Prediction 2132
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation set 2 for SC using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 63.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 207.73 | 366.42 | 421.58 | 449.17 |
| 2023-10-15 | 6.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.16 | 286.80 | 373.27 | 416.51 |
| 2023-10-22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.93 | 388.46 | 536.64 | 610.73 |
| 2023-10-29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.14 | 532.94 | 731.87 | 831.33 |
| 2023-11-05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.46 | 604.56 | 839.98 | 957.69 |
| 2023-11-12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 166.51 | 818.13 | 1099.83 | 1240.68 |
| 2023-11-19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.06 | 916.53 | 1264.36 | 1438.27 |
| 2023-11-26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.67 | 1079.26 | 1560.48 | 1801.09 |
| 2023-12-03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.10 | 1162.31 | 1694.83 | 1961.09 |
| 2023-12-10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 126.65 | 1253.26 | 1759.74 | 2012.99 |
| 2023-12-17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 158.17 | 1515.52 | 2129.62 | 2436.68 |
| 2023-12-24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.80 | 1889.11 | 2626.11 | 2994.61 |
| 2023-12-31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 382.90 | 2224.81 | 3035.43 | 3440.73 |
| 2024-01-07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 549.66 | 2587.35 | 3470.59 | 3912.21 |
| 2024-01-14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 748.36 | 2922.77 | 3855.61 | 4322.03 |
| 2024-01-21 | 40.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1008.89 | 3594.81 | 4685.53 | 5230.89 |
| 2024-01-28 | 226.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1433.13 | 4207.69 | 5364.20 | 5942.45 |
| 2024-02-04 | 380.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1835.96 | 4907.58 | 6170.42 | 6801.84 |
| 2024-02-11 | 566.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2306.33 | 5649.90 | 6999.62 | 7674.47 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1226.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 172.39 | 3420.45 | 7168.99 | 8681.05 | 9437.08 |
| 2024-02-25 | 2227.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 775.86 | 4836.91 | 8849.96 | 10457.49 | 11261.26 |
| 2024-03-03 | 3350.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 241.41 | 1448.14 | 6269.59 | 10676.00 | 12438.52 | 13319.78 |
| 2024-03-10 | 4329.35 | 0.00 | 179.12 | 649.01 | 2047.46 | 7609.71 | 12183.08 | 13989.41 | 14892.57 |
| 2024-03-17 | 5713.39 | 261.48 | 587.10 | 1238.34 | 3082.08 | 9190.08 | 13982.94 | 15857.33 | 16794.52 |
| 2024-03-24 | 6660.98 | 730.82 | 1074.96 | 1763.26 | 3738.41 | 10488.57 | 15685.77 | 17715.32 | 18730.10 |
| 2024-03-31 | 7955.38 | 1477.24 | 1850.96 | 2598.39 | 4761.29 | 12206.38 | 17648.46 | 19747.99 | 20797.75 |
| 2024-04-07 | 9294.10 | 1793.80 | 2261.20 | 3195.99 | 5811.16 | 13800.52 | 19447.33 | 21636.78 | 22731.51 |
| 2024-04-14 | 9994.78 | 2069.86 | 2562.36 | 3547.36 | 6328.35 | 14668.28 | 20580.00 | 22870.16 | 24015.24 |
| 2024-04-21 | 9980.07 | 2184.58 | 2644.10 | 3563.16 | 6185.60 | 14797.69 | 20628.96 | 22876.68 | 24000.54 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9586.70 | 1643.28 | 2113.67 | 3054.45 | 5754.64 | 14395.60 | 20195.24 | 22417.79 | 23529.07 |
| 2024-05-05 | 8529.93 | 980.54 | 1411.73 | 2274.13 | 4809.52 | 13239.22 | 18629.10 | 20681.17 | 21707.20 |
| 2024-05-12 | 7319.57 | 788.49 | 1146.23 | 1861.73 | 4006.78 | 11416.62 | 16464.18 | 18406.51 | 19377.67 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5792.00 | 387.15 | 704.30 | 1338.60 | 3168.07 | 9324.27 | 13832.39 | 15590.62 | 16469.74 |
| 2024-05-26 | 4096.49 | 0.00 | 212.48 | 651.54 | 1970.96 | 7043.71 | 10906.11 | 12417.99 | 13173.93 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2615.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 138.97 | 961.62 | 5149.22 | 8422.13 | 9685.64 | 10317.39 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1936.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 164.28 | 723.90 | 4091.33 | 6854.78 | 7932.84 | 8471.86 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1525.66 | 258.22 | 293.55 | 364.21 | 644.31 | 3215.70 | 5479.23 | 6361.57 | 6802.74 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1013.99 | 239.96 | 261.73 | 305.28 | 468.30 | 2381.80 | 4332.17 | 5107.13 | 5494.62 |
| 2024-06-30 | 673.32 | 184.90 | 190.16 | 200.68 | 268.49 | 1787.25 | 3511.62 | 4191.79 | 4531.87 |
| 2024-07-07 | 531.48 | 179.53 | 180.99 | 183.92 | 225.87 | 1520.31 | 3055.18 | 3664.33 | 3968.91 |
| 2024-07-14 | 397.20 | 160.96 | 161.79 | 163.46 | 183.45 | 1149.30 | 2526.77 | 3085.69 | 3365.15 |
| 2024-07-21 | 311.84 | 114.16 | 116.68 | 121.71 | 146.33 | 1009.51 | 2421.87 | 2989.59 | 3273.45 |
| 2024-07-28 | 168.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | 897.46 | 2223.46 | 2737.53 | 2994.56 |
| 2024-08-04 | 120.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 834.45 | 2110.95 | 2616.61 | 2869.44 |
| 2024-08-11 | 145.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 767.57 | 1793.11 | 2199.46 | 2402.64 |
| 2024-08-18 | 176.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 704.94 | 1686.27 | 2073.97 | 2267.82 |
| 2024-08-25 | 36.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 422.08 | 1414.92 | 1832.13 | 2040.74 |
| 2024-09-01 | 33.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 399.68 | 1385.05 | 1813.14 | 2027.19 |
| 2024-09-08 | 248.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.46 | 546.09 | 1506.52 | 1925.85 | 2135.51 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 446.75 | 990.11 | 1209.45 | 1319.11 |
| 2024-09-22 | 80.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 439.33 | 902.04 | 1083.12 | 1173.66 |
| 2024-09-29 | 104.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 492.59 | 827.12 | 944.45 | 1003.12 |
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