Prediction 2159

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation set 3 for BA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 138.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.84 256.08 423.02 490.44 524.15
2024-10-13 124.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.97 242.41 392.79 451.01 480.12
2024-10-20 132.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.20 256.10 418.00 479.73 510.60
2024-10-27 133.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.18 260.56 427.01 491.52 523.78
2024-11-03 132.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.17 243.44 397.11 459.04 490.01
2024-11-10 158.71 0.00 0.00 8.41 87.01 281.02 453.91 524.12 559.23
2024-11-17 192.01 0.00 0.00 24.13 103.34 316.08 515.71 599.84 641.90
2024-11-24 206.91 0.00 0.00 20.76 105.57 345.72 558.33 645.43 688.98
2024-12-01 225.42 0.00 13.95 47.09 132.10 386.93 631.27 730.36 779.90
2024-12-08 227.63 0.00 14.01 47.48 130.14 415.20 704.72 825.68 886.16
2024-12-15 205.06 0.00 4.83 35.35 110.95 412.40 754.22 897.22 968.72
2024-12-22 257.11 19.06 35.07 67.08 146.59 495.54 876.50 1031.75 1109.37
2024-12-29 333.17 46.66 64.61 100.50 195.72 613.16 1052.63 1229.31 1317.65
2025-01-05 376.32 36.30 56.13 95.79 205.74 696.23 1188.24 1384.13 1482.07
2025-01-12 416.05 32.85 53.95 96.16 214.47 793.44 1327.37 1538.91 1644.68
2025-01-19 485.06 53.20 76.54 123.22 256.05 894.71 1459.93 1679.63 1789.48
2025-01-26 575.16 64.39 92.84 149.74 308.88 1026.02 1596.79 1817.77 1928.26
2025-02-02 714.46 88.62 121.98 188.72 384.11 1223.32 1848.05 2089.26 2209.86
2025-02-09 775.31 93.53 128.66 198.93 410.06 1325.09 1998.72 2260.57 2391.49
2025-02-16 792.40 68.95 106.05 180.23 403.76 1384.41 2091.29 2368.60 2507.25
2025-02-23 855.78 72.23 113.18 195.08 436.35 1470.42 2181.33 2456.66 2594.32
2025-03-02 936.74 77.11 122.13 212.16 474.62 1559.74 2278.68 2555.64 2694.12
2025-03-09 962.29 86.32 131.80 222.75 490.43 1576.32 2306.86 2591.02 2733.09
2025-03-16 1010.73 128.10 171.72 258.96 528.65 1609.94 2317.62 2597.18 2736.96
2025-03-23 1064.30 140.00 188.62 285.87 573.09 1675.24 2373.70 2648.63 2786.09
2025-03-30 1049.00 111.60 160.47 258.21 550.55 1659.68 2351.51 2618.71 2752.31
2025-04-06 1073.19 124.22 175.10 276.85 583.49 1697.62 2383.21 2649.77 2783.05
2025-04-13 1102.27 135.28 187.69 292.50 602.56 1697.42 2352.52 2609.70 2738.28
2025-04-20 1071.45 143.02 193.91 295.68 596.84 1660.42 2307.41 2560.74 2687.40
2025-04-27 1052.44 142.46 191.12 288.44 580.67 1626.05 2246.45 2486.16 2606.02
2025-05-04 1023.17 126.30 173.95 269.25 555.64 1567.59 2159.19 2384.95 2497.83
2025-05-11 944.51 100.63 144.47 232.14 501.30 1464.44 2065.08 2298.93 2415.86
2025-05-18 866.12 67.76 111.34 198.51 457.71 1352.10 1902.36 2116.40 2223.43
2025-05-25 801.12 76.69 116.62 196.49 427.37 1251.11 1772.91 1980.66 2084.54
2025-06-01 695.80 49.64 85.97 158.61 363.46 1098.09 1574.34 1763.67 1858.33
2025-06-08 611.53 46.10 78.65 143.74 326.74 964.21 1387.69 1555.29 1639.09
2025-06-15 530.18 38.74 67.76 125.80 291.57 832.64 1224.54 1382.76 1461.87
2025-06-22 433.39 17.09 41.30 89.74 227.36 685.44 1004.51 1132.51 1196.51
2025-06-29 351.94 14.43 34.94 75.97 188.49 558.72 844.31 960.23 1018.19
2025-07-06 288.85 20.66 38.15 73.13 168.64 457.59 709.14 813.22 865.26
2025-07-13 265.32 6.25 25.76 64.79 159.53 387.26 580.05 661.77 702.64
2025-07-20 272.94 6.15 25.10 63.00 159.54 372.98 559.77 642.11 683.27
2025-07-27 262.55 0.00 0.25 41.94 149.29 350.81 509.44 580.29 615.71
2025-08-03 224.95 0.00 0.00 16.96 121.73 294.48 407.09 455.54 479.76
2025-08-10 201.32 0.00 0.00 4.61 105.67 239.79 321.22 358.98 377.85
2025-08-17 192.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.04 206.41 292.64 335.16 356.41
2025-08-24 147.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.21 155.85 210.17 236.62 249.84
2025-08-31 130.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.98 147.43 179.08 193.58 200.83
2025-09-07 142.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.09 167.81 190.63 199.18 203.45
2025-09-14 127.54 0.00 0.00 5.28 59.58 188.80 244.56 265.34 275.72
2025-09-21 127.96 0.00 0.00 15.32 70.13 192.38 234.03 249.78 257.66
2025-09-28 144.35 1.28 9.77 26.76 77.03 207.28 252.34 267.71 275.39
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