Prediction 2151

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation set 2 for RN using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 63.32 18.12 21.64 28.68 46.42 86.26 116.99 128.33 134.00
2023-10-15 60.28 14.42 17.62 24.03 42.03 82.49 110.16 120.50 125.67
2023-10-22 56.49 13.36 16.45 22.62 39.86 77.32 102.96 112.43 117.17
2023-10-29 54.52 9.02 12.57 19.66 38.20 76.48 99.80 108.10 112.24
2023-11-05 54.65 11.79 14.44 19.76 35.50 74.34 93.85 101.12 104.75
2023-11-12 47.68 9.74 12.25 17.29 31.55 68.21 86.28 92.63 95.81
2023-11-19 47.03 9.87 12.49 17.73 32.21 65.23 82.64 89.54 92.99
2023-11-26 50.16 12.81 15.35 20.42 34.21 67.21 86.54 94.35 98.26
2023-12-03 51.01 12.83 15.81 21.75 37.37 68.13 89.88 98.66 103.04
2023-12-10 48.34 11.92 14.23 18.84 32.29 68.25 94.08 104.90 110.32
2023-12-17 51.29 10.69 13.27 18.41 32.55 75.12 105.49 118.13 124.45
2023-12-24 49.63 12.72 15.32 20.52 34.55 75.76 109.51 123.05 129.82
2023-12-31 51.06 16.79 19.26 24.20 36.99 77.57 119.76 136.94 145.52
2024-01-07 61.00 23.60 25.99 30.76 44.21 90.93 136.40 154.44 163.47
2024-01-14 64.31 27.51 29.73 34.18 46.96 99.67 153.02 174.00 184.49
2024-01-21 67.10 25.89 28.33 33.21 46.24 106.86 168.15 192.60 204.83
2024-01-28 69.48 29.60 31.48 35.25 46.95 114.54 179.40 204.71 217.36
2024-02-04 71.03 30.96 33.04 37.20 49.04 120.07 190.58 218.36 232.25
2024-02-11 73.88 34.05 36.09 40.16 51.88 124.72 199.29 229.42 244.49
2024-02-18 83.25 37.98 40.18 44.59 57.39 137.20 214.44 245.38 260.85
2024-02-25 88.85 41.72 43.96 48.44 61.23 144.18 226.67 259.40 275.77
2024-03-03 92.86 39.76 42.38 47.62 62.69 151.74 239.69 274.73 292.26
2024-03-10 100.64 40.24 43.30 49.42 67.04 163.19 253.02 288.48 306.21
2024-03-17 103.55 37.90 40.93 46.99 65.69 167.82 263.06 300.81 319.69
2024-03-24 104.98 35.62 38.97 45.69 64.92 172.55 274.68 315.14 335.38
2024-03-31 113.46 35.65 39.25 46.47 68.27 184.40 287.65 328.27 348.58
2024-04-07 118.00 44.14 47.40 53.90 74.04 191.27 295.57 336.95 357.64
2024-04-14 124.81 46.04 49.44 56.24 77.91 197.09 305.25 348.97 370.83
2024-04-21 127.44 45.21 48.65 55.55 77.39 205.25 310.85 352.78 373.74
2024-04-28 120.40 40.63 43.86 50.32 70.99 200.53 309.65 353.02 374.70
2024-05-05 118.44 43.57 46.62 52.74 72.33 194.27 301.18 343.46 364.59
2024-05-12 128.29 48.24 51.68 58.57 80.26 205.36 312.67 355.73 377.26
2024-05-19 132.93 51.14 54.76 61.99 84.29 211.19 316.47 358.07 378.87
2024-05-26 128.17 48.47 51.63 57.95 79.18 209.77 317.04 359.07 380.09
2024-06-02 132.91 45.98 49.64 56.95 80.56 213.82 321.02 363.33 384.48
2024-06-09 132.32 48.42 52.10 59.47 82.60 211.57 315.86 356.98 377.54
2024-06-16 132.45 47.73 51.75 59.78 84.51 208.57 312.35 353.48 374.05
2024-06-23 136.14 48.35 52.76 61.58 88.29 209.64 312.01 352.49 372.73
2024-06-30 132.46 46.95 51.51 60.62 87.55 203.47 305.55 346.00 366.23
2024-07-07 124.25 42.28 46.71 55.57 81.37 193.38 293.03 332.25 351.87
2024-07-14 122.27 40.61 44.94 53.58 79.04 190.37 284.52 321.94 340.64
2024-07-21 116.91 40.99 44.84 52.55 75.84 183.73 279.69 317.63 336.59
2024-07-28 109.36 38.18 41.82 49.10 70.92 171.99 263.00 298.99 316.98
2024-08-04 105.49 38.34 41.77 48.63 69.04 161.08 248.52 283.76 301.38
2024-08-11 96.05 35.83 38.96 45.21 64.43 147.75 223.84 254.72 270.16
2024-08-18 95.45 35.92 38.83 44.66 62.62 141.13 213.22 242.49 257.12
2024-08-25 93.88 38.84 41.32 46.29 62.90 138.51 210.31 239.70 254.40
2024-09-01 90.67 36.88 39.53 44.82 61.27 132.07 199.02 226.41 240.11
2024-09-08 87.55 31.63 34.62 40.59 58.11 126.73 190.48 216.76 229.90
2024-09-15 82.76 13.18 17.27 25.44 48.62 128.48 174.75 192.55 201.46
2024-09-22 73.01 12.59 15.88 22.47 42.99 113.41 156.63 173.27 181.59
2024-09-29 67.70 11.86 14.81 20.72 37.99 105.14 143.42 158.03 165.33
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