Prediction 2154

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation set 2 for AL using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 34.21 0.36 2.48 6.74 18.41 55.54 86.01 97.66 103.49
2023-10-15 29.83 0.00 0.00 2.60 14.27 49.57 77.49 88.51 94.03
2023-10-22 27.76 0.00 0.00 1.75 13.94 46.33 73.28 83.84 89.12
2023-10-29 26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.40 44.99 67.52 75.85 80.02
2023-11-05 23.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.03 39.68 60.47 68.74 72.88
2023-11-12 22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.44 37.70 54.60 60.91 64.06
2023-11-19 21.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.14 33.32 47.43 53.22 56.12
2023-11-26 20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.99 30.02 43.78 49.56 52.45
2023-12-03 18.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 27.08 40.79 46.77 49.76
2023-12-10 17.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.73 27.55 41.47 47.71 50.84
2023-12-17 20.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.73 28.87 43.75 50.33 53.62
2023-12-24 15.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.59 23.41 37.00 42.95 45.93
2023-12-31 13.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.20 21.12 36.76 43.80 47.32
2024-01-07 16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.38 25.37 38.25 43.89 46.71
2024-01-14 15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81 24.91 40.53 47.25 50.61
2024-01-21 15.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 25.32 43.75 51.77 55.79
2024-01-28 15.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.77 27.57 46.65 54.42 58.31
2024-02-04 19.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.52 34.50 55.58 64.16 68.45
2024-02-11 19.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.51 34.03 57.59 67.95 73.14
2024-02-18 20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.42 35.03 59.76 70.19 75.40
2024-02-25 22.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.89 38.29 65.90 77.19 82.83
2024-03-03 26.23 0.00 0.00 1.55 12.64 45.35 77.20 90.37 96.96
2024-03-10 29.80 0.00 0.00 2.78 14.37 50.16 85.14 99.35 106.46
2024-03-17 29.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.86 51.56 90.65 106.63 114.62
2024-03-24 29.73 0.00 0.00 0.48 12.59 53.52 96.67 114.30 123.12
2024-03-31 34.64 0.00 0.00 1.77 14.32 60.04 106.89 125.88 135.38
2024-04-07 35.27 0.93 2.64 6.07 16.23 62.74 111.44 131.40 141.38
2024-04-14 37.84 0.58 2.47 6.25 17.36 66.10 120.98 144.06 155.61
2024-04-21 45.49 4.75 6.65 10.44 22.03 79.67 135.80 158.82 170.33
2024-04-28 49.73 7.07 9.01 12.88 24.85 87.97 148.94 173.80 186.23
2024-05-05 48.72 9.25 11.04 14.61 25.50 85.98 149.51 175.12 187.92
2024-05-12 52.37 9.69 11.65 15.55 27.58 92.23 158.39 185.64 199.26
2024-05-19 53.45 11.27 13.18 17.00 28.33 97.32 165.18 192.37 205.97
2024-05-26 54.81 10.78 12.57 16.14 28.08 104.40 177.67 206.67 221.17
2024-06-02 61.92 10.76 13.00 17.48 31.92 111.98 186.95 217.00 232.03
2024-06-09 60.62 11.05 13.23 17.57 31.13 109.78 184.75 214.64 229.59
2024-06-16 59.52 9.81 12.17 16.89 31.56 108.32 184.47 214.88 230.08
2024-06-23 59.02 9.39 11.76 16.51 31.14 108.18 184.18 214.29 229.34
2024-06-30 55.42 9.78 11.98 16.38 30.08 104.06 180.74 211.45 226.80
2024-07-07 52.82 8.49 10.71 15.16 28.48 101.11 179.92 211.24 226.90
2024-07-14 51.52 5.84 8.20 12.91 26.30 98.87 173.71 203.71 218.71
2024-07-21 53.80 7.68 9.93 14.43 27.87 101.14 178.07 208.71 224.03
2024-07-28 52.46 6.76 8.86 13.05 26.39 97.96 174.91 205.58 220.92
2024-08-04 47.61 4.99 7.10 11.32 23.83 90.40 167.46 198.53 214.06
2024-08-11 44.11 5.53 7.27 10.74 21.98 87.13 158.43 186.96 201.22
2024-08-18 48.32 6.20 8.18 12.14 24.28 89.95 160.71 189.23 203.49
2024-08-25 44.39 5.58 7.32 10.80 21.89 87.05 159.02 187.96 202.43
2024-09-01 40.60 2.29 4.13 7.82 18.92 81.31 149.74 177.26 191.02
2024-09-08 41.10 1.28 3.22 7.12 18.56 81.15 148.82 176.18 189.85
2024-09-15 28.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.12 76.21 138.93 164.21 176.85
2024-09-22 24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.19 66.76 135.55 162.81 176.45
2024-09-29 12.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.86 126.78 153.00 166.11
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