Prediction 2150
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation set 2 for SP using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 150.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.78 | 185.48 | 501.26 | 647.20 | 720.17 |
| 2023-10-15 | 6.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.24 | 436.57 | 623.95 | 717.64 |
| 2023-10-22 | 98.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 147.89 | 603.35 | 817.50 | 924.57 |
| 2023-10-29 | 227.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.93 | 278.53 | 841.88 | 1104.37 | 1235.61 |
| 2023-11-05 | 311.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 241.53 | 346.08 | 973.59 | 1285.28 | 1441.13 |
| 2023-11-12 | 80.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.28 | 164.39 | 1107.69 | 1539.79 | 1755.85 |
| 2023-11-19 | 150.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.56 | 316.86 | 1466.94 | 1986.29 | 2245.97 |
| 2023-11-26 | 362.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.80 | 310.41 | 631.70 | 2146.60 | 2828.82 | 3169.92 |
| 2023-12-03 | 347.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.39 | 315.24 | 817.22 | 2703.00 | 3532.24 | 3946.86 |
| 2023-12-10 | 263.63 | 0.00 | 1.10 | 64.37 | 197.51 | 900.75 | 3054.50 | 3994.40 | 4464.35 |
| 2023-12-17 | 362.03 | 53.48 | 77.45 | 125.40 | 236.76 | 1155.26 | 3648.56 | 4725.78 | 5264.40 |
| 2023-12-24 | 587.55 | 235.43 | 256.47 | 298.54 | 404.93 | 1676.73 | 4588.23 | 5823.88 | 6441.71 |
| 2023-12-31 | 911.25 | 283.60 | 314.70 | 376.90 | 553.22 | 2278.59 | 5588.11 | 6974.88 | 7668.27 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1209.01 | 252.35 | 297.30 | 387.21 | 652.33 | 2896.64 | 6482.50 | 7952.76 | 8687.89 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1540.15 | 236.91 | 296.93 | 416.96 | 761.29 | 3610.01 | 7606.97 | 9240.17 | 10056.78 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1951.58 | 366.71 | 427.49 | 549.04 | 922.83 | 4305.19 | 8786.06 | 10606.98 | 11517.44 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2541.78 | 594.11 | 664.69 | 805.85 | 1278.64 | 5276.59 | 10097.56 | 12036.20 | 13005.52 |
| 2024-02-04 | 3048.31 | 576.86 | 681.41 | 890.50 | 1560.45 | 6164.82 | 11377.36 | 13470.81 | 14517.53 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3384.66 | 337.89 | 473.65 | 745.17 | 1601.75 | 6833.61 | 12460.78 | 14706.27 | 15829.01 |
| 2024-02-18 | 4006.79 | 293.61 | 458.24 | 787.50 | 1823.86 | 7920.78 | 13958.88 | 16374.75 | 17582.69 |
| 2024-02-25 | 4793.42 | 369.26 | 585.38 | 1017.60 | 2314.82 | 9036.99 | 15357.38 | 17862.06 | 19114.41 |
| 2024-03-03 | 5393.07 | 380.24 | 629.63 | 1128.42 | 2633.33 | 9843.33 | 16516.45 | 19165.25 | 20489.65 |
| 2024-03-10 | 5579.76 | 434.47 | 682.95 | 1179.91 | 2711.92 | 10164.13 | 16834.04 | 19466.19 | 20782.26 |
| 2024-03-17 | 6327.30 | 622.85 | 918.07 | 1508.53 | 3276.69 | 10872.93 | 17563.92 | 20199.48 | 21517.26 |
| 2024-03-24 | 7022.10 | 848.50 | 1178.55 | 1838.65 | 3789.25 | 11737.89 | 18699.29 | 21452.65 | 22829.33 |
| 2024-03-31 | 7503.29 | 883.53 | 1236.35 | 1942.00 | 4053.98 | 12383.63 | 19236.48 | 21912.17 | 23250.01 |
| 2024-04-07 | 7363.32 | 920.85 | 1272.49 | 1975.77 | 4042.93 | 12084.81 | 18756.24 | 21388.44 | 22704.54 |
| 2024-04-14 | 6546.50 | 918.92 | 1210.59 | 1793.95 | 3551.43 | 10810.51 | 17107.96 | 19604.81 | 20853.24 |
| 2024-04-21 | 5717.54 | 1032.07 | 1265.66 | 1732.86 | 3143.61 | 9702.21 | 15631.49 | 17986.15 | 19163.47 |
| 2024-04-28 | 5574.18 | 916.82 | 1167.15 | 1667.81 | 3151.36 | 9305.52 | 14956.54 | 17202.97 | 18326.19 |
| 2024-05-05 | 4804.88 | 731.21 | 951.10 | 1390.89 | 2701.69 | 8142.44 | 13249.66 | 15279.97 | 16295.12 |
| 2024-05-12 | 3355.05 | 517.29 | 655.24 | 931.15 | 1778.84 | 6230.49 | 10924.31 | 12811.93 | 13755.73 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2556.05 | 391.08 | 494.69 | 701.90 | 1335.20 | 5035.71 | 9179.22 | 10844.57 | 11677.25 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2077.37 | 360.67 | 441.54 | 603.30 | 1109.06 | 4221.14 | 8023.58 | 9557.93 | 10325.10 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1697.87 | 322.26 | 393.70 | 536.60 | 941.71 | 3545.68 | 6863.57 | 8195.78 | 8861.88 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1403.03 | 383.31 | 440.61 | 555.21 | 863.87 | 2938.66 | 5770.94 | 6927.53 | 7505.83 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1192.62 | 436.23 | 474.16 | 550.00 | 772.66 | 2396.29 | 4751.48 | 5718.84 | 6202.52 |
| 2024-06-23 | 960.78 | 311.89 | 350.72 | 428.37 | 653.29 | 1899.36 | 3938.65 | 4792.39 | 5219.26 |
| 2024-06-30 | 789.02 | 228.59 | 262.84 | 331.35 | 529.29 | 1518.58 | 3334.33 | 4095.64 | 4476.30 |
| 2024-07-07 | 586.32 | 161.73 | 190.79 | 248.91 | 404.97 | 1164.20 | 2720.20 | 3384.24 | 3716.26 |
| 2024-07-14 | 548.28 | 155.14 | 184.99 | 244.68 | 393.70 | 920.40 | 2232.42 | 2802.89 | 3088.13 |
| 2024-07-21 | 449.63 | 44.31 | 79.12 | 148.74 | 322.26 | 752.02 | 2009.73 | 2557.61 | 2831.56 |
| 2024-07-28 | 361.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.78 | 220.70 | 630.30 | 1801.97 | 2303.57 | 2554.37 |
| 2024-08-04 | 363.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 195.61 | 591.89 | 1763.40 | 2288.06 | 2550.40 |
| 2024-08-11 | 271.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.61 | 419.67 | 1316.73 | 1724.49 | 1928.37 |
| 2024-08-18 | 262.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.97 | 370.08 | 1292.36 | 1706.78 | 1913.99 |
| 2024-08-25 | 190.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.79 | 1196.24 | 1634.49 | 1853.62 |
| 2024-09-01 | 294.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.76 | 332.29 | 1224.82 | 1665.86 | 1886.38 |
| 2024-09-08 | 284.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.39 | 325.80 | 1220.03 | 1664.29 | 1886.42 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 344.13 | 883.62 | 1088.84 | 1191.45 |
| 2024-09-22 | 123.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 569.97 | 1082.06 | 1280.90 | 1380.32 |
| 2024-09-29 | 279.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 856.21 | 1260.27 | 1392.53 | 1458.66 |
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