Prediction 2157

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation set 2 for PB using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 52.44 20.84 22.94 27.13 38.38 67.53 90.37 99.33 103.81
2023-10-15 49.13 15.99 18.05 22.15 34.20 63.09 83.44 91.47 95.48
2023-10-22 47.63 16.63 18.59 22.51 34.14 60.20 79.09 86.50 90.21
2023-10-29 43.95 12.66 14.90 19.38 31.39 57.15 73.89 80.24 83.41
2023-11-05 42.23 12.28 14.09 17.70 28.53 54.81 70.99 77.35 80.53
2023-11-12 41.55 12.73 14.54 18.17 28.59 53.71 68.90 74.76 77.70
2023-11-19 41.36 12.84 14.64 18.26 28.83 51.86 66.94 73.34 76.54
2023-11-26 39.42 11.51 13.23 16.68 26.41 49.00 67.05 74.91 78.85
2023-12-03 38.29 10.74 12.63 16.42 26.90 48.46 67.69 76.13 80.35
2023-12-10 36.82 9.37 11.11 14.58 24.82 48.12 68.87 77.91 82.43
2023-12-17 38.58 9.74 11.63 15.42 26.08 49.31 72.32 82.34 87.35
2023-12-24 37.04 9.14 11.27 15.53 26.72 48.30 73.26 84.07 89.47
2023-12-31 37.68 13.08 14.89 18.50 28.13 48.68 77.27 89.74 95.98
2024-01-07 43.36 18.57 20.20 23.47 32.82 55.66 84.91 97.47 103.75
2024-01-14 45.80 21.24 22.79 25.88 34.82 60.72 94.24 108.54 115.69
2024-01-21 47.40 20.55 22.16 25.39 34.32 65.71 104.16 120.36 128.47
2024-01-28 50.38 24.07 25.29 27.71 35.73 72.90 115.78 133.51 142.37
2024-02-04 54.25 26.70 28.12 30.95 39.19 81.15 129.38 149.25 159.18
2024-02-11 58.10 28.98 30.43 33.34 41.80 87.73 140.51 162.70 173.79
2024-02-18 66.55 31.65 33.25 36.46 46.27 101.06 158.72 182.61 194.56
2024-02-25 73.96 33.98 35.95 39.89 51.06 113.55 176.78 202.58 215.49
2024-03-03 78.11 34.58 36.61 40.67 52.79 123.17 193.31 222.05 236.41
2024-03-10 87.43 35.31 37.77 42.68 57.28 138.00 212.94 243.12 258.21
2024-03-17 96.80 33.69 36.52 42.18 60.00 152.01 233.86 266.69 283.10
2024-03-24 105.22 32.36 35.79 42.65 63.25 167.51 257.89 293.91 311.92
2024-03-31 118.57 32.83 36.69 44.41 68.82 187.66 282.68 320.14 338.87
2024-04-07 135.33 43.26 47.37 55.61 81.73 210.17 309.07 348.31 367.93
2024-04-14 150.59 49.75 54.39 63.66 92.86 227.83 333.17 375.37 396.46
2024-04-21 161.84 53.67 58.67 68.66 99.70 244.41 350.47 392.33 413.26
2024-04-28 169.19 57.05 62.26 72.68 105.07 255.63 366.39 409.96 431.74
2024-05-05 174.47 62.04 67.24 77.64 110.46 261.37 372.66 416.22 438.00
2024-05-12 178.38 59.59 65.31 76.76 112.06 268.70 382.01 426.61 448.92
2024-05-19 181.87 60.78 66.61 78.26 113.99 275.07 388.58 432.79 454.89
2024-05-26 183.53 61.51 67.29 78.84 115.15 277.74 392.08 436.41 458.57
2024-06-02 188.04 62.00 68.25 80.77 119.06 280.44 393.15 437.05 459.00
2024-06-09 183.28 63.40 69.27 81.00 117.15 273.11 381.93 424.23 445.38
2024-06-16 179.61 62.41 68.31 80.11 116.09 266.03 370.91 411.72 432.13
2024-06-23 177.80 60.38 66.56 78.91 116.19 260.52 362.40 402.15 422.03
2024-06-30 169.42 56.17 62.18 74.19 110.19 249.12 349.71 389.05 408.73
2024-07-07 155.79 47.47 53.18 64.60 98.74 234.48 333.17 371.57 390.78
2024-07-14 148.24 45.16 50.49 61.15 93.14 223.51 317.84 354.84 373.34
2024-07-21 138.55 46.71 51.36 60.67 88.68 209.14 302.95 339.66 358.01
2024-07-28 125.47 44.32 48.24 56.09 80.41 189.93 277.83 312.32 329.57
2024-08-04 116.79 42.17 45.67 52.67 74.55 175.75 260.84 294.71 311.65
2024-08-11 106.10 38.70 41.89 48.25 68.23 162.90 240.68 271.64 287.12
2024-08-18 96.15 35.44 38.18 43.65 60.83 147.79 221.85 251.43 266.22
2024-08-25 88.98 34.64 37.06 41.90 57.26 138.38 210.78 239.88 254.44
2024-09-01 85.97 31.73 34.27 39.37 55.01 131.86 200.56 228.28 242.14
2024-09-08 83.93 29.00 31.67 37.00 53.02 127.06 192.59 219.14 232.42
2024-09-15 87.57 25.68 29.40 36.82 57.90 129.82 178.70 196.77 205.81
2024-09-22 83.22 25.17 28.33 34.64 53.42 127.02 171.95 189.21 197.84
2024-09-29 75.91 20.52 23.42 29.22 46.59 117.80 162.47 179.74 188.38
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