Prediction 2153

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation set 2 for MT using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 79.30 17.86 22.86 32.86 58.28 100.06 148.82 169.51 179.85
2023-10-15 73.19 10.92 15.85 25.70 51.70 93.79 146.80 169.11 180.26
2023-10-22 74.77 15.59 20.14 29.23 53.27 98.59 154.91 178.67 190.54
2023-10-29 75.36 16.46 21.12 30.45 54.23 99.09 162.70 189.92 203.54
2023-11-05 74.66 19.92 23.97 32.08 54.14 97.08 167.02 197.52 212.77
2023-11-12 77.49 25.54 29.26 36.70 56.39 107.29 190.69 226.75 244.78
2023-11-19 86.21 28.74 32.57 40.21 62.12 123.74 220.96 262.86 283.81
2023-11-26 88.62 29.81 33.83 41.88 63.17 136.54 258.52 311.10 337.39
2023-12-03 97.46 34.25 38.35 46.56 68.84 154.69 298.01 359.11 389.66
2023-12-10 102.60 39.39 42.99 50.19 70.46 177.22 347.45 419.63 455.72
2023-12-17 111.82 44.43 47.76 54.42 73.88 202.66 400.43 483.23 524.63
2023-12-24 135.76 54.06 58.09 66.15 89.71 248.74 474.91 568.08 614.67
2023-12-31 171.13 62.27 67.50 77.96 110.17 305.00 561.47 666.53 719.07
2024-01-07 194.71 60.27 66.82 79.92 119.89 349.41 625.09 736.01 791.47
2024-01-14 230.94 70.36 78.46 94.68 143.10 407.99 708.45 828.98 889.25
2024-01-21 272.81 79.13 88.90 108.43 166.17 468.34 795.73 926.80 992.34
2024-01-28 307.09 79.66 90.40 111.89 178.78 526.22 869.37 1005.19 1073.09
2024-02-04 348.87 81.06 94.37 120.98 202.61 588.46 941.99 1081.62 1151.43
2024-02-11 389.44 98.56 113.07 142.10 230.85 635.65 1000.09 1144.14 1216.17
2024-02-18 403.82 109.63 124.05 152.88 240.83 660.47 1035.47 1184.32 1258.75
2024-02-25 412.49 111.17 126.37 156.76 247.88 677.24 1056.30 1205.70 1280.40
2024-03-03 420.95 109.42 125.00 156.16 250.28 694.18 1085.79 1239.76 1316.74
2024-03-10 420.95 105.55 121.36 152.97 248.86 695.06 1081.75 1233.43 1309.27
2024-03-17 424.97 105.13 121.08 152.99 249.57 691.31 1072.33 1221.54 1296.14
2024-03-24 425.95 109.03 124.93 156.73 252.38 693.29 1080.83 1233.13 1309.28
2024-03-31 415.23 104.56 119.62 149.75 242.82 680.42 1055.31 1201.08 1273.97
2024-04-07 412.89 111.05 126.00 155.91 246.78 671.22 1035.64 1178.85 1250.46
2024-04-14 402.71 107.54 121.89 150.59 239.61 643.76 990.78 1127.92 1196.49
2024-04-21 382.04 99.43 113.44 141.47 226.92 614.56 945.30 1075.35 1140.37
2024-04-28 360.52 91.96 105.18 131.62 213.22 579.96 896.58 1021.12 1083.39
2024-05-05 345.09 90.64 103.02 127.79 205.16 551.79 844.88 960.14 1017.77
2024-05-12 319.38 77.02 89.16 113.42 187.76 515.57 794.43 904.36 959.32
2024-05-19 295.01 72.90 84.06 106.38 174.48 477.61 732.68 832.80 882.86
2024-05-26 274.09 78.57 88.08 107.11 166.64 444.86 690.85 787.98 836.55
2024-06-02 244.00 75.40 83.87 100.80 151.08 399.28 623.35 711.25 755.19
2024-06-09 216.30 73.00 80.08 94.24 136.58 355.17 557.94 638.38 678.61
2024-06-16 190.49 65.94 72.16 84.61 122.73 312.01 495.33 568.00 604.34
2024-06-23 159.79 56.03 61.22 71.58 103.18 263.58 424.84 489.24 521.44
2024-06-30 143.19 60.47 64.39 72.25 97.35 227.39 371.30 429.51 458.62
2024-07-07 132.45 59.97 64.10 72.35 96.77 200.74 325.93 377.05 402.61
2024-07-14 121.69 47.35 51.86 60.88 86.62 175.95 284.93 330.22 352.86
2024-07-21 109.29 34.00 38.62 47.85 74.36 157.32 254.08 294.41 314.58
2024-07-28 109.45 34.37 38.88 47.91 74.40 149.55 232.15 265.98 282.90
2024-08-04 103.23 33.09 37.46 46.22 72.19 135.70 210.35 242.51 258.59
2024-08-11 90.87 25.15 29.53 38.29 63.88 117.20 175.71 200.99 213.64
2024-08-18 83.46 17.84 21.93 30.10 54.50 105.83 161.98 185.84 197.78
2024-08-25 77.95 9.05 13.56 22.57 49.03 94.73 146.83 170.08 181.71
2024-09-01 74.52 8.75 13.21 22.12 48.13 89.16 141.11 165.03 176.99
2024-09-08 73.23 2.08 7.51 18.36 47.81 84.77 138.56 163.72 176.30
2024-09-15 59.78 9.10 11.80 17.22 32.89 88.16 120.25 132.48 138.59
2024-09-22 58.80 9.63 12.42 17.99 33.63 87.35 120.15 132.27 138.33
2024-09-29 56.76 8.20 11.14 17.02 32.01 85.39 116.29 127.45 133.03
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