Prediction 2140

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation set 2 for CE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 95.10 20.73 26.00 36.53 63.91 136.86 194.10 215.73 226.55
2023-10-15 81.76 1.63 7.05 17.89 48.33 114.61 160.94 178.73 187.62
2023-10-22 79.51 0.00 4.95 15.56 46.16 109.21 151.37 167.72 175.89
2023-10-29 76.72 0.97 6.32 17.01 46.22 104.49 141.80 156.12 163.28
2023-11-05 69.55 0.12 4.20 12.35 37.01 90.05 118.72 130.20 135.94
2023-11-12 68.68 1.04 5.35 13.98 39.09 87.35 113.44 123.96 129.22
2023-11-19 69.23 0.00 3.87 13.56 41.62 83.58 109.52 121.70 127.78
2023-11-26 66.59 1.20 5.42 13.85 37.04 78.68 121.13 141.44 151.60
2023-12-03 58.09 0.00 3.69 12.18 35.69 71.79 123.33 147.55 159.66
2023-12-10 56.60 4.81 8.08 14.60 33.60 79.55 143.54 172.57 187.09
2023-12-17 60.58 6.60 9.78 16.13 34.73 86.25 166.27 202.09 219.99
2023-12-24 57.13 9.83 12.97 19.25 36.06 92.93 188.39 230.06 250.89
2023-12-31 64.94 15.98 18.84 24.54 41.17 112.37 233.10 285.09 311.09
2024-01-07 76.04 21.53 24.35 30.00 47.11 138.67 276.73 334.94 364.04
2024-01-14 79.19 25.33 27.89 33.01 48.19 158.79 320.37 387.63 421.26
2024-01-21 94.08 37.60 40.02 44.87 59.26 193.79 386.22 464.91 504.25
2024-01-28 106.56 50.20 51.41 53.81 65.24 226.29 445.28 533.32 577.34
2024-02-04 120.70 44.52 47.34 52.99 71.57 262.68 509.79 609.38 659.18
2024-02-11 141.04 37.86 42.21 50.91 78.03 300.39 571.23 680.84 735.64
2024-02-18 184.69 47.11 52.43 63.07 97.73 374.49 675.92 797.61 858.45
2024-02-25 225.05 49.15 56.87 72.31 118.99 440.69 762.07 889.95 953.90
2024-03-03 263.54 49.82 59.30 78.25 136.80 503.73 853.16 992.27 1061.83
2024-03-10 287.58 38.26 49.37 71.59 141.24 546.53 910.23 1053.75 1125.51
2024-03-17 306.13 20.64 32.98 57.65 136.52 581.38 962.75 1112.41 1187.25
2024-03-24 335.58 8.52 23.41 53.19 144.79 637.12 1049.90 1211.53 1292.34
2024-03-31 403.50 14.82 32.42 67.61 178.57 728.69 1148.04 1310.44 1391.63
2024-04-07 481.80 45.03 66.16 108.41 238.34 823.04 1248.44 1414.14 1496.99
2024-04-14 484.62 52.89 72.79 112.59 238.75 818.42 1245.65 1413.74 1497.79
2024-04-21 490.64 61.10 81.03 120.89 245.05 827.59 1243.77 1406.43 1487.76
2024-04-28 505.38 69.80 90.29 131.27 259.36 839.86 1251.56 1411.48 1491.44
2024-05-05 503.96 78.41 98.33 138.16 264.40 825.20 1219.08 1371.57 1447.81
2024-05-12 483.79 64.54 84.31 123.86 247.72 802.13 1186.56 1336.93 1412.11
2024-05-19 460.14 60.05 78.82 116.37 233.79 767.13 1132.90 1275.06 1346.14
2024-05-26 447.04 72.71 89.56 123.27 231.50 743.31 1098.20 1236.25 1305.27
2024-06-02 422.74 67.20 83.83 117.11 220.96 699.03 1027.72 1155.21 1218.96
2024-06-09 379.97 65.73 79.85 108.09 197.27 634.76 939.36 1057.89 1117.16
2024-06-16 343.65 64.93 77.40 102.35 182.10 576.47 858.91 969.09 1024.17
2024-06-23 314.65 60.82 72.73 96.53 171.17 529.05 792.85 896.15 947.80
2024-06-30 277.15 59.65 69.96 90.58 154.40 466.04 711.53 808.04 856.29
2024-07-07 246.58 64.51 73.48 91.42 145.73 416.56 645.74 735.81 780.84
2024-07-14 222.42 70.13 77.70 92.83 137.72 368.80 578.77 662.28 704.03
2024-07-21 197.90 72.30 78.42 90.65 127.83 329.70 533.24 613.70 653.93
2024-07-28 170.29 65.75 70.52 80.07 110.35 287.16 470.89 543.07 579.16
2024-08-04 153.76 56.72 61.12 69.91 98.40 254.78 424.32 493.10 527.49
2024-08-11 134.62 49.80 53.67 61.41 87.16 224.78 372.25 432.07 461.97
2024-08-18 137.24 48.53 52.70 61.04 87.77 218.49 355.95 410.93 438.42
2024-08-25 125.54 36.57 41.05 50.02 77.95 200.88 332.30 386.03 412.89
2024-09-01 114.76 24.73 29.16 38.03 65.82 183.69 308.52 360.07 385.85
2024-09-08 113.94 6.62 12.73 24.95 60.00 177.94 297.91 347.96 372.99
2024-09-15 95.51 22.55 26.97 35.82 61.00 139.55 208.06 235.98 249.94
2024-09-22 74.71 7.07 11.26 19.62 42.90 118.86 174.87 196.64 207.52
2024-09-29 62.69 4.05 7.65 14.85 35.17 103.98 154.98 175.85 186.28
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