Prediction 2141

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation set 2 for RS using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.69 22.30
2023-10-15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.53 16.77
2023-10-22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.92 66.90 86.38
2023-10-29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 119.27 202.89 244.69
2023-11-05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 204.99 312.85 366.78
2023-11-12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.53 316.14 449.90 516.77
2023-11-19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.51 350.60 505.69 583.24
2023-11-26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 385.50 583.63 682.70
2023-12-03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 406.46 633.69 747.31
2023-12-10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 471.52 698.14 811.45
2023-12-17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.95 624.50 885.46 1015.94
2023-12-24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.31 775.72 1079.47 1231.35
2023-12-31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 128.40 868.44 1196.70 1360.84
2024-01-07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 174.65 986.57 1340.45 1517.39
2024-01-14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 219.98 1100.14 1481.46 1672.12
2024-01-21 5.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 304.90 1332.62 1771.15 1990.42
2024-01-28 31.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 422.65 1538.68 2008.11 2242.83
2024-02-04 50.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 540.23 1782.80 2299.41 2557.72
2024-02-11 121.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 722.38 2092.71 2654.04 2934.71
2024-02-18 379.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.74 1145.47 2660.51 3279.77 3589.40
2024-02-25 652.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 190.53 1551.05 3159.63 3811.22 4137.02
2024-03-03 920.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 314.58 1929.29 3675.68 4381.39 4734.25
2024-03-10 1227.07 0.00 0.00 52.84 489.55 2374.30 4189.01 4913.24 5275.36
2024-03-17 1784.11 0.00 41.62 264.51 896.52 3018.26 4921.56 5675.09 6051.86
2024-03-24 2048.21 27.67 145.40 380.86 1059.35 3397.45 5440.20 6248.25 6652.27
2024-03-31 2265.82 164.57 283.24 520.56 1217.18 3720.13 5817.75 6639.11 7049.79
2024-04-07 2390.72 154.91 288.54 555.80 1317.49 3880.96 6009.51 6846.08 7264.37
2024-04-14 2445.61 135.42 272.64 547.07 1336.84 3983.24 6160.39 7012.84 7439.07
2024-04-21 2303.92 84.95 208.34 455.11 1175.67 3885.99 6021.42 6854.00 7270.30
2024-04-28 2022.26 0.00 26.12 263.05 956.24 3559.10 5629.78 6433.69 6835.64
2024-05-05 1623.02 0.00 0.00 92.26 683.51 3034.39 4910.58 5637.07 6000.31
2024-05-12 1263.25 0.00 0.00 76.72 516.73 2424.55 4143.10 4816.89 5153.78
2024-05-19 948.16 0.00 0.00 48.14 407.50 1899.93 3414.04 4016.03 4317.03
2024-05-26 626.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 216.08 1396.92 2694.66 3213.47 3472.87
2024-06-02 406.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.06 1051.17 2144.62 2578.40 2795.29
2024-06-09 286.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.23 821.91 1735.62 2101.82 2284.92
2024-06-16 237.12 75.13 75.51 76.27 96.57 650.78 1406.18 1710.17 1862.16
2024-06-23 194.35 91.50 92.13 93.40 109.31 537.29 1206.32 1479.69 1616.38
2024-06-30 121.56 50.67 51.23 52.33 61.05 405.42 1021.49 1270.56 1395.09
2024-07-07 91.33 31.68 33.34 36.67 45.56 355.69 922.54 1154.25 1270.11
2024-07-14 54.24 20.52 21.56 23.65 30.35 260.70 781.09 996.50 1104.21
2024-07-21 30.06 14.58 14.62 14.71 15.58 226.30 756.12 973.51 1082.21
2024-07-28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 188.80 683.81 882.25 981.46
2024-08-04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 170.98 647.11 842.09 939.58
2024-08-11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 135.57 521.00 680.06 759.59
2024-08-18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 118.84 479.14 627.59 701.81
2024-08-25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.45 391.62 547.76 625.84
2024-09-01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.18 379.61 540.29 620.62
2024-09-08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.14 375.70 533.36 612.19
2024-09-15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 162.73 238.77 276.79
2024-09-22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 108.24 154.68 177.90
2024-09-29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.07 116.87 148.91 164.93
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