Prediction 2138

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation set 2 for GO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 282.56 60.41 79.65 118.12 212.09 366.75 552.74 630.27 669.03
2023-10-15 238.44 28.22 47.20 85.15 180.94 318.57 520.78 605.49 647.84
2023-10-22 248.35 58.88 75.58 108.99 193.18 337.79 568.84 666.03 714.63
2023-10-29 276.32 79.82 98.31 135.30 223.39 368.70 631.91 744.37 800.59
2023-11-05 311.57 89.22 107.92 145.32 240.67 403.23 706.17 838.73 905.02
2023-11-12 313.26 102.87 119.21 151.90 234.70 448.38 815.99 973.41 1052.12
2023-11-19 341.95 99.50 118.30 155.90 257.71 519.72 956.49 1142.70 1235.81
2023-11-26 366.08 103.24 122.42 160.78 262.04 580.50 1144.55 1387.63 1509.18
2023-12-03 397.62 124.29 144.55 185.06 287.88 643.45 1287.25 1562.41 1699.99
2023-12-10 411.54 157.43 176.18 213.70 308.08 705.68 1439.10 1750.72 1906.53
2023-12-17 461.67 193.64 211.24 246.43 339.35 791.79 1624.34 1976.23 2152.17
2023-12-24 549.82 213.48 235.21 278.66 393.70 985.95 1948.64 2348.78 2548.84
2023-12-31 689.33 217.15 242.88 294.35 444.10 1239.15 2340.78 2794.18 3020.87
2024-01-07 843.61 256.61 287.93 350.56 533.40 1500.85 2696.84 3180.58 3422.45
2024-01-14 1060.03 348.21 387.86 467.16 692.16 1820.47 3134.37 3663.54 3928.12
2024-01-21 1226.35 411.06 453.36 537.95 784.40 2067.91 3514.40 4094.44 4384.46
2024-01-28 1382.61 441.77 487.43 578.73 859.15 2335.04 3870.06 4479.12 4783.65
2024-02-04 1619.09 506.30 561.66 672.39 1011.20 2655.26 4246.53 4878.20 5194.04
2024-02-11 1863.69 647.76 709.04 831.61 1204.55 2930.51 4550.13 5191.85 5512.71
2024-02-18 2021.67 774.21 836.44 960.90 1338.53 3139.76 4821.85 5490.73 5825.17
2024-02-25 2181.77 885.09 953.53 1090.41 1492.82 3346.08 5062.14 5740.52 6079.71
2024-03-03 2330.02 951.59 1025.63 1173.72 1604.71 3528.79 5311.13 6014.82 6366.66
2024-03-10 2390.34 990.87 1064.76 1212.54 1648.79 3608.55 5356.30 6042.59 6385.73
2024-03-17 2470.10 996.03 1073.43 1228.23 1686.61 3670.06 5407.33 6086.73 6426.43
2024-03-24 2604.46 1037.98 1122.73 1292.23 1788.27 3855.33 5659.07 6366.84 6720.72
2024-03-31 2750.41 1098.32 1187.92 1367.13 1896.81 4043.96 5826.57 6518.88 6865.04
2024-04-07 2800.96 1113.06 1209.06 1401.04 1952.75 4075.73 5815.88 6496.97 6837.52
2024-04-14 2617.91 1060.50 1145.25 1314.75 1815.58 3807.79 5484.73 6144.62 6474.57
2024-04-21 2518.93 1043.23 1124.55 1287.20 1759.59 3667.99 5259.50 5882.31 6193.71
2024-04-28 2415.66 976.22 1054.12 1209.92 1672.76 3509.05 5052.89 5657.50 5959.80
2024-05-05 2271.24 895.59 969.20 1116.43 1557.98 3317.25 4758.65 5323.92 5606.56
2024-05-12 2072.38 756.80 827.36 968.48 1389.52 3070.24 4447.20 4987.53 5257.70
2024-05-19 1893.49 649.30 717.66 854.38 1256.00 2831.31 4102.88 4599.97 4848.51
2024-05-26 1756.50 618.33 680.69 805.41 1178.44 2628.49 3854.42 4336.57 4577.65
2024-06-02 1607.52 554.71 615.53 737.18 1088.40 2421.40 3561.36 4005.58 4227.69
2024-06-09 1388.46 437.30 491.33 599.39 911.49 2151.82 3203.48 3617.80 3824.95
2024-06-16 1133.83 289.75 334.28 423.32 694.29 1836.51 2792.24 3166.11 3353.04
2024-06-23 967.01 224.61 266.85 351.31 595.85 1584.03 2459.48 2807.46 2981.45
2024-06-30 883.08 281.77 315.89 384.12 585.53 1388.86 2168.86 2481.71 2638.13
2024-07-07 733.10 254.73 284.82 344.99 515.53 1141.27 1824.27 2099.59 2237.25
2024-07-14 585.62 175.14 202.16 256.20 406.49 904.64 1504.40 1749.98 1872.77
2024-07-21 513.27 129.83 155.59 207.10 350.29 792.80 1348.62 1576.01 1689.70
2024-07-28 497.54 144.65 168.06 214.89 348.73 726.62 1214.00 1411.34 1510.01
2024-08-04 470.28 165.14 186.03 227.80 349.79 668.29 1125.19 1315.66 1410.89
2024-08-11 412.29 132.70 153.76 195.87 313.11 576.81 959.92 1120.48 1200.76
2024-08-18 370.76 84.10 105.74 149.02 269.32 509.74 877.03 1030.26 1106.87
2024-08-25 370.63 66.99 90.65 137.96 268.04 486.01 839.17 992.77 1069.57
2024-09-01 386.21 80.21 104.43 152.87 286.62 496.19 848.83 1002.49 1079.32
2024-09-08 398.50 76.37 102.79 155.64 293.62 520.22 892.58 1054.54 1135.52
2024-09-15 310.32 0.00 0.00 37.05 155.80 482.02 711.73 801.85 846.91
2024-09-22 336.69 39.98 58.06 94.21 195.17 502.56 787.80 909.98 971.08
2024-09-29 351.57 79.33 96.37 130.44 229.33 514.22 807.66 932.53 994.96
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