Prediction 2137

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation set 2 for BA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 129.13 16.80 26.45 45.74 94.40 155.29 243.76 282.57 301.98
2023-10-15 118.77 1.75 12.05 32.64 85.07 139.54 240.95 285.83 308.27
2023-10-22 108.85 8.03 16.80 34.33 79.77 134.04 239.29 285.68 308.88
2023-10-29 132.86 26.04 36.11 56.24 105.69 159.54 290.90 349.14 378.25
2023-11-05 153.74 46.92 57.24 77.88 130.41 171.94 312.80 376.03 407.65
2023-11-12 133.94 31.21 40.10 57.87 102.99 176.57 366.59 450.52 492.48
2023-11-19 134.38 17.96 27.44 46.41 97.93 190.32 415.45 514.33 563.77
2023-11-26 167.20 41.77 51.99 72.45 123.16 243.35 527.50 653.18 716.03
2023-12-03 179.07 42.62 52.99 73.72 128.04 279.85 613.51 759.08 831.87
2023-12-10 180.39 54.70 63.51 81.13 126.91 314.50 695.89 859.39 941.14
2023-12-17 192.32 76.87 83.29 96.14 132.46 348.97 796.35 987.16 1082.57
2023-12-24 227.46 93.31 100.65 115.34 155.57 434.14 950.92 1168.05 1276.61
2023-12-31 268.20 76.00 85.59 104.75 162.17 522.39 1105.17 1348.52 1470.20
2024-01-07 331.22 78.53 91.39 117.12 193.82 639.58 1278.39 1540.15 1671.03
2024-01-14 423.95 113.34 129.89 162.99 257.63 789.15 1483.93 1767.17 1908.79
2024-01-21 511.70 144.62 163.24 200.48 309.45 925.27 1688.42 1996.40 2150.38
2024-01-28 587.49 149.66 170.35 211.73 340.98 1057.41 1867.14 2191.69 2353.96
2024-02-04 723.11 168.73 196.74 252.75 423.78 1246.11 2092.67 2431.07 2600.27
2024-02-11 846.54 214.99 247.74 313.24 510.15 1393.08 2272.47 2623.52 2799.05
2024-02-18 947.14 269.86 304.77 374.58 583.33 1545.20 2473.94 2845.74 3031.64
2024-02-25 1025.98 297.83 336.97 415.25 642.92 1665.58 2614.18 2991.08 3179.53
2024-03-03 1109.78 326.44 368.21 451.74 696.57 1779.90 2768.74 3160.67 3356.63
2024-03-10 1167.92 352.51 394.67 478.99 731.83 1859.57 2843.88 3230.94 3424.46
2024-03-17 1277.15 374.67 422.69 518.72 801.82 1979.82 2977.72 3368.25 3563.51
2024-03-24 1407.76 405.61 461.11 572.11 893.87 2156.57 3213.65 3627.71 3834.74
2024-03-31 1534.80 442.18 502.69 623.73 979.65 2327.34 3394.61 3808.47 4015.39
2024-04-07 1547.24 451.38 513.78 638.59 999.01 2335.54 3393.69 3808.22 4015.49
2024-04-14 1526.22 467.58 526.61 644.67 990.74 2275.85 3306.91 3712.32 3915.03
2024-04-21 1437.96 476.15 528.26 632.50 938.12 2170.21 3172.48 3564.46 3760.45
2024-04-28 1473.24 446.10 503.78 619.13 956.33 2196.85 3183.52 3568.84 3761.50
2024-05-05 1396.51 408.15 462.41 570.94 893.96 2096.17 3021.86 3382.90 3563.42
2024-05-12 1224.54 364.42 409.93 500.95 773.07 1881.14 2760.99 3105.48 3277.72
2024-05-19 1124.91 341.47 382.45 464.41 711.03 1735.12 2538.76 2852.50 3009.38
2024-05-26 1019.43 327.14 362.04 431.85 646.35 1578.97 2341.88 2642.41 2792.68
2024-06-02 880.16 281.68 312.40 373.85 555.95 1391.20 2081.59 2350.85 2485.49
2024-06-09 736.45 223.65 249.48 301.15 454.72 1201.31 1830.72 2078.42 2202.27
2024-06-16 599.68 159.33 179.65 220.29 348.26 1015.99 1582.01 1803.77 1914.65
2024-06-23 514.17 134.77 153.44 190.78 304.00 884.57 1397.85 1600.29 1701.51
2024-06-30 453.78 153.05 167.37 196.02 285.20 755.70 1207.84 1388.03 1478.12
2024-07-07 367.14 138.90 150.84 174.74 245.81 612.93 1006.93 1165.74 1245.15
2024-07-14 288.09 103.88 114.46 135.62 194.47 477.59 820.10 959.51 1029.21
2024-07-21 257.93 82.28 92.69 113.51 172.92 417.92 731.75 859.93 924.02
2024-07-28 243.25 77.92 88.36 109.23 167.92 373.77 641.16 748.39 802.00
2024-08-04 225.95 72.79 82.70 102.53 159.59 334.77 581.21 684.71 736.46
2024-08-11 184.16 35.13 45.65 66.69 125.15 273.83 468.31 549.47 590.04
2024-08-18 179.35 24.64 35.22 56.38 116.37 253.42 431.05 504.61 541.39
2024-08-25 171.97 10.21 21.85 45.12 109.17 224.78 384.72 454.12 488.82
2024-09-01 155.10 5.74 16.64 38.43 99.10 196.86 349.97 418.32 452.49
2024-09-08 121.76 0.00 0.00 14.49 77.70 151.66 306.48 376.30 411.21
2024-09-15 91.67 0.00 1.51 15.08 50.18 140.77 187.43 204.57 213.14
2024-09-22 88.89 0.68 6.67 18.65 49.77 139.93 188.27 205.66 214.35
2024-09-29 81.66 0.00 0.00 11.33 43.62 132.54 181.77 200.08 209.23
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