Prediction 2133

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation set 2 for RR using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.50 5.57 9.40 10.85 11.58
2023-10-15 2.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.36 5.43 9.34 10.87 11.64
2023-10-22 2.87 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.40 5.64 9.52 11.00 11.74
2023-10-29 2.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.50 5.83 9.58 10.96 11.66
2023-11-05 2.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36 5.36 8.77 10.08 10.73
2023-11-12 2.97 0.00 0.00 0.12 1.53 5.61 8.89 10.12 10.73
2023-11-19 2.96 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.54 5.39 8.24 9.36 9.92
2023-11-26 2.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.36 5.31 8.17 9.27 9.82
2023-12-03 2.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.22 4.82 7.79 8.94 9.51
2023-12-10 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.13 1.46 5.02 8.20 9.46 10.09
2023-12-17 2.83 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.48 4.91 7.95 9.17 9.78
2023-12-24 2.85 0.00 0.00 0.14 1.55 5.22 8.26 9.42 10.01
2023-12-31 2.89 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.61 5.34 8.64 9.89 10.51
2024-01-07 3.13 0.00 0.06 0.51 1.76 5.65 8.72 9.85 10.41
2024-01-14 2.84 0.00 0.11 0.52 1.67 5.47 8.82 10.06 10.69
2024-01-21 2.72 0.00 0.00 0.29 1.47 5.38 8.98 10.33 11.00
2024-01-28 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.14 1.23 5.15 8.85 10.23 10.91
2024-02-04 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.45 5.62 9.77 11.40 12.21
2024-02-11 2.77 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.40 5.67 9.89 11.55 12.38
2024-02-18 2.84 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.40 5.93 10.21 11.87 12.70
2024-02-25 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.12 5.35 9.84 11.58 12.45
2024-03-03 2.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.16 5.65 10.44 12.32 13.25
2024-03-10 2.71 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.26 5.93 10.95 12.91 13.89
2024-03-17 2.97 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.37 6.47 11.84 13.95 15.01
2024-03-24 2.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.24 6.06 11.88 14.21 15.38
2024-03-31 2.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 6.23 12.00 14.29 15.44
2024-04-07 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 5.93 11.81 14.18 15.36
2024-04-14 2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.22 6.04 12.19 14.71 15.97
2024-04-21 3.08 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.37 6.54 12.56 15.02 16.25
2024-04-28 3.41 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.60 7.09 13.19 15.67 16.91
2024-05-05 3.31 0.00 0.00 0.13 1.67 6.85 13.09 15.58 16.83
2024-05-12 3.52 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.65 7.17 13.65 16.30 17.63
2024-05-19 3.26 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.48 6.93 13.40 16.01 17.32
2024-05-26 3.62 0.00 0.08 0.56 1.89 7.53 14.33 17.04 18.39
2024-06-02 3.73 0.00 0.18 0.66 1.97 7.55 14.03 16.62 17.92
2024-06-09 3.68 0.00 0.09 0.56 1.86 7.42 13.96 16.60 17.92
2024-06-16 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.98 7.55 14.11 16.79 18.13
2024-06-23 4.11 0.04 0.30 0.82 2.24 7.99 14.79 17.55 18.92
2024-06-30 3.98 0.00 0.24 0.79 2.25 7.82 14.82 17.64 19.05
2024-07-07 3.74 0.00 0.00 0.53 2.05 7.57 14.35 17.05 18.40
2024-07-14 3.41 0.00 0.00 0.15 1.60 7.25 13.88 16.56 17.89
2024-07-21 3.97 0.00 0.00 0.32 1.92 7.98 14.95 17.76 19.16
2024-07-28 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.89 8.15 15.23 18.08 19.50
2024-08-04 4.10 0.00 0.00 0.27 1.89 8.24 15.48 18.43 19.91
2024-08-11 4.06 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.87 8.39 15.49 18.37 19.81
2024-08-18 4.60 0.00 0.00 0.50 2.09 9.15 16.72 19.78 21.31
2024-08-25 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.38 2.01 9.22 17.02 20.17 21.75
2024-09-01 4.94 0.00 0.00 0.55 2.32 9.70 17.19 20.19 21.69
2024-09-08 5.10 0.00 0.00 0.43 2.36 9.75 17.26 20.27 21.77
2024-09-15 4.23 0.00 0.00 0.32 1.75 8.69 14.63 16.99 18.16
2024-09-22 4.07 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.60 8.31 14.14 16.35 17.46
2024-09-29 3.92 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.58 8.02 13.65 15.73 16.77
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