Prediction 2160
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation set 3 for RS using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2459.07 | 4969.00 | 5882.55 | 6339.33 |
| 2024-10-13 | 107.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2328.77 | 5069.11 | 6101.78 | 6618.12 |
| 2024-10-20 | 299.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3291.43 | 6508.78 | 7726.95 | 8336.04 |
| 2024-10-27 | 535.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3671.42 | 7180.07 | 8530.55 | 9205.80 |
| 2024-11-03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2827.91 | 7467.92 | 9383.44 | 10341.20 |
| 2024-11-10 | 111.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3206.91 | 7932.44 | 9879.86 | 10853.57 |
| 2024-11-17 | 482.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3904.72 | 9094.46 | 11163.22 | 12197.59 |
| 2024-11-24 | 620.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4291.37 | 10677.66 | 13373.48 | 14721.38 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1039.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4887.64 | 11915.39 | 14891.52 | 16379.59 |
| 2024-12-08 | 2032.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.52 | 6389.61 | 14349.30 | 17758.68 | 19463.37 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1801.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6324.90 | 15883.81 | 20004.60 | 22064.99 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1967.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7050.09 | 17630.70 | 22098.65 | 24332.62 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2614.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 569.59 | 8028.19 | 19556.41 | 24453.78 | 26902.46 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2690.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 565.97 | 8352.17 | 20860.06 | 26109.15 | 28733.70 |
| 2025-01-12 | 3038.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 465.49 | 9281.26 | 22740.00 | 28371.49 | 31187.24 |
| 2025-01-19 | 6102.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2490.72 | 13056.12 | 27683.11 | 33801.11 | 36860.11 |
| 2025-01-26 | 6377.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2252.21 | 13912.38 | 29051.87 | 35340.99 | 38485.55 |
| 2025-02-02 | 7327.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2505.18 | 15514.35 | 31101.00 | 37436.81 | 40604.71 |
| 2025-02-09 | 9516.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 448.07 | 3965.30 | 18663.08 | 34810.70 | 41361.22 | 44636.49 |
| 2025-02-16 | 10655.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 933.88 | 4669.42 | 20649.11 | 37780.25 | 44673.11 | 48119.54 |
| 2025-02-23 | 12104.86 | 0.00 | 458.92 | 1875.49 | 5826.42 | 22648.20 | 40524.46 | 47753.37 | 51367.82 |
| 2025-03-02 | 14799.69 | 554.38 | 1408.31 | 3116.18 | 7717.46 | 26177.69 | 44877.58 | 52440.35 | 56221.74 |
| 2025-03-09 | 18586.03 | 2074.18 | 3025.77 | 4928.96 | 10109.73 | 31288.48 | 50670.48 | 58416.91 | 62290.13 |
| 2025-03-16 | 24038.31 | 3588.05 | 4816.06 | 7272.09 | 14098.12 | 37574.31 | 57703.98 | 65810.42 | 69863.64 |
| 2025-03-23 | 26007.32 | 4929.33 | 6194.54 | 8724.95 | 15669.90 | 40548.40 | 61199.59 | 69438.46 | 73557.90 |
| 2025-03-30 | 29337.82 | 7581.37 | 8799.30 | 11235.15 | 18195.04 | 44826.35 | 66549.79 | 75116.30 | 79399.55 |
| 2025-04-06 | 33426.14 | 7980.72 | 9546.44 | 12677.89 | 21374.62 | 50084.00 | 71672.50 | 80122.01 | 84346.76 |
| 2025-04-13 | 35876.98 | 7207.53 | 9019.09 | 12642.22 | 22545.95 | 53391.09 | 76154.42 | 85009.52 | 89437.06 |
| 2025-04-20 | 38963.52 | 7591.45 | 9515.49 | 13363.57 | 24082.11 | 57498.58 | 79771.06 | 88306.56 | 92574.32 |
| 2025-04-27 | 34906.15 | 6560.32 | 8220.46 | 11540.75 | 21052.44 | 53088.11 | 74941.38 | 83221.48 | 87361.53 |
| 2025-05-04 | 30531.79 | 4651.50 | 6110.75 | 9029.25 | 17456.59 | 48147.27 | 68838.12 | 76669.76 | 80585.57 |
| 2025-05-11 | 29910.64 | 5288.96 | 6608.86 | 9248.67 | 17201.29 | 46358.70 | 66390.77 | 74000.40 | 77805.22 |
| 2025-05-18 | 25151.04 | 2411.79 | 3770.42 | 6487.67 | 14056.56 | 40372.62 | 59122.11 | 66319.17 | 69917.69 |
| 2025-05-25 | 20689.97 | 0.00 | 1210.61 | 3775.57 | 10830.19 | 34845.27 | 52136.64 | 58812.59 | 62150.57 |
| 2025-06-01 | 17524.36 | 0.00 | 87.31 | 2319.05 | 8520.28 | 30932.01 | 47117.10 | 53300.38 | 56392.01 |
| 2025-06-08 | 13746.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 879.87 | 6017.68 | 26242.64 | 40944.95 | 46510.54 | 49293.34 |
| 2025-06-15 | 9682.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3441.96 | 20543.21 | 34162.11 | 39357.10 | 41954.60 |
| 2025-06-22 | 8143.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3125.30 | 17749.63 | 30005.94 | 34722.60 | 37080.94 |
| 2025-06-29 | 7421.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2976.56 | 15569.18 | 26319.08 | 30444.77 | 32507.61 |
| 2025-07-06 | 5027.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1101.62 | 12335.34 | 22513.20 | 26493.89 | 28484.23 |
| 2025-07-13 | 5026.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1158.21 | 11750.16 | 20772.80 | 24300.08 | 26063.71 |
| 2025-07-20 | 3574.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 190.99 | 10279.87 | 19139.62 | 22617.05 | 24355.76 |
| 2025-07-27 | 4139.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 580.48 | 10594.88 | 19237.30 | 22627.01 | 24321.86 |
| 2025-08-03 | 3613.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 187.60 | 9984.57 | 18224.33 | 21384.71 | 22964.91 |
| 2025-08-10 | 3312.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.87 | 9268.93 | 16974.21 | 20020.12 | 21543.07 |
| 2025-08-17 | 3161.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.92 | 9372.33 | 16971.14 | 19906.13 | 21373.63 |
| 2025-08-24 | 3375.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.81 | 9718.98 | 17174.23 | 20140.22 | 21623.22 |
| 2025-08-31 | 2477.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8823.13 | 16963.41 | 20267.94 | 21920.21 |
| 2025-09-07 | 3209.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.26 | 9463.16 | 17656.33 | 21055.84 | 22755.59 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1388.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4568.97 | 8079.05 | 9387.50 | 10041.73 |
| 2025-09-21 | 1680.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4489.11 | 7547.55 | 8680.91 | 9247.59 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1719.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4396.87 | 7491.32 | 8632.99 | 9203.83 |
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