Prediction 2143

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation set 2 for MS using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 59.98 0.00 0.00 9.17 36.68 98.55 157.83 181.77 193.74
2023-10-15 57.71 0.00 1.41 11.58 36.78 93.62 155.25 180.46 193.07
2023-10-22 55.31 0.00 2.45 11.74 34.99 93.36 156.89 182.48 195.28
2023-10-29 56.97 1.30 6.25 16.16 38.97 99.76 170.80 199.30 213.55
2023-11-05 58.92 2.36 6.63 15.18 36.97 98.77 169.60 199.27 214.11
2023-11-12 54.04 17.63 20.38 25.88 38.97 108.71 201.88 240.47 259.76
2023-11-19 68.79 29.71 33.05 39.73 55.65 129.67 237.90 283.00 305.55
2023-11-26 84.09 47.12 50.77 58.08 74.21 153.42 282.97 336.83 363.77
2023-12-03 81.48 51.73 54.87 61.15 73.84 157.70 315.31 380.31 412.80
2023-12-10 85.06 53.61 56.05 60.91 71.90 174.59 354.03 428.93 466.38
2023-12-17 95.95 50.55 53.47 59.31 72.29 203.64 404.99 488.20 529.81
2023-12-24 120.81 59.48 62.68 69.07 86.05 257.71 490.74 584.72 631.71
2023-12-31 152.26 60.20 64.79 73.97 99.62 312.49 575.14 679.79 732.11
2024-01-07 184.91 58.54 64.55 76.57 111.95 367.69 643.26 751.35 805.39
2024-01-14 211.81 54.71 62.22 77.25 120.84 424.11 729.24 848.76 908.52
2024-01-21 252.68 63.07 71.40 88.06 136.49 487.75 823.36 954.92 1020.70
2024-01-28 297.33 76.93 86.01 104.17 160.92 556.21 906.10 1042.07 1110.06
2024-02-04 345.64 80.58 92.69 116.93 190.80 632.15 1004.43 1150.35 1223.31
2024-02-11 361.26 60.20 73.97 101.53 186.56 665.93 1058.29 1211.31 1287.82
2024-02-18 373.31 47.91 62.25 90.92 178.65 704.22 1114.81 1275.91 1356.46
2024-02-25 396.37 53.09 68.72 99.98 193.96 733.18 1150.49 1312.62 1393.68
2024-03-03 428.77 61.25 77.84 111.02 213.30 771.45 1203.53 1371.21 1455.04
2024-03-10 437.16 59.23 77.29 113.39 222.20 779.90 1206.66 1372.70 1455.72
2024-03-17 444.57 60.93 79.24 115.87 227.30 770.95 1186.99 1348.83 1429.75
2024-03-24 438.72 62.44 80.92 117.87 227.88 760.79 1186.21 1353.56 1437.24
2024-03-31 416.14 51.02 68.31 102.89 209.03 729.38 1133.46 1289.79 1367.95
2024-04-07 393.33 54.16 70.20 102.27 200.13 691.89 1084.51 1239.11 1316.41
2024-04-14 381.25 51.83 67.67 99.34 195.57 656.39 1030.96 1180.05 1254.60
2024-04-21 351.07 50.49 65.09 94.29 181.93 615.29 970.83 1112.22 1182.91
2024-04-28 296.97 42.80 54.94 79.23 152.17 541.32 876.07 1009.65 1076.44
2024-05-05 259.55 43.63 54.64 76.68 141.57 470.16 768.69 887.14 946.36
2024-05-12 233.54 52.76 62.73 82.69 138.30 418.51 700.29 813.92 870.74
2024-05-19 182.56 43.59 51.90 68.51 114.03 342.36 590.25 689.83 739.62
2024-05-26 180.38 57.12 64.36 78.84 120.09 324.52 559.36 654.04 701.38
2024-06-02 179.93 52.73 61.25 78.29 122.75 307.48 513.92 596.27 637.44
2024-06-09 166.05 49.65 57.73 73.87 115.13 276.41 456.57 530.48 567.43
2024-06-16 144.68 34.06 41.91 57.60 98.74 233.94 385.00 447.46 478.69
2024-06-23 137.52 27.39 35.13 50.61 92.49 209.57 335.60 388.26 414.59
2024-06-30 124.70 20.81 28.33 43.37 84.22 182.29 293.68 340.70 364.21
2024-07-07 104.51 10.16 17.21 31.31 68.47 151.32 240.40 278.88 298.12
2024-07-14 99.15 2.13 9.44 24.05 61.68 130.58 197.51 227.73 242.84
2024-07-21 94.58 0.00 2.38 17.73 57.76 123.77 187.60 216.80 231.39
2024-07-28 86.72 0.00 0.00 4.40 46.47 112.74 169.43 195.21 208.11
2024-08-04 89.66 0.00 0.00 3.71 45.53 110.77 163.01 188.65 201.47
2024-08-11 74.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.78 88.43 114.93 127.55 133.86
2024-08-18 74.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.49 82.62 112.64 127.65 135.15
2024-08-25 64.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.42 72.06 102.93 118.04 125.60
2024-09-01 66.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.81 74.91 103.04 116.99 123.96
2024-09-08 59.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.82 72.41 101.18 114.74 121.52
2024-09-15 26.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.11 118.64 134.60 142.58
2024-09-22 35.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.42 128.35 147.23 156.67
2024-09-29 39.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.70 83.93 134.05 154.06 164.07
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