Prediction 2144
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation set 2 for MG using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 178.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.67 | 421.65 | 759.61 | 891.30 | 957.14 |
| 2023-10-15 | 178.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.11 | 392.58 | 716.33 | 846.34 | 911.35 |
| 2023-10-22 | 241.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.96 | 464.66 | 780.26 | 903.06 | 964.47 |
| 2023-10-29 | 260.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.93 | 495.85 | 818.00 | 942.64 | 1004.96 |
| 2023-11-05 | 231.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.15 | 429.05 | 702.25 | 816.78 | 874.04 |
| 2023-11-12 | 213.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.61 | 143.04 | 455.20 | 792.11 | 930.38 | 999.51 |
| 2023-11-19 | 309.72 | 31.77 | 59.69 | 115.55 | 242.03 | 559.62 | 948.06 | 1112.82 | 1195.20 |
| 2023-11-26 | 399.12 | 116.32 | 148.27 | 212.15 | 352.25 | 710.75 | 1199.53 | 1403.26 | 1505.13 |
| 2023-12-03 | 417.31 | 134.96 | 165.67 | 227.09 | 362.46 | 777.83 | 1405.16 | 1662.99 | 1791.90 |
| 2023-12-10 | 435.14 | 135.39 | 162.01 | 215.25 | 339.63 | 862.58 | 1597.74 | 1904.02 | 2057.16 |
| 2023-12-17 | 447.27 | 99.00 | 125.41 | 178.25 | 303.63 | 972.02 | 1821.77 | 2173.24 | 2348.98 |
| 2023-12-24 | 643.99 | 231.58 | 258.42 | 312.10 | 451.40 | 1332.50 | 2346.84 | 2751.18 | 2953.34 |
| 2023-12-31 | 844.68 | 296.27 | 330.45 | 398.81 | 580.60 | 1633.30 | 2813.62 | 3279.26 | 3512.08 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1038.47 | 325.64 | 364.95 | 443.57 | 664.94 | 1930.79 | 3158.84 | 3634.83 | 3872.82 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1194.99 | 302.64 | 351.52 | 449.29 | 719.29 | 2250.50 | 3652.18 | 4199.18 | 4472.68 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1425.60 | 360.27 | 411.68 | 514.50 | 803.95 | 2607.95 | 4161.01 | 4762.48 | 5063.21 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1666.35 | 463.42 | 516.93 | 623.94 | 951.33 | 2975.51 | 4602.01 | 5225.21 | 5536.81 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1881.39 | 440.30 | 511.95 | 655.25 | 1078.37 | 3357.85 | 5111.70 | 5795.88 | 6137.97 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2004.77 | 313.92 | 396.09 | 560.42 | 1058.60 | 3607.96 | 5519.22 | 6259.52 | 6629.67 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2167.13 | 243.46 | 331.60 | 507.86 | 1043.32 | 3958.46 | 5990.04 | 6780.18 | 7175.25 |
| 2024-02-25 | 2395.50 | 271.49 | 373.31 | 576.94 | 1184.53 | 4276.85 | 6394.73 | 7207.31 | 7613.59 |
| 2024-03-03 | 2700.43 | 337.69 | 449.74 | 673.84 | 1359.06 | 4674.25 | 6937.70 | 7806.16 | 8240.39 |
| 2024-03-10 | 2836.91 | 297.72 | 424.01 | 676.60 | 1437.88 | 4873.67 | 7127.02 | 7990.59 | 8422.37 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3112.20 | 326.49 | 466.41 | 746.26 | 1591.37 | 5099.66 | 7334.19 | 8190.33 | 8618.40 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3277.82 | 353.91 | 506.15 | 810.62 | 1706.54 | 5338.57 | 7709.00 | 8625.53 | 9083.80 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3277.44 | 285.52 | 435.40 | 735.17 | 1647.22 | 5366.26 | 7661.81 | 8529.93 | 8963.99 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3228.48 | 336.20 | 480.71 | 769.72 | 1644.19 | 5268.09 | 7498.84 | 8361.63 | 8793.02 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3215.08 | 354.15 | 499.54 | 790.31 | 1667.99 | 5105.52 | 7233.51 | 8064.01 | 8479.26 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2993.52 | 362.96 | 497.77 | 767.40 | 1571.42 | 4802.00 | 6821.92 | 7613.81 | 8009.76 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2597.40 | 313.19 | 430.18 | 664.16 | 1363.24 | 4239.17 | 6095.07 | 6824.50 | 7189.22 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2250.45 | 265.91 | 373.00 | 587.18 | 1218.69 | 3653.23 | 5268.91 | 5899.39 | 6214.64 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1935.71 | 232.37 | 328.50 | 520.77 | 1069.37 | 3175.78 | 4717.85 | 5332.32 | 5639.56 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1515.35 | 150.21 | 228.74 | 385.79 | 835.34 | 2596.37 | 3903.61 | 4419.48 | 4677.42 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1360.67 | 161.04 | 228.34 | 362.93 | 759.77 | 2306.92 | 3541.17 | 4031.18 | 4276.19 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1182.10 | 81.82 | 148.89 | 283.04 | 649.79 | 1993.32 | 3030.18 | 3437.22 | 3640.74 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1043.07 | 122.32 | 182.64 | 303.27 | 622.40 | 1696.10 | 2559.69 | 2910.93 | 3086.56 |
| 2024-06-16 | 866.67 | 96.21 | 150.53 | 259.17 | 547.84 | 1316.92 | 1963.59 | 2233.35 | 2368.23 |
| 2024-06-23 | 755.77 | 64.65 | 115.57 | 217.39 | 492.10 | 1048.58 | 1538.92 | 1752.09 | 1858.68 |
| 2024-06-30 | 621.24 | 16.26 | 64.54 | 161.12 | 415.74 | 798.38 | 1197.29 | 1373.22 | 1461.19 |
| 2024-07-07 | 487.68 | 0.00 | 19.28 | 106.72 | 329.59 | 579.33 | 804.09 | 913.45 | 968.13 |
| 2024-07-14 | 434.13 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 91.17 | 316.66 | 470.76 | 523.13 | 548.56 | 561.27 |
| 2024-07-21 | 373.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.99 | 259.69 | 404.66 | 423.56 | 432.62 | 437.16 |
| 2024-07-28 | 298.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 180.53 | 320.69 | 369.07 | 385.40 | 393.57 |
| 2024-08-04 | 227.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 131.16 | 332.33 | 382.15 | 397.10 | 404.58 |
| 2024-08-11 | 182.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 260.60 | 285.74 | 293.72 | 297.72 |
| 2024-08-18 | 135.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 242.95 | 278.04 | 281.48 | 283.20 |
| 2024-08-25 | 30.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 149.46 | 190.96 | 202.16 | 207.76 |
| 2024-09-01 | 89.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202.18 | 235.64 | 247.75 | 253.81 |
| 2024-09-08 | 39.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.24 | 204.65 | 216.83 | 222.92 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.71 | 349.89 | 438.72 | 483.13 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.69 | 392.26 | 453.26 | 483.76 |
| 2024-09-29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 216.67 | 436.62 | 512.08 | 549.82 |
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