-01-01 108.54 13.84 18.17 26.83 53.45 213.68 342.72 391.85 416.41
2023-01-08 110.27 12.14 16.72 25.87 53.99 220.31 353.70 403.55 428.47
2023-01-15 109.98 10.78 15.28 24.27 52.08 223.55 363.29 416.36 442.89
2023-01-22 107.05 10.30 14.55 23.05 49.25 219.99 358.36 410.76 436.96
2023-01-29 120.02 16.82 21.46 30.75 59.27 232.48 368.45 420.05 445.84
2023-02-05 121.84 18.15 22.91 32.43 61.15 230.24 361.83 412.24 437.45
2023-02-12 109.54 13.81 17.96 26.25 52.28 216.16 343.17 391.03 414.96
2023-02-19 98.47 8.43 12.04 19.27 42.55 199.51 321.00 367.11 390.17
2023-02-26 89.90 7.67 11.23 18.36 40.55 184.76 300.51 344.44 366.41
2023-03-05 85.63 13.84 16.85 22.87 42.62 173.31 282.80 324.29 345.03
2023-03-12 77.47 14.41 17.28 23.01 40.67 155.81 255.62 293.54 312.50
2023-03-19 65.15 13.27 15.66 20.42 34.68 134.91 226.66 261.48 278.90
2023-03-26 56.48 13.98 16.06 20.23 31.85 117.22 202.95 236.25 252.89
2023-04-02 49.79 16.78 18.50 21.93 31.68 102.51 181.07 211.91 227.32
2023-04-09 45.43 19.52 21.04 24.10 32.64 89.94 160.84 188.71 202.65
2023-04-16 39.85 20.27 21.58 24.20 30.91 78.65 141.81 166.43 178.74
2023-04-23 36.87 17.48 19.14 22.47 30.41 69.77 128.47 151.95 163.69
2023-04-30 35.71 18.50 20.13 23.38 30.97 64.85 113.36 132.41 141.94
2023-05-07 35.01 16.55 18.29 21.79 29.60 60.56 105.10 122.75 131.58
2023-05-14 28.60 10.23 11.92 15.31 23.32 51.46 93.67 110.51 118.93
2023-05-21 29.70 8.12 9.97 13.69 22.52 51.16 86.21 99.64 106.35
2023-05-28 33.17 8.81 10.80 14.80 24.75 53.16 85.30 97.33 103.34
2023-06-04 31.45 6.67 8.65 12.61 22.53 50.50 76.71 86.64 91.61
2023-06-11 31.76 6.72 8.71 12.68 22.60 48.35 71.38 80.10 84.45
2023-06-18 31.31 2.94 5.28 9.95 21.56 46.26 65.58 72.55 76.04
2023-06-25 30.85 2.80 5.15 9.86 21.53 43.25 59.01 64.77 67.65
2023-07-02 30.04 2.95 5.13 9.48 20.49 41.78 54.76 59.39 61.71
2023-07-09 26.64 2.91 4.86 8.78 18.53 32.92 41.05 44.15 45.71
2023-07-16 28.00 4.14 6.14 10.15 20.54 33.36 37.51 39.18 40.01
2023-07-23 28.19 0.00 2.17 6.79 18.66 32.89 34.23 34.65 34.86
2023-07-30 28.60 0.00 0.00 4.50 16.66 35.51 36.19 36.47 36.61
2023-08-06 28.08 0.00 0.00 3.65 15.48 34.19 34.85 35.14 35.28
2023-08-13 26.02 0.00 0.00 3.17 15.29 30.57 31.14 31.26 31.33
2023-08-20 24.93 0.00 0.00 3.58 14.72 28.14 29.18 29.57 29.77
2023-08-27 24.96 0.00 0.27 4.71 16.41 29.07 30.72 31.29 31.58
2023-09-03 26.80 0.79 2.91 7.14 18.28 35.72 43.30 46.06 47.44
2023-09-10 29.44 0.27 2.66 7.43 19.76 40.74 56.40 62.80 66.00
2023-09-17 20.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.68 34.94 49.02 54.66 57.48
2023-09-24 24.48 0.59 2.02 4.87 13.16 38.75 52.86 57.88 60.38
2023-10-01 27.67 4.09 5.52 8.37 16.70 42.22 58.97 65.45 68.69
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