Prediction 2134

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation set 2 for MA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 20.53 5.09 6.13 8.22 13.82 29.12 42.59 48.00 50.70
2023-10-15 19.66 3.45 4.44 6.40 12.12 28.30 41.44 46.70 49.33
2023-10-22 20.14 4.73 5.64 7.46 12.75 29.08 43.26 49.02 51.89
2023-10-29 21.16 6.43 7.37 9.24 14.35 30.74 46.34 52.65 55.80
2023-11-05 19.75 6.91 7.61 8.99 13.18 28.60 44.10 50.51 53.72
2023-11-12 17.28 6.84 7.33 8.32 11.51 27.28 44.73 51.92 55.51
2023-11-19 16.77 6.83 7.39 8.49 11.86 26.76 45.35 53.17 57.08
2023-11-26 16.94 7.43 8.06 9.32 12.61 26.92 48.22 57.29 61.82
2023-12-03 16.83 8.75 9.27 10.31 13.17 27.42 52.29 62.78 68.02
2023-12-10 16.53 9.55 9.83 10.40 12.22 29.63 58.77 71.15 77.35
2023-12-17 18.79 9.56 9.92 10.65 12.78 35.11 68.75 82.91 89.98
2023-12-24 21.57 10.79 11.20 12.02 14.70 42.05 81.34 97.49 105.56
2023-12-31 24.31 10.20 10.75 11.84 15.39 48.09 93.23 111.69 120.92
2024-01-07 27.85 9.51 10.19 11.54 16.19 55.97 105.91 126.00 136.04
2024-01-14 31.35 9.11 10.05 11.92 17.75 64.88 121.01 143.45 154.67
2024-01-21 37.21 10.30 11.34 13.42 19.83 75.05 137.45 162.38 174.84
2024-01-28 43.95 12.71 13.79 15.95 23.52 85.83 151.75 177.80 190.82
2024-02-04 52.80 14.82 16.38 19.50 29.53 99.67 170.39 198.45 212.48
2024-02-11 55.73 14.50 16.10 19.32 29.91 105.34 179.33 208.70 223.39
2024-02-18 54.95 12.07 13.65 16.82 27.14 108.22 185.04 215.60 230.88
2024-02-25 56.12 11.58 13.25 16.61 27.33 110.38 188.13 218.83 234.17
2024-03-03 58.72 10.98 12.84 16.54 28.47 113.73 192.82 224.02 239.61
2024-03-10 57.75 9.92 11.85 15.73 28.20 112.55 190.51 221.28 236.66
2024-03-17 57.34 9.58 11.41 15.08 27.21 110.83 188.34 218.89 234.16
2024-03-24 57.52 9.58 11.51 15.36 27.55 110.44 189.68 221.05 236.73
2024-03-31 58.89 9.81 11.71 15.49 28.03 111.05 187.52 217.56 232.58
2024-04-07 57.52 13.15 14.82 18.15 29.34 107.67 181.78 211.18 225.88
2024-04-14 55.07 13.37 14.89 17.91 28.25 100.72 171.66 200.14 214.37
2024-04-21 49.11 11.47 12.95 15.91 25.25 93.44 160.14 186.71 200.00
2024-04-28 42.59 10.11 11.24 13.48 21.03 85.35 150.18 176.08 189.02
2024-05-05 39.75 10.60 11.61 13.63 20.62 78.78 139.79 164.14 176.31
2024-05-12 39.40 11.87 12.90 14.95 21.74 75.40 133.29 156.59 168.24
2024-05-19 37.85 13.14 14.11 16.05 22.36 71.09 124.68 146.18 156.93
2024-05-26 36.43 14.30 15.09 16.67 22.20 68.21 119.59 140.17 150.46
2024-06-02 35.96 13.54 14.47 16.35 22.16 65.29 112.99 132.05 141.58
2024-06-09 33.58 12.85 13.73 15.49 20.98 60.12 103.79 121.45 130.27
2024-06-16 30.41 10.76 11.68 13.50 19.00 53.88 94.31 110.81 119.05
2024-06-23 29.99 11.07 11.96 13.73 19.06 51.80 89.50 104.81 112.47
2024-06-30 29.59 11.71 12.53 14.17 19.40 49.61 85.99 100.77 108.17
2024-07-07 27.15 10.69 11.54 13.23 18.25 45.25 78.71 92.32 99.12
2024-07-14 25.85 9.22 10.11 11.90 17.21 41.57 71.61 84.06 90.29
2024-07-21 26.52 9.32 10.32 12.31 18.03 42.16 72.01 84.28 90.42
2024-07-28 25.12 7.81 8.80 10.78 16.31 39.86 67.12 78.28 83.86
2024-08-04 21.95 5.33 6.24 8.07 13.45 35.03 59.94 70.40 75.63
2024-08-11 19.39 3.55 4.45 6.25 11.74 30.35 51.45 60.48 64.99
2024-08-18 21.05 3.81 4.73 6.57 12.22 30.30 49.15 57.20 61.22
2024-08-25 21.22 3.30 4.28 6.24 12.41 29.98 47.96 55.81 59.73
2024-09-01 21.98 3.38 4.39 6.42 12.62 29.91 47.63 55.47 59.39
2024-09-08 22.75 0.71 2.07 4.78 12.60 30.18 47.49 55.24 59.11
2024-09-15 17.62 4.05 4.83 6.39 10.91 26.19 36.48 40.58 42.63
2024-09-22 16.02 3.36 4.14 5.71 10.10 26.14 35.89 39.63 41.50
2024-09-29 16.21 3.30 4.06 5.60 9.94 25.46 35.27 38.90 40.72
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