Prediction 2161

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation set 3 for PI using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 34.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.35 68.74 123.97 145.58 156.39
2024-10-13 28.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.62 61.62 119.53 142.15 153.47
2024-10-20 9.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.43 118.36 143.39 155.90
2024-10-27 19.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.04 73.80 158.04 191.67 208.48
2024-11-03 25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.56 174.50 218.69 240.79
2024-11-10 21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.45 220.90 276.98 305.02
2024-11-17 19.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.54 250.17 314.50 346.66
2024-11-24 27.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.24 102.44 304.46 391.98 435.74
2024-12-01 29.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.94 122.08 352.08 450.12 499.14
2024-12-08 31.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.04 144.23 409.03 523.69 581.03
2024-12-15 37.37 0.00 0.00 1.59 8.77 165.70 491.28 632.80 703.56
2024-12-22 53.81 0.61 1.86 4.34 9.86 229.24 624.12 789.50 872.19
2024-12-29 81.48 9.03 9.13 9.34 15.41 306.06 759.88 949.19 1043.84
2025-01-05 133.00 14.36 17.12 22.66 46.59 408.30 917.17 1124.66 1228.41
2025-01-12 203.61 27.10 32.60 43.59 80.37 533.61 1091.30 1315.70 1427.90
2025-01-19 260.03 35.44 43.11 58.45 108.46 635.63 1246.38 1490.53 1612.61
2025-01-26 355.13 38.89 50.62 74.08 147.85 771.64 1407.40 1662.45 1789.97
2025-02-02 496.29 61.74 78.54 112.14 219.74 962.03 1649.39 1921.42 2057.44
2025-02-09 604.11 110.54 129.18 166.47 290.52 1121.23 1848.10 2135.07 2278.56
2025-02-16 723.23 141.88 167.23 217.93 378.64 1303.82 2088.98 2397.56 2551.86
2025-02-23 874.59 173.12 207.18 275.31 476.47 1500.69 2330.63 2657.48 2820.91
2025-03-02 1048.50 211.89 256.13 344.61 593.78 1713.35 2584.29 2928.80 3101.05
2025-03-09 1198.76 278.93 326.86 422.74 695.37 1897.37 2783.02 3130.52 3304.26
2025-03-16 1405.59 310.24 370.72 491.68 838.44 2125.26 3043.30 3408.55 3591.18
2025-03-23 1486.85 339.44 402.32 528.10 886.40 2255.14 3189.38 3558.12 3742.49
2025-03-30 1537.60 382.24 442.04 561.65 916.33 2326.39 3269.41 3636.99 3820.78
2025-04-06 1530.92 366.83 431.13 559.73 932.04 2324.26 3240.62 3596.79 3774.87
2025-04-13 1589.00 371.23 440.05 577.70 968.84 2372.79 3285.27 3639.04 3815.93
2025-04-20 1524.93 374.34 435.54 557.94 913.10 2317.22 3205.61 3548.57 3720.05
2025-04-27 1506.10 332.07 392.67 513.88 876.15 2294.55 3160.61 3490.34 3655.20
2025-05-04 1463.36 288.69 347.80 466.03 822.46 2239.89 3082.10 3401.81 3561.66
2025-05-11 1413.58 319.27 372.09 477.73 809.09 2142.01 2969.09 3286.35 3444.98
2025-05-18 1307.46 270.67 326.76 438.94 764.65 1976.60 2738.86 3034.44 3182.23
2025-05-25 1097.15 212.42 259.06 352.35 622.02 1699.51 2379.70 2645.82 2778.88
2025-06-01 892.86 175.79 210.11 278.77 482.83 1444.50 2060.14 2299.75 2419.56
2025-06-08 754.31 140.90 168.09 222.49 389.41 1269.07 1831.82 2047.03 2154.63
2025-06-15 567.43 93.35 110.90 145.99 261.74 1030.69 1546.78 1746.63 1846.55
2025-06-22 401.45 68.51 78.36 98.07 166.07 803.17 1253.42 1427.84 1515.05
2025-06-29 339.31 84.54 89.52 99.47 139.98 670.05 1049.33 1196.74 1270.44
2025-07-06 278.81 80.02 82.35 87.02 113.72 566.32 901.60 1034.06 1100.29
2025-07-13 211.27 62.62 63.36 64.84 76.57 452.51 735.63 847.36 903.23
2025-07-20 192.99 60.34 60.70 61.43 69.62 408.37 676.80 785.18 839.37
2025-07-27 168.86 50.47 51.26 52.83 62.78 358.17 604.82 703.20 752.40
2025-08-03 141.73 39.77 40.26 41.26 44.50 317.00 526.51 607.78 648.42
2025-08-10 123.74 20.10 21.84 25.34 33.37 274.94 457.98 530.42 566.64
2025-08-17 117.93 25.09 26.24 28.53 35.18 251.18 424.68 493.26 527.55
2025-08-24 106.73 19.85 21.26 24.08 31.60 214.38 358.23 416.55 445.71
2025-08-31 92.05 22.90 23.11 23.52 27.90 189.22 341.18 404.79 436.60
2025-09-07 84.83 10.53 11.42 13.21 17.85 177.63 337.69 408.63 444.10
2025-09-14 57.54 0.00 0.94 6.63 22.27 125.48 204.42 235.55 251.12
2025-09-21 43.37 0.00 0.00 4.50 18.64 103.78 171.07 197.55 210.79
2025-09-28 40.93 0.00 0.00 3.41 18.13 91.13 137.75 153.91 161.99
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