Prediction 2156

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation set 2 for PA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 30.38 12.75 14.01 16.54 23.18 38.89 52.23 57.54 60.19
2023-10-15 28.83 12.11 13.27 15.61 21.99 37.04 50.96 56.55 59.34
2023-10-22 28.07 14.12 15.06 16.94 22.04 37.83 53.11 59.15 62.17
2023-10-29 28.37 14.37 15.30 17.14 22.00 39.79 58.24 65.63 69.33
2023-11-05 28.68 15.44 16.04 17.22 21.02 40.63 62.07 70.96 75.41
2023-11-12 28.17 16.14 16.57 17.42 20.23 43.97 68.84 78.93 83.98
2023-11-19 30.54 17.78 18.24 19.17 22.25 49.49 79.17 91.19 97.20
2023-11-26 33.93 19.50 20.14 21.43 25.23 55.59 92.34 107.40 114.93
2023-12-03 36.76 20.42 21.11 22.50 26.67 61.61 104.66 122.06 130.76
2023-12-10 37.36 19.48 20.14 21.48 25.73 66.94 116.12 136.17 146.20
2023-12-17 41.09 19.55 20.26 21.67 26.41 75.56 131.04 153.46 164.67
2023-12-24 46.53 19.28 20.35 22.49 29.16 87.74 151.46 176.82 189.49
2023-12-31 57.44 20.96 22.45 25.44 34.95 105.26 177.54 206.13 220.43
2024-01-07 65.81 20.26 22.24 26.20 38.67 119.97 198.15 228.58 243.79
2024-01-14 72.46 19.18 21.63 26.52 41.71 133.22 218.97 252.26 268.91
2024-01-21 80.36 16.50 19.44 25.33 43.14 147.62 243.07 280.43 299.11
2024-01-28 101.55 19.08 23.08 31.06 55.45 177.57 278.96 318.09 337.66
2024-02-04 114.58 19.89 24.59 33.99 62.76 196.78 302.83 343.82 364.31
2024-02-11 114.91 17.73 22.64 32.47 62.03 197.90 305.12 346.71 367.50
2024-02-18 113.02 18.49 23.15 32.46 60.53 197.19 305.72 348.05 369.22
2024-02-25 114.45 21.27 25.91 35.19 62.92 196.95 303.77 345.28 366.03
2024-03-03 109.01 20.69 25.07 33.82 60.04 188.77 294.17 335.02 355.45
2024-03-10 92.46 17.72 21.07 27.78 48.70 167.41 266.79 305.48 324.82
2024-03-17 84.00 17.06 19.94 25.69 43.85 151.81 245.07 281.38 299.54
2024-03-24 79.58 18.89 21.51 26.76 43.09 142.43 231.76 266.88 284.43
2024-03-31 74.55 20.16 22.41 26.90 41.32 131.52 212.91 244.67 260.55
2024-04-07 71.71 24.29 26.33 30.42 43.14 123.77 199.23 228.94 243.79
2024-04-14 69.63 25.74 27.55 31.18 42.86 116.22 185.77 213.40 227.21
2024-04-21 64.27 24.46 26.19 29.67 40.29 107.43 170.93 195.98 208.50
2024-04-28 55.65 22.95 24.24 26.83 35.17 94.26 152.62 175.88 187.51
2024-05-05 50.95 24.30 25.30 27.30 33.86 84.36 136.08 156.61 166.88
2024-05-12 47.41 23.84 24.81 26.74 32.86 76.68 123.00 141.52 150.78
2024-05-19 43.72 22.80 23.90 26.09 32.12 68.63 108.79 124.83 132.85
2024-05-26 41.47 24.52 25.36 27.02 32.19 63.58 100.75 115.65 123.10
2024-06-02 42.25 24.56 25.58 27.62 33.42 61.93 95.82 109.29 116.02
2024-06-09 39.75 22.86 23.83 25.75 31.21 57.40 86.84 98.77 104.74
2024-06-16 36.63 18.40 19.52 21.74 28.24 51.94 78.64 89.41 94.80
2024-06-23 34.80 15.54 16.72 19.08 25.83 47.41 70.26 79.49 84.10
2024-06-30 33.95 14.98 16.13 18.43 25.23 44.13 63.92 72.04 76.10
2024-07-07 32.69 13.91 15.20 17.79 25.06 41.20 59.03 66.38 70.06
2024-07-14 33.74 11.22 12.79 15.93 24.54 42.56 58.44 65.14 68.49
2024-07-21 34.19 9.43 11.04 14.24 23.33 43.81 59.30 65.69 68.89
2024-07-28 34.59 9.37 10.98 14.19 23.11 43.22 56.83 62.32 65.06
2024-08-04 34.22 9.37 10.99 14.22 23.43 42.38 54.67 59.80 62.37
2024-08-11 31.24 7.31 8.86 11.96 20.91 37.80 47.55 51.79 53.90
2024-08-18 28.29 3.65 5.19 8.28 17.22 33.84 42.71 46.54 48.45
2024-08-25 28.32 3.63 5.18 8.27 17.30 34.39 41.79 45.17 46.85
2024-09-01 27.78 4.77 6.16 8.95 17.27 33.69 41.76 45.48 47.34
2024-09-08 28.13 4.25 5.88 9.12 18.01 33.52 42.32 46.57 48.70
2024-09-15 20.96 6.30 7.24 9.12 14.16 27.95 34.55 37.09 38.36
2024-09-22 19.82 6.29 7.06 8.59 13.04 27.27 34.45 37.25 38.64
2024-09-29 18.13 5.73 6.33 7.51 11.45 25.32 32.98 35.95 37.44
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