Prediction 2149

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation set 2 for AC using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 24.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.12 58.90 111.87 133.36 144.10
2023-10-15 27.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.71 68.53 135.20 162.04 175.46
2023-10-22 33.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.13 85.24 162.30 192.75 207.98
2023-10-29 42.21 0.00 0.00 2.89 18.57 100.38 192.16 228.89 247.26
2023-11-05 51.37 0.00 0.38 6.45 23.46 115.62 219.13 260.96 281.87
2023-11-12 62.20 3.47 6.57 12.76 29.94 139.65 259.30 307.17 331.11
2023-11-19 71.33 5.34 8.52 14.87 33.97 161.67 295.08 347.87 374.26
2023-11-26 78.21 1.37 5.23 12.95 35.80 181.43 332.41 392.06 421.89
2023-12-03 95.73 0.27 4.98 14.39 41.75 210.46 376.56 441.67 474.22
2023-12-10 121.73 7.09 12.32 22.77 55.05 249.22 429.38 500.63 536.26
2023-12-17 142.00 9.56 15.74 28.10 65.30 282.01 471.30 545.88 583.16
2023-12-24 156.06 11.65 18.46 32.09 74.04 306.25 510.00 589.61 629.42
2023-12-31 169.75 16.10 23.35 37.86 82.47 327.09 542.96 626.91 668.88
2024-01-07 182.80 17.87 25.85 41.83 90.27 347.01 570.40 656.43 699.44
2024-01-14 189.31 18.85 27.38 44.46 95.46 360.14 594.40 684.71 729.87
2024-01-21 195.69 17.10 26.13 44.20 97.43 368.86 614.52 710.15 757.97
2024-01-28 209.16 18.94 28.46 47.49 104.91 388.22 637.01 733.30 781.44
2024-02-04 218.62 21.87 31.67 51.26 110.89 399.72 647.66 743.99 792.16
2024-02-11 213.80 22.89 32.08 50.45 107.29 392.73 635.46 729.36 776.31
2024-02-18 199.23 20.23 28.53 45.13 96.72 375.62 613.32 706.06 752.43
2024-02-25 189.40 17.24 25.36 41.62 91.63 359.47 594.04 685.57 731.33
2024-03-03 183.38 13.74 21.73 37.71 87.23 349.57 581.98 672.25 717.38
2024-03-10 167.57 9.95 17.70 33.21 79.84 327.58 552.00 639.47 683.20
2024-03-17 154.34 12.50 19.47 33.40 75.24 303.49 519.91 604.38 646.62
2024-03-24 140.08 12.92 19.13 31.54 68.74 279.41 492.55 576.76 618.86
2024-03-31 127.05 13.43 18.79 29.51 62.48 258.73 459.38 537.74 576.92
2024-04-07 118.53 14.08 19.46 30.22 61.51 240.21 432.24 508.05 545.96
2024-04-14 110.32 17.08 21.84 31.37 59.42 222.31 403.43 475.21 511.10
2024-04-21 94.34 15.34 19.49 27.79 51.51 200.29 371.46 439.19 473.06
2024-04-28 82.11 15.84 19.33 26.33 46.37 179.09 341.95 406.43 438.68
2024-05-05 72.80 15.02 18.36 25.05 43.41 162.24 312.75 372.47 402.33
2024-05-12 67.93 14.10 17.36 23.88 41.36 149.12 290.45 346.72 374.86
2024-05-19 62.09 11.47 14.63 20.95 37.89 135.33 263.87 315.08 340.69
2024-05-26 62.18 11.80 15.00 21.40 39.00 130.57 251.06 298.95 322.89
2024-06-02 58.84 7.49 10.73 17.20 34.64 122.78 232.90 276.60 298.46
2024-06-09 56.94 6.51 9.81 16.42 33.78 116.40 217.24 257.60 277.78
2024-06-16 52.97 1.22 4.83 12.05 31.22 106.96 199.10 235.82 254.18
2024-06-23 48.35 0.15 3.43 9.98 27.69 95.93 179.96 213.78 230.69
2024-06-30 44.15 0.00 2.86 9.11 25.89 85.84 164.45 196.31 212.23
2024-07-07 38.88 0.00 2.01 8.15 24.29 74.63 144.29 172.70 186.91
2024-07-14 34.23 0.00 0.00 3.65 19.98 65.08 129.31 155.61 168.76
2024-07-21 33.16 0.00 0.00 0.39 17.68 63.84 124.32 149.27 161.75
2024-07-28 32.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.86 61.91 117.32 140.03 151.39
2024-08-04 30.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.37 57.86 111.18 133.40 144.51
2024-08-11 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.57 50.40 99.10 119.43 129.59
2024-08-18 23.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.85 47.35 98.26 119.45 130.04
2024-08-25 17.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.23 39.17 92.69 115.56 127.00
2024-09-01 15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.08 41.42 100.61 125.63 138.14
2024-09-08 14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.93 43.20 110.77 139.41 153.73
2024-09-15 6.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.45 75.75 94.59 104.01
2024-09-22 8.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.59 76.44 95.06 104.37
2024-09-29 11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.05 77.52 95.32 104.22
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