Prediction 2148
Model | Chronos-Bolt |
---|---|
Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation set 2 for TO using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 11.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 5.84 | 19.92 | 30.14 | 33.93 | 35.83 |
2023-10-15 | 11.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.12 | 19.77 | 30.22 | 34.15 | 36.11 |
2023-10-22 | 13.89 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 2.25 | 7.47 | 23.58 | 35.26 | 39.58 | 41.74 |
2023-10-29 | 14.66 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 2.63 | 7.84 | 25.85 | 38.61 | 43.29 | 45.63 |
2023-11-05 | 14.17 | 0.98 | 1.57 | 2.75 | 6.65 | 25.37 | 39.95 | 45.64 | 48.49 |
2023-11-12 | 15.24 | 3.02 | 3.56 | 4.64 | 8.02 | 28.17 | 43.74 | 49.65 | 52.60 |
2023-11-19 | 17.77 | 4.73 | 5.37 | 6.66 | 10.65 | 31.68 | 49.06 | 55.99 | 59.46 |
2023-11-26 | 19.59 | 6.73 | 7.39 | 8.70 | 12.57 | 34.60 | 55.37 | 63.61 | 67.73 |
2023-12-03 | 21.25 | 8.36 | 9.13 | 10.67 | 14.82 | 36.86 | 60.05 | 69.37 | 74.03 |
2023-12-10 | 21.28 | 9.57 | 10.19 | 11.42 | 15.03 | 38.58 | 64.02 | 74.28 | 79.41 |
2023-12-17 | 22.22 | 10.45 | 11.00 | 12.10 | 15.30 | 40.12 | 67.25 | 78.09 | 83.52 |
2023-12-24 | 24.31 | 9.94 | 10.74 | 12.36 | 16.66 | 45.27 | 74.87 | 86.48 | 92.29 |
2023-12-31 | 30.30 | 12.50 | 13.37 | 15.11 | 20.07 | 54.18 | 87.08 | 99.90 | 106.31 |
2024-01-07 | 33.64 | 13.46 | 14.30 | 15.97 | 21.22 | 60.66 | 93.68 | 106.21 | 112.47 |
2024-01-14 | 37.55 | 15.23 | 16.11 | 17.86 | 23.68 | 67.91 | 105.60 | 120.07 | 127.30 |
2024-01-21 | 42.21 | 15.34 | 16.39 | 18.50 | 25.03 | 74.58 | 116.22 | 132.34 | 140.39 |
2024-01-28 | 48.64 | 17.78 | 18.96 | 21.31 | 29.22 | 84.17 | 127.73 | 144.17 | 152.39 |
2024-02-04 | 55.49 | 20.02 | 21.56 | 24.63 | 34.36 | 94.68 | 141.08 | 158.84 | 167.72 |
2024-02-11 | 59.67 | 19.05 | 20.86 | 24.49 | 35.85 | 100.62 | 149.03 | 167.70 | 177.03 |
2024-02-18 | 62.06 | 18.13 | 19.87 | 23.37 | 34.83 | 105.40 | 156.20 | 175.84 | 185.66 |
2024-02-25 | 64.96 | 19.35 | 21.25 | 25.04 | 37.06 | 109.54 | 161.68 | 181.59 | 191.55 |
2024-03-03 | 68.10 | 20.04 | 22.12 | 26.26 | 39.40 | 114.17 | 169.28 | 190.48 | 201.08 |
2024-03-10 | 69.60 | 18.98 | 21.29 | 25.92 | 40.22 | 115.41 | 168.93 | 189.42 | 199.66 |
2024-03-17 | 69.68 | 17.17 | 19.52 | 24.22 | 39.01 | 113.30 | 165.92 | 186.13 | 196.23 |
2024-03-24 | 71.07 | 18.27 | 20.69 | 25.55 | 40.43 | 115.88 | 169.80 | 190.57 | 200.95 |
2024-03-31 | 72.15 | 18.14 | 20.52 | 25.27 | 40.45 | 116.76 | 168.64 | 188.35 | 198.20 |
2024-04-07 | 73.98 | 20.76 | 23.14 | 27.89 | 42.89 | 118.38 | 169.07 | 188.58 | 198.34 |
2024-04-14 | 71.14 | 18.28 | 20.66 | 25.41 | 40.53 | 112.99 | 162.99 | 182.52 | 192.29 |
2024-04-21 | 65.94 | 15.95 | 18.18 | 22.65 | 36.66 | 107.20 | 155.02 | 173.59 | 182.88 |
2024-04-28 | 62.65 | 16.23 | 18.23 | 22.24 | 35.16 | 101.97 | 148.83 | 167.11 | 176.24 |
2024-05-05 | 60.42 | 17.13 | 19.10 | 23.03 | 35.38 | 96.75 | 140.89 | 158.03 | 166.60 |
2024-05-12 | 55.99 | 15.53 | 17.43 | 21.24 | 33.01 | 89.86 | 132.47 | 149.23 | 157.61 |
2024-05-19 | 49.51 | 14.35 | 16.07 | 19.50 | 29.77 | 81.08 | 119.38 | 134.13 | 141.50 |
2024-05-26 | 43.63 | 14.33 | 15.66 | 18.32 | 26.84 | 73.47 | 111.40 | 126.06 | 133.39 |
2024-06-02 | 39.72 | 12.42 | 13.81 | 16.57 | 24.74 | 66.97 | 102.46 | 116.19 | 123.06 |
2024-06-09 | 36.07 | 11.38 | 12.62 | 15.10 | 22.28 | 59.82 | 91.63 | 104.15 | 110.42 |
2024-06-16 | 33.81 | 10.41 | 11.61 | 14.01 | 21.37 | 55.04 | 83.73 | 95.08 | 100.76 |
2024-06-23 | 30.19 | 8.42 | 9.57 | 11.88 | 18.78 | 48.51 | 74.20 | 84.50 | 89.64 |
2024-06-30 | 27.19 | 8.74 | 9.69 | 11.57 | 17.39 | 43.21 | 67.01 | 76.63 | 81.44 |
2024-07-07 | 22.93 | 6.68 | 7.60 | 9.44 | 14.86 | 36.63 | 58.18 | 66.87 | 71.21 |
2024-07-14 | 20.23 | 4.13 | 5.15 | 7.18 | 12.76 | 31.31 | 49.92 | 57.66 | 61.53 |
2024-07-21 | 19.44 | 3.85 | 4.79 | 6.66 | 11.99 | 29.85 | 47.72 | 55.12 | 58.82 |
2024-07-28 | 18.83 | 2.42 | 3.41 | 5.39 | 11.08 | 28.57 | 46.73 | 54.08 | 57.75 |
2024-08-04 | 17.41 | 2.36 | 3.14 | 4.71 | 9.57 | 26.60 | 44.24 | 51.61 | 55.29 |
2024-08-11 | 15.02 | 2.42 | 3.04 | 4.27 | 8.47 | 23.12 | 37.16 | 43.07 | 46.02 |
2024-08-18 | 15.33 | 1.64 | 2.39 | 3.89 | 8.53 | 21.99 | 36.71 | 42.99 | 46.12 |
2024-08-25 | 14.15 | 0.89 | 1.64 | 3.15 | 7.76 | 21.09 | 36.01 | 42.45 | 45.67 |
2024-09-01 | 11.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 6.12 | 18.61 | 32.35 | 38.36 | 41.37 |
2024-09-08 | 14.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 6.78 | 21.35 | 36.10 | 42.56 | 45.79 |
2024-09-15 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.22 | 26.34 | 30.05 | 31.90 |
2024-09-22 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.36 | 21.74 | 25.61 | 27.54 |
2024-09-29 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.10 | 21.26 | 24.32 | 25.85 |