Prediction 2145

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation set 2 for SE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 13.20 3.97 4.58 5.80 9.04 20.34 29.67 33.29 35.10
2023-10-15 11.88 3.40 3.97 5.10 8.17 17.66 25.37 28.44 29.98
2023-10-22 11.52 3.07 3.65 4.81 8.01 16.76 23.41 26.08 27.41
2023-10-29 10.53 1.94 2.57 3.82 7.08 15.15 19.97 21.85 22.79
2023-11-05 9.91 1.57 2.12 3.21 6.29 13.59 17.20 18.61 19.31
2023-11-12 8.59 0.61 1.13 2.17 5.09 12.09 15.11 16.25 16.81
2023-11-19 8.25 0.13 0.68 1.77 4.81 11.10 13.74 14.85 15.41
2023-11-26 7.96 0.00 0.33 1.53 4.59 10.37 12.72 13.72 14.22
2023-12-03 7.68 0.00 0.00 1.07 4.33 9.87 12.21 13.22 13.73
2023-12-10 7.54 0.00 0.00 0.57 3.84 10.04 12.95 14.24 14.88
2023-12-17 7.60 0.00 0.00 0.38 3.43 10.02 13.14 14.50 15.18
2023-12-24 7.09 0.00 0.00 0.47 3.53 9.68 12.98 14.37 15.06
2023-12-31 7.18 0.00 0.00 0.38 3.73 9.59 13.71 15.48 16.36
2024-01-07 7.11 0.00 0.00 0.50 3.59 9.82 14.14 15.97 16.88
2024-01-14 6.90 0.00 0.00 0.73 3.67 10.39 15.81 18.01 19.12
2024-01-21 6.11 0.00 0.00 0.47 3.42 9.65 16.42 19.20 20.59
2024-01-28 6.21 0.00 0.00 0.86 3.47 10.39 18.08 21.15 22.69
2024-02-04 7.28 0.00 0.00 0.90 4.46 12.34 21.26 24.90 26.72
2024-02-11 8.26 0.00 0.00 0.87 4.99 13.29 23.72 28.12 30.32
2024-02-18 7.94 0.00 0.00 0.63 4.61 13.24 23.97 28.46 30.70
2024-02-25 8.30 0.00 0.31 1.65 5.12 14.07 25.48 30.15 32.49
2024-03-03 9.16 0.19 0.86 2.20 5.75 15.59 27.98 33.09 35.65
2024-03-10 11.31 0.91 1.56 2.86 6.54 18.92 31.87 37.12 39.74
2024-03-17 12.34 0.53 1.22 2.59 6.50 20.99 35.02 40.70 43.54
2024-03-24 12.57 0.53 1.25 2.68 6.56 22.40 37.79 43.99 47.09
2024-03-31 13.78 1.11 1.75 3.05 6.85 24.26 40.85 47.47 50.78
2024-04-07 14.59 2.67 3.19 4.23 7.49 26.28 44.08 51.25 54.84
2024-04-14 15.07 1.87 2.47 3.67 7.38 27.04 45.62 53.26 57.08
2024-04-21 16.34 2.43 3.02 4.18 7.88 29.66 49.38 57.33 61.30
2024-04-28 16.44 2.01 2.61 3.81 7.63 31.01 51.84 60.14 64.29
2024-05-05 16.70 2.52 3.10 4.26 8.01 31.84 53.74 62.44 66.80
2024-05-12 17.97 1.97 2.70 4.17 8.70 33.54 56.60 65.97 70.66
2024-05-19 18.35 2.39 3.04 4.35 8.74 34.17 57.30 66.57 71.21
2024-05-26 19.24 2.06 2.78 4.22 8.92 36.14 60.57 70.42 75.35
2024-06-02 20.86 2.49 3.31 4.93 9.87 38.10 62.88 72.81 77.77
2024-06-09 20.42 2.97 3.75 5.30 10.09 37.33 62.33 72.39 77.42
2024-06-16 19.93 3.08 3.89 5.51 10.42 35.85 60.87 70.86 75.86
2024-06-23 18.12 2.63 3.38 4.89 9.41 33.71 57.36 66.69 71.35
2024-06-30 16.79 2.75 3.46 4.88 9.19 31.68 55.12 64.47 69.15
2024-07-07 15.01 2.81 3.52 4.92 8.81 28.50 51.08 60.14 64.67
2024-07-14 13.24 2.01 2.72 4.15 7.94 24.88 45.89 54.37 58.61
2024-07-21 12.70 1.16 1.94 3.49 7.66 23.03 42.75 50.67 54.63
2024-07-28 12.72 0.72 1.51 3.09 7.55 21.93 40.14 47.43 51.08
2024-08-04 11.63 0.40 1.22 2.86 7.25 19.30 35.79 42.57 45.96
2024-08-11 10.48 0.76 1.49 2.94 6.92 17.03 30.91 36.58 39.42
2024-08-18 10.95 0.54 1.32 2.86 7.06 16.47 28.19 32.99 35.39
2024-08-25 10.66 0.00 0.73 2.26 6.48 15.81 26.37 30.72 32.89
2024-09-01 10.15 0.00 0.31 1.71 5.65 14.67 23.53 27.23 29.08
2024-09-08 10.39 0.00 0.13 1.69 5.90 14.62 22.39 25.63 27.24
2024-09-15 7.92 0.00 0.00 0.82 3.65 12.90 18.17 20.24 21.28
2024-09-22 9.27 0.04 0.58 1.66 4.68 13.23 17.85 19.60 20.47
2024-09-29 7.62 0.00 0.00 0.96 3.76 11.86 15.72 17.18 17.92
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