Prediction 2136

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation set 2 for RJ using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 67.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.69 159.32 287.24 336.42 361.01
2023-10-15 74.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.04 156.12 277.41 325.71 349.86
2023-10-22 74.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.62 155.06 271.02 316.29 338.93
2023-10-29 56.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.83 139.60 246.74 287.58 308.00
2023-11-05 62.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.89 131.90 225.74 263.79 282.81
2023-11-12 46.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.07 124.23 224.93 264.48 284.26
2023-11-19 63.67 0.00 0.00 1.66 42.33 128.48 221.62 260.79 280.37
2023-11-26 82.18 0.00 5.82 25.71 70.25 144.23 245.94 289.13 310.73
2023-12-03 66.43 0.00 4.51 21.11 59.82 123.46 252.22 306.77 334.04
2023-12-10 82.65 0.00 1.00 16.48 56.75 160.30 313.73 379.43 412.28
2023-12-17 117.47 0.00 5.86 22.47 65.35 218.01 399.66 476.86 515.46
2023-12-24 134.19 14.35 22.84 39.81 84.82 266.40 478.97 565.80 609.21
2023-12-31 158.79 32.02 41.38 60.10 109.12 297.37 545.07 645.79 696.15
2024-01-07 203.67 49.04 58.99 78.90 133.66 355.76 613.50 716.59 768.13
2024-01-14 209.35 49.07 59.58 80.60 137.64 385.26 681.38 800.34 859.82
2024-01-21 232.32 54.70 65.78 87.92 145.30 434.82 774.05 908.79 976.16
2024-01-28 259.11 88.06 95.76 111.17 159.82 495.68 861.06 1003.88 1075.29
2024-02-04 264.48 74.30 85.14 106.83 167.72 538.61 949.88 1114.58 1196.93
2024-02-11 311.36 71.69 85.13 112.01 189.75 613.08 1056.54 1233.72 1322.31
2024-02-18 408.05 98.75 113.88 144.15 234.52 753.60 1230.16 1421.53 1517.21
2024-02-25 451.54 100.86 118.12 152.63 253.63 821.09 1316.16 1510.53 1607.72
2024-03-03 497.10 89.88 109.64 149.16 267.86 899.20 1434.85 1645.44 1750.74
2024-03-10 535.64 85.52 107.39 151.12 282.15 967.98 1510.22 1720.76 1826.03
2024-03-17 577.60 75.90 99.37 146.32 290.50 1024.14 1583.66 1801.47 1910.37
2024-03-24 580.30 55.50 80.82 131.45 280.37 1048.77 1656.36 1894.55 2013.65
2024-03-31 599.47 46.33 71.73 122.51 280.41 1073.06 1677.37 1910.47 2027.01
2024-04-07 594.27 63.56 88.15 137.32 288.71 1067.01 1661.83 1895.43 2012.22
2024-04-14 598.61 49.51 75.18 126.51 284.37 1048.29 1636.03 1869.58 1986.35
2024-04-21 577.13 46.93 71.48 120.58 271.06 1035.29 1619.31 1851.31 1967.32
2024-04-28 480.97 20.27 40.81 81.87 209.14 918.13 1471.82 1691.64 1801.55
2024-05-05 425.77 27.56 46.53 84.47 201.04 809.34 1308.28 1503.38 1600.92
2024-05-12 418.70 44.70 64.21 103.25 216.60 773.71 1260.63 1455.98 1553.65
2024-05-19 359.63 48.67 64.16 95.12 188.75 679.55 1109.76 1280.46 1365.80
2024-05-26 353.79 56.72 70.61 98.40 186.79 653.67 1066.95 1231.06 1313.11
2024-06-02 359.49 39.67 56.35 89.72 186.59 623.46 987.24 1131.49 1203.61
2024-06-09 324.78 44.94 60.72 92.28 180.87 549.36 862.79 989.96 1053.55
2024-06-16 281.10 24.65 41.50 75.19 166.68 446.64 709.48 818.08 872.38
2024-06-23 268.30 20.15 36.26 68.49 159.55 401.57 636.33 733.88 782.66
2024-06-30 214.39 0.00 6.89 40.01 128.75 313.73 516.96 602.08 644.64
2024-07-07 179.31 0.00 0.00 28.79 113.83 256.76 417.09 485.28 519.38
2024-07-14 172.55 0.00 0.00 30.50 111.60 221.92 345.85 401.21 428.89
2024-07-21 140.47 0.00 0.00 16.27 92.93 174.48 300.31 357.17 385.60
2024-07-28 125.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.85 151.16 247.40 290.75 312.43
2024-08-04 148.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.02 157.48 225.80 259.02 275.63
2024-08-11 107.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.93 117.87 122.61 123.30 123.64
2024-08-18 96.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.83 114.99 121.29 124.11 125.52
2024-08-25 90.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.89 109.94 119.39 122.39 123.89
2024-09-01 95.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.65 113.28 120.39 123.07 124.41
2024-09-08 68.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.32 91.51 104.58 108.98 111.18
2024-09-15 12.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.13 146.84 170.47 182.28
2024-09-22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.41 98.96 116.01 124.54
2024-09-29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.05 104.52 120.62 128.66
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