Prediction 2158

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation set 3 for AL using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 263.57 111.51 118.98 133.93 176.85 417.16 600.47 670.91 706.12
2024-10-13 234.60 91.20 98.41 112.85 153.97 389.64 571.09 639.39 673.53
2024-10-20 224.19 84.22 90.91 104.29 145.79 389.77 567.92 634.34 667.55
2024-10-27 224.00 91.40 97.22 108.85 145.14 380.40 555.97 622.78 656.18
2024-11-03 230.97 82.93 90.56 105.84 148.74 373.26 545.35 610.67 643.33
2024-11-10 233.28 97.16 103.34 115.69 151.55 382.35 558.55 627.77 662.38
2024-11-17 227.44 95.74 101.32 112.48 144.83 388.76 561.74 626.41 658.74
2024-11-24 224.42 81.80 89.19 103.98 146.94 384.90 571.07 643.79 680.15
2024-12-01 246.63 90.89 98.36 113.32 155.25 423.26 617.60 691.24 728.06
2024-12-08 276.67 88.53 98.04 117.04 169.95 465.84 682.98 769.39 812.60
2024-12-15 304.30 100.80 109.65 127.37 182.58 498.64 738.18 834.06 882.00
2024-12-22 323.00 90.19 101.74 124.85 192.36 531.36 799.69 906.85 960.44
2024-12-29 353.25 93.62 106.23 131.44 206.96 581.14 873.36 990.16 1048.56
2025-01-05 383.61 84.66 99.38 128.80 216.87 643.60 961.19 1086.39 1148.99
2025-01-12 422.91 81.42 98.71 133.28 234.51 712.63 1064.74 1203.41 1272.75
2025-01-19 471.11 88.78 108.34 147.48 262.86 788.54 1161.87 1307.64 1380.52
2025-01-26 530.35 112.92 133.18 173.68 295.14 864.41 1255.65 1410.79 1488.37
2025-02-02 609.73 126.45 150.29 197.98 338.82 956.10 1364.91 1525.38 1605.62
2025-02-09 666.14 169.29 192.71 239.55 382.73 1041.99 1472.64 1641.67 1726.19
2025-02-16 718.60 182.40 209.08 262.43 422.42 1125.49 1580.99 1757.88 1846.32
2025-02-23 781.99 204.26 232.97 290.39 459.28 1220.20 1702.95 1891.31 1985.48
2025-03-02 853.68 234.97 265.01 325.10 501.57 1311.48 1820.23 2020.55 2120.71
2025-03-09 935.28 290.80 320.44 379.72 557.28 1425.49 1960.17 2169.21 2273.74
2025-03-16 1048.02 332.25 364.54 429.13 629.65 1557.61 2120.52 2344.65 2456.72
2025-03-23 1172.44 370.75 410.63 490.39 723.54 1739.31 2326.02 2556.17 2671.25
2025-03-30 1276.11 421.11 461.97 543.70 792.60 1894.76 2513.43 2752.41 2871.90
2025-04-06 1374.57 453.00 500.34 595.01 874.29 2029.99 2669.61 2915.06 3037.78
2025-04-13 1496.20 504.07 556.97 662.77 965.96 2161.04 2830.52 3088.42 3217.38
2025-04-20 1568.35 573.41 625.35 729.22 1030.72 2262.66 2945.12 3204.55 3334.26
2025-04-27 1719.19 630.64 687.67 801.74 1137.34 2440.70 3143.09 3406.61 3538.38
2025-05-04 1837.51 681.42 740.25 857.91 1211.65 2589.21 3312.02 3582.43 3717.63
2025-05-11 1925.42 739.20 799.30 919.52 1283.50 2696.42 3450.80 3733.91 3875.46
2025-05-18 1992.00 741.17 809.67 946.66 1339.18 2767.47 3518.30 3802.33 3944.35
2025-05-25 2006.80 730.52 800.88 941.60 1345.75 2779.64 3513.83 3793.35 3933.11
2025-06-01 1992.70 726.57 796.40 936.04 1337.14 2767.71 3491.71 3765.40 3902.24
2025-06-08 1977.70 730.16 798.68 935.72 1332.61 2754.92 3467.24 3734.37 3867.94
2025-06-15 1924.40 719.11 784.96 916.65 1297.54 2682.42 3391.05 3657.21 3790.29
2025-06-22 1840.65 647.20 713.93 847.38 1227.09 2573.08 3263.72 3524.20 3654.44
2025-06-29 1777.89 602.25 666.70 795.59 1165.67 2495.29 3164.41 3417.75 3544.41
2025-07-06 1685.60 562.14 621.61 740.56 1092.57 2390.04 3037.69 3281.83 3403.90
2025-07-13 1505.54 496.76 548.32 651.44 957.83 2164.12 2779.96 3012.00 3128.02
2025-07-20 1315.45 428.48 471.86 558.62 818.50 1920.18 2510.71 2734.40 2846.25
2025-07-27 1176.43 356.60 396.28 475.63 718.54 1734.04 2291.28 2501.96 2607.30
2025-08-03 1017.05 266.43 302.17 373.64 586.11 1553.17 2079.70 2278.59 2378.04
2025-08-10 900.06 199.22 231.53 296.15 492.04 1406.80 1899.32 2085.66 2178.84
2025-08-17 817.94 175.36 204.06 261.45 438.78 1293.90 1776.81 1960.22 2051.93
2025-08-24 736.78 134.81 161.81 215.83 380.89 1187.19 1639.98 1812.96 1899.45
2025-08-31 648.72 107.84 131.51 178.85 325.54 1082.87 1520.15 1687.56 1771.27
2025-09-07 581.57 80.29 99.20 137.02 260.99 989.48 1436.36 1612.42 1700.45
2025-09-14 473.60 76.41 92.65 125.11 232.70 766.39 1024.70 1120.32 1168.13
2025-09-21 406.92 57.06 71.82 101.34 197.33 688.83 930.46 1016.26 1059.15
2025-09-28 379.96 59.24 70.87 94.13 174.39 619.32 860.80 951.99 997.59
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