Prediction 2147

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation set 2 for RO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 23.33 7.40 8.50 10.70 16.45 38.76 59.18 67.16 71.16
2023-10-15 23.26 8.75 9.66 11.47 16.46 38.97 61.93 71.02 75.56
2023-10-22 23.74 9.75 10.63 12.40 17.10 41.22 66.19 75.96 80.85
2023-10-29 24.41 9.93 10.88 12.79 17.83 43.54 71.27 82.14 87.58
2023-11-05 25.87 9.68 10.60 12.44 17.63 45.71 74.29 85.61 91.27
2023-11-12 27.70 9.61 10.57 12.50 17.99 51.09 83.30 95.90 102.21
2023-11-19 29.93 9.97 10.93 12.84 18.60 55.68 89.68 102.99 109.64
2023-11-26 30.56 9.44 10.46 12.51 18.61 59.41 95.11 108.93 115.84
2023-12-03 33.63 9.81 10.93 13.16 19.71 64.23 104.41 119.95 127.72
2023-12-10 36.02 11.23 12.25 14.28 20.91 68.38 111.27 128.19 136.65
2023-12-17 37.66 10.86 12.02 14.35 21.30 72.39 116.20 133.36 141.94
2023-12-24 40.86 11.94 13.22 15.79 23.73 78.99 127.08 145.55 154.78
2023-12-31 43.09 12.82 14.13 16.75 24.97 83.37 135.50 155.44 165.41
2024-01-07 44.77 12.28 13.70 16.54 25.36 86.88 139.51 159.38 169.31
2024-01-14 46.79 13.77 15.22 18.11 27.06 91.38 146.93 167.95 178.47
2024-01-21 49.90 13.25 14.93 18.31 28.22 95.58 154.01 176.34 187.50
2024-01-28 53.93 14.31 16.01 19.41 30.12 100.68 158.83 180.85 191.86
2024-02-04 56.65 12.48 14.63 18.95 31.87 104.36 162.52 184.92 196.12
2024-02-11 57.42 11.79 13.93 18.22 31.46 105.42 164.14 186.65 197.91
2024-02-18 55.59 10.48 12.47 16.45 28.74 104.82 163.31 185.89 197.18
2024-02-25 54.28 10.39 12.40 16.44 28.60 101.38 157.63 179.18 189.95
2024-03-03 53.00 11.37 13.26 17.03 28.67 97.49 152.10 173.00 183.45
2024-03-10 47.77 9.20 11.04 14.74 25.71 89.32 140.63 160.42 170.32
2024-03-17 44.49 8.26 9.97 13.38 23.61 82.24 129.82 148.13 157.28
2024-03-24 41.01 8.98 10.54 13.65 22.58 76.57 123.96 142.56 151.86
2024-03-31 40.02 9.55 11.14 14.31 23.42 72.61 116.36 133.22 141.65
2024-04-07 36.60 11.38 12.76 15.51 23.09 66.14 107.77 124.16 132.35
2024-04-14 35.68 10.91 12.23 14.88 22.53 61.61 99.99 115.37 123.06
2024-04-21 35.05 9.65 11.15 14.16 22.42 60.16 95.18 109.13 116.11
2024-04-28 32.82 8.21 9.67 12.58 20.71 55.92 87.77 100.52 106.89
2024-05-05 31.21 5.82 7.44 10.68 19.59 51.83 80.32 91.58 97.20
2024-05-12 28.99 4.07 5.68 8.90 17.61 48.18 75.37 86.26 91.70
2024-05-19 28.03 3.43 5.09 8.42 17.46 46.07 70.20 79.76 84.55
2024-05-26 28.08 4.28 5.89 9.12 17.96 44.94 68.31 77.54 82.15
2024-06-02 27.65 3.44 5.10 8.42 17.22 43.60 64.21 72.23 76.25
2024-06-09 28.17 3.67 5.35 8.70 17.53 42.70 61.79 69.46 73.29
2024-06-16 26.54 0.91 2.81 6.60 16.58 39.48 56.49 63.36 66.80
2024-06-23 25.87 1.26 2.97 6.39 15.64 37.27 52.34 58.45 61.50
2024-06-30 24.90 1.17 2.90 6.35 15.63 35.05 49.55 55.38 58.30
2024-07-07 23.22 0.03 1.83 5.44 14.91 32.38 44.54 49.47 51.94
2024-07-14 23.10 0.00 0.00 3.79 13.95 30.96 41.04 45.33 47.47
2024-07-21 21.59 0.00 0.00 1.30 12.05 29.05 38.86 43.18 45.34
2024-07-28 20.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.37 28.86 38.09 41.95 43.87
2024-08-04 19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.28 27.29 35.09 38.61 40.37
2024-08-11 19.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.39 25.06 31.04 33.83 35.22
2024-08-18 18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.52 23.56 29.58 32.38 33.79
2024-08-25 16.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.42 21.22 27.27 30.17 31.62
2024-09-01 17.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15 21.82 27.83 30.73 32.17
2024-09-08 17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.19 21.87 29.25 32.87 34.67
2024-09-15 9.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.41 17.53 25.33 28.33 29.83
2024-09-22 8.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49 17.44 26.64 30.18 31.94
2024-09-29 8.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.62 17.32 27.11 31.10 33.10
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