Prediction 2155

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation set 2 for AM using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 62.66 24.22 27.65 34.52 51.25 86.45 122.60 136.70 143.75
2023-10-15 63.34 24.40 27.46 33.57 49.79 86.79 124.22 139.05 146.47
2023-10-22 62.46 23.35 26.35 32.34 48.29 87.65 124.58 138.99 146.19
2023-10-29 64.48 24.31 27.57 34.09 51.17 91.92 129.46 143.89 151.11
2023-11-05 64.60 23.72 26.88 33.21 49.92 89.66 122.28 134.83 141.11
2023-11-12 65.53 24.75 27.96 34.37 51.28 93.45 129.02 142.59 149.38
2023-11-19 68.84 25.18 28.55 35.29 53.06 96.88 130.84 144.37 151.13
2023-11-26 67.99 24.30 27.72 34.56 52.40 98.03 132.55 145.86 152.51
2023-12-03 66.94 24.15 27.42 33.96 51.22 98.14 137.95 153.15 160.74
2023-12-10 73.46 30.54 33.36 39.02 55.34 106.86 153.08 171.33 180.45
2023-12-17 77.17 30.53 33.78 40.28 57.58 113.15 160.78 179.73 189.20
2023-12-24 80.29 29.74 33.30 40.42 60.11 121.11 172.33 191.94 201.75
2023-12-31 81.65 31.60 34.95 41.67 60.30 124.37 181.38 203.15 214.04
2024-01-07 84.18 34.61 37.72 43.92 61.75 129.42 185.94 207.07 217.63
2024-01-14 83.52 34.51 37.70 44.08 61.43 130.54 189.68 211.80 222.86
2024-01-21 86.28 34.97 38.34 45.09 63.09 136.04 199.81 223.78 235.76
2024-01-28 86.15 36.22 39.23 45.25 62.02 137.21 203.74 228.85 241.40
2024-02-04 88.96 34.50 38.06 45.19 64.21 142.42 212.49 239.66 253.25
2024-02-11 90.67 35.13 38.50 45.25 64.42 145.85 217.10 244.53 258.24
2024-02-18 93.24 35.24 38.56 45.18 63.94 150.71 222.42 250.16 264.03
2024-02-25 92.52 33.03 36.45 43.29 62.56 148.57 221.08 248.90 262.81
2024-03-03 94.67 34.19 37.55 44.27 63.80 151.13 224.37 252.46 266.51
2024-03-10 88.46 30.03 33.49 40.41 59.73 142.66 215.49 243.60 257.66
2024-03-17 84.76 28.52 31.96 38.84 57.94 138.34 211.64 240.29 254.61
2024-03-24 84.14 29.53 32.87 39.57 57.36 134.66 212.45 243.33 258.77
2024-03-31 84.66 25.89 29.58 36.96 57.39 134.54 208.23 236.91 251.25
2024-04-07 79.03 25.97 29.32 36.02 54.39 125.59 197.37 225.88 240.13
2024-04-14 80.40 26.86 30.07 36.49 54.87 124.13 194.46 222.69 236.81
2024-04-21 78.30 25.02 28.28 34.80 53.31 123.20 189.81 216.77 230.25
2024-04-28 76.99 22.82 26.35 33.41 52.62 122.29 186.31 211.95 224.77
2024-05-05 77.04 21.05 24.96 32.79 53.96 118.67 181.37 206.31 218.78
2024-05-12 76.26 21.35 25.13 32.70 52.80 115.84 179.13 204.82 217.66
2024-05-19 71.11 20.83 24.31 31.26 50.17 108.66 169.09 193.44 205.62
2024-05-26 72.44 25.44 28.65 35.07 52.41 110.48 172.46 197.09 209.41
2024-06-02 72.96 26.27 29.41 35.70 52.62 109.40 167.20 190.26 201.79
2024-06-09 73.34 26.17 29.38 35.82 52.83 108.25 163.69 186.06 197.25
2024-06-16 72.30 22.35 26.11 33.62 52.85 106.06 158.81 180.35 191.13
2024-06-23 76.09 27.89 31.20 37.82 55.92 109.03 163.40 185.74 196.92
2024-06-30 73.53 25.82 29.48 36.81 55.48 104.96 158.60 180.15 190.92
2024-07-07 71.26 23.73 27.50 35.04 54.13 102.74 151.68 171.09 180.80
2024-07-14 67.62 19.70 23.19 30.17 49.18 98.74 148.52 168.51 178.50
2024-07-21 69.85 19.19 22.81 30.05 49.88 102.30 154.24 175.43 186.02
2024-07-28 69.51 14.99 19.15 27.48 49.42 103.94 154.28 174.56 184.69
2024-08-04 70.33 16.05 19.96 27.79 48.39 102.91 152.74 173.28 183.56
2024-08-11 68.30 12.64 16.73 24.91 47.17 99.93 146.94 166.49 176.26
2024-08-18 71.84 16.85 20.39 27.48 47.25 103.59 153.55 174.01 184.24
2024-08-25 67.29 14.87 18.20 24.84 44.12 97.10 147.17 167.80 178.12
2024-09-01 68.34 14.34 18.05 25.48 46.17 96.83 144.47 164.01 173.79
2024-09-08 69.63 8.85 13.37 22.40 46.37 97.03 146.13 166.41 176.55
2024-09-15 51.56 8.48 11.12 16.40 30.56 80.98 124.04 140.70 149.03
2024-09-22 53.48 7.95 10.83 16.58 31.36 82.73 124.97 141.41 149.62
2024-09-29 53.65 9.11 11.95 17.63 32.55 80.72 123.91 141.42 150.17
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