Prediction 2139

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation set 2 for PI using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 16.84 0.00 0.00 2.66 10.29 26.18 40.38 45.96 48.75
2023-10-15 16.03 0.00 0.00 0.46 8.82 24.58 38.01 43.41 46.11
2023-10-22 18.09 0.00 0.00 1.49 9.92 27.40 40.81 46.20 48.90
2023-10-29 16.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.72 27.61 41.42 46.77 49.44
2023-11-05 14.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.87 24.39 37.51 42.82 45.48
2023-11-12 15.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.74 25.55 39.63 45.16 47.93
2023-11-19 17.68 0.00 0.02 2.68 10.05 27.22 41.20 47.17 50.16
2023-11-26 18.88 0.06 1.49 4.34 11.51 29.31 46.38 53.56 57.14
2023-12-03 18.86 0.34 1.76 4.60 12.05 29.32 48.73 56.97 61.09
2023-12-10 19.56 1.50 2.67 5.02 11.55 32.31 55.13 64.83 69.68
2023-12-17 18.83 1.56 2.55 4.53 10.08 32.85 58.14 68.86 74.22
2023-12-24 19.31 2.88 3.93 6.03 11.71 35.83 64.19 75.91 81.77
2023-12-31 23.02 5.09 6.20 8.44 14.66 40.10 72.88 86.41 93.18
2024-01-07 26.61 5.73 6.96 9.44 16.26 46.11 80.32 94.28 101.26
2024-01-14 28.18 7.17 8.41 10.89 17.80 51.87 91.48 107.55 115.58
2024-01-21 32.77 9.11 10.54 13.39 20.80 59.79 105.49 123.86 133.04
2024-01-28 37.41 12.58 13.75 16.08 23.34 67.77 117.38 137.05 146.88
2024-02-04 42.58 12.04 13.78 17.27 27.05 78.46 133.05 155.01 165.98
2024-02-11 47.96 10.96 12.99 17.06 28.91 86.80 146.53 170.66 182.72
2024-02-18 56.19 11.85 13.98 18.25 31.17 100.79 164.94 190.79 203.71
2024-02-25 61.40 12.36 14.78 19.62 33.88 109.69 176.90 203.51 216.82
2024-03-03 69.16 13.77 16.48 21.89 38.15 121.59 193.81 222.37 236.65
2024-03-10 73.69 12.89 15.83 21.70 39.47 129.55 203.41 232.46 246.99
2024-03-17 75.48 8.32 11.50 17.86 37.29 133.15 209.12 239.05 254.01
2024-03-24 77.53 6.67 10.11 17.00 37.27 138.96 221.12 253.48 269.66
2024-03-31 85.69 7.35 11.04 18.42 41.12 149.12 230.60 262.17 277.96
2024-04-07 93.78 12.57 16.36 23.96 47.43 160.09 243.10 275.74 292.06
2024-04-14 97.59 10.58 14.63 22.74 48.09 164.14 249.26 282.97 299.83
2024-04-21 97.02 9.18 13.22 21.29 46.54 166.02 251.33 285.00 301.84
2024-04-28 94.88 10.27 14.14 21.89 46.27 162.82 246.93 279.98 296.51
2024-05-05 94.20 13.31 17.18 24.94 49.08 158.25 238.32 269.52 285.11
2024-05-12 93.63 14.11 18.05 25.92 49.89 156.17 235.77 267.23 282.95
2024-05-19 86.26 13.99 17.42 24.27 45.65 145.31 218.41 247.03 261.35
2024-05-26 79.00 13.90 16.81 22.62 41.27 135.20 205.90 233.68 247.57
2024-06-02 70.94 11.29 14.07 19.62 36.47 122.47 187.13 212.45 225.12
2024-06-09 65.44 13.80 16.25 21.14 35.70 110.82 169.92 193.35 205.06
2024-06-16 61.84 15.94 18.28 22.97 36.89 100.20 153.38 174.74 185.43
2024-06-23 56.71 15.66 17.80 22.08 34.87 90.65 137.87 156.78 166.24
2024-06-30 49.17 14.50 16.45 20.34 31.54 78.10 122.31 140.17 149.10
2024-07-07 43.69 14.31 16.16 19.87 29.91 68.59 108.76 125.08 133.24
2024-07-14 40.62 13.26 15.08 18.72 28.41 60.89 97.42 112.55 120.11
2024-07-21 39.24 12.99 14.80 18.41 28.15 57.16 92.89 107.71 115.12
2024-07-28 36.64 10.68 12.46 16.02 25.78 52.80 85.13 98.42 105.06
2024-08-04 34.68 8.18 9.97 13.55 23.37 48.10 77.49 90.07 96.35
2024-08-11 29.94 6.32 7.90 11.07 20.22 41.14 65.15 75.56 80.76
2024-08-18 31.49 6.82 8.37 11.45 20.44 41.06 63.97 73.80 78.72
2024-08-25 28.86 3.42 5.06 8.35 17.76 37.33 59.23 68.86 73.68
2024-09-01 25.89 0.53 2.13 5.33 14.63 33.94 53.44 62.14 66.48
2024-09-08 26.05 0.00 0.00 2.06 13.46 33.14 52.50 61.27 65.65
2024-09-15 20.95 0.00 0.00 2.18 9.72 32.13 45.13 50.02 52.47
2024-09-22 17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.74 28.81 42.09 47.19 49.74
2024-09-29 18.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.76 29.90 42.27 46.87 49.18
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