Prediction 2130

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation set 1 for PA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 45.09 14.39 16.43 20.52 31.75 60.64 84.26 93.65 98.34
2022-10-16 42.83 13.80 15.59 19.16 29.40 58.54 83.98 94.33 99.50
2022-10-23 43.19 15.55 17.18 20.44 29.74 59.59 86.79 97.80 103.30
2022-10-30 44.33 20.64 21.96 24.59 32.23 61.73 93.17 106.14 112.62
2022-11-06 43.26 20.75 22.02 24.56 31.94 62.00 97.31 111.93 119.24
2022-11-13 42.48 21.20 22.14 24.01 29.94 64.78 104.74 121.03 129.17
2022-11-20 44.06 23.18 24.11 25.97 31.89 69.68 116.74 136.19 145.92
2022-11-27 48.55 22.99 24.33 27.00 34.54 78.05 133.20 156.04 167.46
2022-12-04 52.31 23.50 24.93 27.78 36.27 88.48 153.85 180.82 194.30
2022-12-11 56.97 22.36 23.83 26.78 36.13 101.30 175.61 206.22 221.53
2022-12-18 64.42 22.12 23.90 27.45 38.60 116.83 200.40 233.95 250.73
2022-12-25 73.30 23.47 25.58 29.81 43.30 133.97 230.51 269.30 288.69
2023-01-01 88.24 23.23 26.31 32.47 51.45 157.67 263.14 305.17 326.19
2023-01-08 106.13 25.39 29.42 37.49 62.24 185.40 302.03 347.67 370.49
2023-01-15 127.29 28.18 33.42 43.90 75.11 214.81 343.17 393.70 418.96
2023-01-22 135.48 26.81 32.32 43.35 76.71 233.49 369.95 423.06 449.61
2023-01-29 170.49 30.32 37.87 52.98 97.75 280.96 427.05 483.78 512.15
2023-02-05 186.61 30.79 39.11 55.76 105.12 303.42 455.77 515.00 544.61
2023-02-12 179.12 30.13 37.96 53.62 100.13 295.54 447.66 506.76 536.31
2023-02-19 166.42 30.28 37.11 50.78 92.25 279.33 431.86 490.98 520.54
2023-02-26 167.23 33.56 40.28 53.73 94.81 279.93 431.07 489.73 519.06
2023-03-05 170.08 35.43 42.44 56.45 98.65 281.33 428.77 486.15 514.84
2023-03-12 155.12 33.69 39.79 52.00 89.15 261.06 401.30 455.66 482.85
2023-03-19 145.66 36.36 41.42 51.55 83.07 243.14 376.84 428.99 455.07
2023-03-26 140.00 35.24 40.10 49.81 79.96 231.89 359.40 409.25 434.18
2023-04-02 125.93 28.61 33.01 41.80 69.57 211.23 330.96 378.09 401.65
2023-04-09 117.50 27.37 31.62 40.14 66.52 196.44 307.72 351.59 373.52
2023-04-16 111.04 31.32 34.89 42.01 65.09 182.43 283.15 322.91 342.80
2023-04-23 100.58 28.29 31.83 38.91 60.41 163.77 258.23 295.75 314.52
2023-04-30 88.74 26.66 29.72 35.85 54.38 146.12 231.18 264.94 281.82
2023-05-07 85.12 28.97 31.70 37.14 53.82 135.18 212.59 243.56 259.04
2023-05-14 81.40 28.95 31.67 37.11 53.35 126.44 198.52 227.55 242.06
2023-05-21 75.96 28.83 31.36 36.42 51.30 116.62 180.53 205.98 218.71
2023-05-28 67.82 26.12 28.32 32.71 45.72 103.85 161.49 184.33 195.75
2023-06-04 60.44 23.78 25.67 29.45 40.51 92.56 143.65 164.01 174.20
2023-06-11 54.44 22.24 24.03 27.61 37.89 82.34 127.53 145.39 154.31
2023-06-18 51.25 20.01 21.93 25.75 36.64 75.76 116.80 133.13 141.29
2023-06-25 48.20 17.00 18.87 22.61 33.33 68.81 103.94 117.98 125.00
2023-07-02 47.53 15.91 17.85 21.71 32.58 65.65 97.12 109.61 115.85
2023-07-09 46.54 17.92 19.72 23.32 33.43 59.33 86.95 98.45 104.20
2023-07-16 41.63 12.01 14.07 18.18 29.61 53.45 77.41 87.49 92.52
2023-07-23 36.76 6.98 8.86 12.64 23.40 48.00 69.43 78.25 82.66
2023-07-30 40.45 9.28 11.34 15.47 27.09 50.55 67.82 75.15 78.81
2023-08-06 41.07 11.84 13.83 17.82 29.04 48.54 61.46 66.97 69.73
2023-08-13 35.34 6.29 8.37 12.51 24.10 41.21 53.25 58.64 61.33
2023-08-20 31.03 0.47 2.60 6.87 18.62 36.53 48.36 53.57 56.17
2023-08-27 31.85 1.55 3.67 7.91 19.72 37.36 46.10 49.89 51.78
2023-09-03 31.97 3.42 5.51 9.70 21.32 37.62 47.43 51.60 53.69
2023-09-10 30.28 0.47 2.68 7.10 19.32 35.65 46.18 50.83 53.16
2023-09-17 24.60 11.32 12.12 13.73 18.23 30.43 35.75 37.82 38.86
2023-09-24 22.45 9.24 10.10 11.82 16.37 28.92 35.07 37.40 38.56
2023-10-01 20.55 7.97 8.78 10.39 14.87 26.60 31.63 33.42 34.32
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