Prediction 2135
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation set 2 for PR using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 37.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 149.13 | 308.96 | 371.74 | 403.13 |
| 2023-10-15 | 71.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.15 | 181.04 | 339.25 | 402.66 | 434.36 |
| 2023-10-22 | 94.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.02 | 202.94 | 361.62 | 424.39 | 455.77 |
| 2023-10-29 | 82.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 204.69 | 369.56 | 433.77 | 465.88 |
| 2023-11-05 | 64.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 176.38 | 319.66 | 377.92 | 407.06 |
| 2023-11-12 | 54.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | 177.62 | 357.97 | 429.84 | 465.78 |
| 2023-11-19 | 83.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.72 | 206.00 | 400.46 | 481.48 | 521.99 |
| 2023-11-26 | 110.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.45 | 254.38 | 475.33 | 565.32 | 610.32 |
| 2023-12-03 | 136.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.42 | 91.14 | 304.43 | 582.18 | 694.69 | 750.94 |
| 2023-12-10 | 159.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.45 | 86.11 | 347.48 | 666.20 | 798.50 | 864.65 |
| 2023-12-17 | 153.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.96 | 368.17 | 710.99 | 852.53 | 923.30 |
| 2023-12-24 | 199.41 | 9.37 | 21.97 | 47.16 | 115.85 | 457.27 | 842.96 | 996.36 | 1073.06 |
| 2023-12-31 | 269.07 | 69.63 | 84.20 | 113.33 | 190.44 | 531.09 | 968.77 | 1143.44 | 1230.78 |
| 2024-01-07 | 326.69 | 98.70 | 115.66 | 149.58 | 235.78 | 597.94 | 1025.87 | 1194.75 | 1279.19 |
| 2024-01-14 | 325.37 | 77.07 | 94.52 | 129.43 | 219.74 | 632.30 | 1098.58 | 1282.99 | 1375.19 |
| 2024-01-21 | 336.40 | 63.53 | 80.96 | 115.82 | 204.68 | 685.01 | 1209.39 | 1414.22 | 1516.63 |
| 2024-01-28 | 349.73 | 64.00 | 79.25 | 109.74 | 196.00 | 738.73 | 1299.82 | 1517.50 | 1626.34 |
| 2024-02-04 | 378.46 | 40.31 | 60.56 | 101.06 | 210.85 | 827.57 | 1455.76 | 1705.88 | 1830.93 |
| 2024-02-11 | 438.06 | 12.20 | 36.06 | 83.78 | 219.36 | 943.46 | 1653.07 | 1932.75 | 2072.59 |
| 2024-02-18 | 541.69 | 5.84 | 33.79 | 89.69 | 247.83 | 1129.79 | 1883.49 | 2180.97 | 2329.72 |
| 2024-02-25 | 631.99 | 22.60 | 54.72 | 118.97 | 297.99 | 1258.63 | 2050.61 | 2359.50 | 2513.95 |
| 2024-03-03 | 743.67 | 53.18 | 85.89 | 151.32 | 349.07 | 1415.77 | 2267.81 | 2599.71 | 2765.66 |
| 2024-03-10 | 765.96 | 3.21 | 40.82 | 116.05 | 338.53 | 1485.47 | 2369.11 | 2713.31 | 2885.42 |
| 2024-03-17 | 791.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.48 | 313.38 | 1531.75 | 2439.77 | 2792.69 | 2969.15 |
| 2024-03-24 | 851.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.51 | 336.51 | 1643.48 | 2629.26 | 3014.52 | 3207.14 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1011.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 103.75 | 423.22 | 1840.71 | 2818.51 | 3193.36 | 3380.79 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1079.81 | 0.00 | 46.55 | 153.28 | 477.55 | 1905.43 | 2875.37 | 3253.05 | 3441.90 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1079.90 | 0.00 | 22.88 | 133.46 | 468.29 | 1874.55 | 2837.52 | 3217.12 | 3406.91 |
| 2024-04-21 | 995.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.98 | 411.94 | 1786.72 | 2731.35 | 3104.93 | 3291.72 |
| 2024-04-28 | 902.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.71 | 375.48 | 1653.22 | 2551.01 | 2904.96 | 3081.93 |
| 2024-05-05 | 817.31 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 93.31 | 367.64 | 1482.40 | 2296.04 | 2613.81 | 2772.69 |
| 2024-05-12 | 710.12 | 0.00 | 12.57 | 93.72 | 329.30 | 1298.09 | 2071.49 | 2380.86 | 2535.55 |
| 2024-05-19 | 588.05 | 0.00 | 10.94 | 77.46 | 273.77 | 1094.86 | 1759.71 | 2023.82 | 2155.88 |
| 2024-05-26 | 545.05 | 6.93 | 36.09 | 94.40 | 269.46 | 991.15 | 1602.43 | 1846.34 | 1968.29 |
| 2024-06-02 | 471.46 | 0.00 | 7.65 | 64.50 | 223.78 | 861.79 | 1365.41 | 1563.24 | 1662.15 |
| 2024-06-09 | 418.14 | 6.78 | 31.89 | 82.10 | 219.63 | 734.24 | 1160.66 | 1333.85 | 1420.44 |
| 2024-06-16 | 361.22 | 15.79 | 38.51 | 83.96 | 208.95 | 586.37 | 912.01 | 1047.40 | 1115.09 |
| 2024-06-23 | 336.18 | 19.31 | 41.07 | 84.58 | 207.09 | 503.49 | 756.00 | 863.77 | 917.65 |
| 2024-06-30 | 283.11 | 0.00 | 5.39 | 51.80 | 176.19 | 401.44 | 624.76 | 719.52 | 766.89 |
| 2024-07-07 | 225.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.06 | 137.85 | 320.28 | 490.81 | 564.89 | 601.93 |
| 2024-07-14 | 210.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.53 | 123.47 | 262.89 | 391.35 | 451.82 | 482.06 |
| 2024-07-21 | 198.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.04 | 121.75 | 233.30 | 365.36 | 429.43 | 461.47 |
| 2024-07-28 | 175.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.43 | 217.05 | 334.76 | 388.56 | 415.46 |
| 2024-08-04 | 150.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.63 | 172.57 | 248.60 | 285.87 | 304.50 |
| 2024-08-11 | 94.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.18 | 102.08 | 118.92 | 126.45 | 130.21 |
| 2024-08-18 | 96.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.12 | 115.37 | 123.38 | 125.48 | 126.53 |
| 2024-08-25 | 59.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.90 | 94.24 | 95.36 | 95.92 |
| 2024-09-01 | 58.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.40 | 86.89 | 94.81 | 95.11 | 95.26 |
| 2024-09-08 | 70.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.70 | 96.33 | 112.95 | 115.69 | 117.06 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.64 | 211.48 | 256.81 | 279.48 |
| 2024-09-22 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 127.73 | 222.69 | 255.87 | 272.46 |
| 2024-09-29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.72 | 228.68 | 263.02 | 280.19 |
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