Prediction 2146

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation set 2 for PE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 76.27 8.74 13.98 24.45 51.12 107.51 145.57 159.35 166.24
2023-10-15 80.11 3.44 8.86 19.70 49.51 112.04 150.06 164.00 170.97
2023-10-22 81.95 3.64 9.11 20.03 50.67 113.22 148.64 161.09 167.31
2023-10-29 73.63 0.00 2.29 14.09 45.42 106.89 137.76 148.19 153.41
2023-11-05 69.61 0.00 3.00 12.93 40.94 98.16 123.63 132.47 136.89
2023-11-12 71.78 0.00 4.57 15.00 43.95 97.97 117.06 123.02 125.99
2023-11-19 74.53 0.00 3.63 14.62 45.41 96.78 112.25 118.53 121.66
2023-11-26 65.73 0.00 0.00 6.73 35.56 85.92 104.50 112.16 115.98
2023-12-03 63.36 0.00 0.00 7.96 38.15 80.70 100.45 109.00 113.27
2023-12-10 66.82 0.00 4.74 14.94 43.34 85.73 110.06 120.57 125.82
2023-12-17 74.17 6.76 12.05 22.64 50.85 90.97 122.10 135.78 142.62
2023-12-24 66.49 1.32 6.94 18.19 46.68 88.26 120.27 133.73 140.45
2023-12-31 65.88 7.99 12.53 21.62 45.62 88.96 130.10 147.41 156.07
2024-01-07 72.30 19.76 23.49 30.95 51.86 100.19 140.10 156.34 164.45
2024-01-14 73.44 25.82 29.11 35.71 54.16 105.59 154.24 173.62 183.31
2024-01-21 73.12 23.98 27.26 33.80 51.23 112.56 172.98 197.06 209.11
2024-01-28 79.25 31.63 33.96 38.61 53.33 129.38 201.57 229.82 243.94
2024-02-04 87.36 32.57 35.65 41.79 59.12 149.80 236.39 270.37 287.35
2024-02-11 96.33 35.73 39.00 45.55 64.10 165.26 260.53 298.89 318.06
2024-02-18 112.93 40.40 43.82 50.65 71.05 190.11 294.84 336.55 357.41
2024-02-25 129.58 45.09 49.34 57.85 81.90 215.93 332.71 378.07 400.75
2024-03-03 142.19 46.63 51.50 61.24 89.42 240.86 375.11 427.97 454.41
2024-03-10 158.94 44.15 50.02 61.75 95.94 265.02 408.51 464.34 492.25
2024-03-17 175.08 38.10 44.84 58.34 99.35 291.29 447.97 509.26 539.90
2024-03-24 197.63 41.23 49.16 65.02 110.99 327.52 500.83 568.36 602.12
2024-03-31 227.56 42.97 51.88 69.69 124.68 369.55 547.56 615.82 649.95
2024-04-07 255.66 58.78 68.33 87.44 146.61 403.46 583.57 653.37 688.26
2024-04-14 273.82 63.06 73.57 94.59 158.97 420.85 607.89 681.39 718.14
2024-04-21 286.85 66.77 77.93 100.24 167.38 440.12 625.44 697.90 734.13
2024-04-28 296.82 68.24 80.01 103.56 174.21 455.17 641.75 714.36 750.67
2024-05-05 300.95 71.62 83.53 107.35 179.16 454.68 637.45 708.00 743.27
2024-05-12 295.24 60.65 72.94 97.51 170.96 450.15 632.26 703.56 739.21
2024-05-19 298.30 63.77 76.36 101.53 175.43 453.95 630.31 698.08 731.97
2024-05-26 302.26 79.00 90.37 113.12 182.97 456.66 632.17 699.12 732.59
2024-06-02 299.94 77.95 89.67 113.11 183.33 446.58 612.91 676.67 708.55
2024-06-09 269.47 66.28 76.87 98.05 161.77 407.94 564.83 624.98 655.06
2024-06-16 244.90 54.68 64.62 84.49 144.70 374.23 524.21 582.37 611.44
2024-06-23 233.68 57.32 66.86 85.96 142.98 351.44 492.84 548.06 575.67
2024-06-30 218.06 58.25 67.20 85.09 137.00 322.83 456.85 509.24 535.43
2024-07-07 195.37 51.96 60.26 76.84 124.61 295.10 418.39 465.71 489.37
2024-07-14 182.54 50.85 58.22 72.96 115.86 278.44 395.10 440.44 463.11
2024-07-21 171.07 51.85 58.18 70.83 108.20 262.53 379.57 425.08 447.83
2024-07-28 156.45 46.27 52.20 64.08 98.97 244.31 359.03 403.59 425.87
2024-08-04 153.38 47.33 52.82 63.80 96.76 232.66 344.87 389.47 411.77
2024-08-11 143.95 44.24 49.61 60.34 92.67 221.81 322.33 362.19 382.11
2024-08-18 144.29 45.95 50.86 60.67 90.70 217.64 320.87 361.73 382.15
2024-08-25 139.58 46.42 50.91 59.90 88.16 214.57 320.52 362.60 383.63
2024-09-01 139.58 40.64 45.80 56.11 87.55 212.29 312.91 352.71 372.61
2024-09-08 147.02 34.19 40.47 53.02 89.33 219.35 320.94 361.06 381.12
2024-09-15 153.88 43.65 49.86 62.29 98.12 220.61 295.75 324.32 338.60
2024-09-22 142.94 39.65 45.60 57.49 94.33 214.84 289.71 317.75 331.77
2024-09-29 139.76 39.10 45.09 57.06 92.38 203.54 262.81 285.23 296.44
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