Prediction 2162

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation set 3 for AC using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.74 33.26 65.66 78.81 85.38
2024-10-13 14.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87 35.87 76.06 92.60 100.86
2024-10-20 12.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.48 40.15 88.02 107.18 116.76
2024-10-27 16.18 0.00 0.00 0.33 6.39 50.45 110.50 134.43 146.39
2024-11-03 18.80 0.00 0.16 1.82 6.68 57.97 128.72 157.38 171.71
2024-11-10 24.53 0.00 0.00 1.80 8.59 73.39 159.71 194.43 211.79
2024-11-17 32.45 0.30 1.59 4.18 12.13 89.97 187.79 227.27 247.01
2024-11-24 37.35 0.00 1.01 4.34 13.94 102.86 212.62 256.87 278.99
2024-12-01 46.33 0.04 2.08 6.15 18.31 120.60 241.47 289.93 314.16
2024-12-08 58.10 0.90 3.49 8.66 23.67 141.12 272.92 325.82 352.27
2024-12-15 71.14 4.94 7.66 13.10 30.08 162.22 306.46 364.23 393.11
2024-12-22 83.97 5.23 8.56 15.22 35.85 184.41 342.70 405.70 437.20
2024-12-29 100.97 11.52 15.03 22.05 45.38 212.21 382.40 450.02 483.82
2025-01-05 117.26 14.20 18.55 27.24 55.41 236.88 422.10 495.38 532.02
2025-01-12 127.16 16.34 20.95 30.18 59.48 257.11 449.33 524.79 562.52
2025-01-19 131.11 11.64 16.86 27.28 60.31 265.45 465.64 543.83 582.93
2025-01-26 145.74 9.21 15.66 28.56 67.96 286.60 490.94 570.61 610.44
2025-02-02 156.97 9.58 16.35 29.88 71.99 302.96 513.91 596.33 637.54
2025-02-09 154.88 10.68 17.14 30.05 70.80 302.22 512.12 594.01 634.96
2025-02-16 146.62 10.30 16.13 27.81 65.66 291.60 502.32 585.61 627.25
2025-02-23 142.98 10.16 16.05 27.82 65.01 282.82 486.32 566.50 606.59
2025-03-02 136.39 8.72 14.29 25.44 60.66 268.59 465.12 542.65 581.41
2025-03-09 124.91 7.92 13.14 23.58 55.72 246.08 431.10 504.43 541.09
2025-03-16 114.70 12.47 16.78 25.42 53.46 227.70 400.86 469.90 504.42
2025-03-23 107.04 14.55 18.60 26.69 52.02 209.73 371.70 436.68 469.17
2025-03-30 96.38 13.17 16.81 24.08 46.92 188.71 341.33 402.01 432.35
2025-04-06 86.41 13.83 17.42 24.61 46.19 171.20 313.36 370.26 398.71
2025-04-13 80.53 18.34 21.23 27.01 45.10 157.05 288.71 341.36 367.69
2025-04-20 66.71 16.04 18.56 23.59 38.48 138.35 263.01 313.04 338.06
2025-04-27 55.17 12.67 14.60 18.47 30.31 121.04 237.93 284.53 307.83
2025-05-04 50.58 10.93 13.02 17.21 28.74 111.05 220.38 263.85 285.58
2025-05-11 43.84 9.53 11.27 14.75 25.43 97.53 201.20 242.97 263.86
2025-05-18 38.05 7.75 9.48 12.94 22.95 84.29 177.59 215.38 234.28
2025-05-25 35.43 8.73 10.30 13.44 22.41 76.55 164.86 201.08 219.19
2025-06-01 33.23 7.73 9.21 12.17 20.63 69.96 150.90 183.89 200.39
2025-06-08 31.54 4.40 6.10 9.50 18.91 65.45 136.37 164.99 179.30
2025-06-15 29.18 0.41 2.43 6.45 17.26 59.71 125.05 151.79 165.16
2025-06-22 30.71 2.86 4.49 7.75 17.25 58.68 117.41 141.17 153.05
2025-06-29 28.35 2.08 3.79 7.20 16.74 54.43 110.07 132.32 143.45
2025-07-06 25.24 0.00 1.22 4.71 14.49 47.97 99.08 119.91 130.33
2025-07-13 24.55 0.00 0.00 2.03 13.57 46.29 96.00 116.53 126.79
2025-07-20 22.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.40 44.32 93.63 114.01 124.21
2025-07-27 20.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.52 41.49 87.03 105.88 115.31
2025-08-03 18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.43 38.95 80.80 98.02 106.62
2025-08-10 18.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.64 37.06 80.49 98.96 108.19
2025-08-17 16.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.21 32.86 75.40 93.71 102.87
2025-08-24 16.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81 30.91 72.08 90.15 99.19
2025-08-31 19.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.19 35.74 79.02 97.73 107.08
2025-09-07 20.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.92 39.35 87.32 107.84 118.10
2025-09-14 18.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.20 32.39 55.54 65.39 70.31
2025-09-21 23.30 0.00 0.00 0.81 10.07 39.91 71.18 84.12 90.59
2025-09-28 25.93 1.91 3.40 6.38 14.30 44.02 84.05 100.64 108.93
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