Prediction 2163

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation set 3 for RN using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 104.15 20.21 26.00 37.58 67.68 155.63 216.45 239.60 251.18
2024-10-13 92.07 0.00 1.87 16.00 53.44 148.22 203.93 223.80 233.73
2024-10-20 88.36 0.00 0.14 13.77 50.57 138.50 187.16 204.21 212.74
2024-10-27 93.39 2.90 9.59 22.98 59.03 136.89 185.74 204.30 213.58
2024-11-03 99.32 11.81 18.75 32.63 68.39 129.25 171.54 187.75 195.86
2024-11-10 88.70 8.53 15.24 28.65 62.12 119.79 169.31 189.95 200.27
2024-11-17 84.94 6.31 12.43 24.66 55.13 118.02 172.90 195.42 206.69
2024-11-24 90.03 5.77 12.82 26.92 62.57 120.88 184.17 210.99 224.40
2024-12-01 86.19 15.06 20.82 32.34 61.17 126.71 203.72 235.20 250.94
2024-12-08 86.84 17.73 23.35 34.58 62.68 132.83 229.58 271.22 292.04
2024-12-15 97.99 20.04 26.22 38.58 69.64 148.93 272.33 325.19 351.62
2024-12-22 103.93 17.24 24.02 37.57 71.07 171.63 319.71 382.29 413.58
2024-12-29 112.60 25.85 31.72 43.44 74.04 195.87 367.01 438.66 474.49
2025-01-05 133.36 33.22 39.79 52.93 87.87 233.21 427.60 507.24 547.06
2025-01-12 151.68 38.44 45.47 59.54 97.67 273.77 493.28 582.39 626.95
2025-01-19 169.64 32.48 41.27 58.85 105.08 311.03 552.59 649.13 697.39
2025-01-26 198.62 53.18 61.12 76.99 121.28 362.88 625.66 731.45 784.34
2025-02-02 226.64 59.98 68.46 85.40 133.59 414.11 716.54 837.72 898.32
2025-02-09 243.24 60.68 68.69 84.72 133.41 466.37 801.13 933.91 1000.30
2025-02-16 282.93 54.79 65.16 85.91 149.81 547.57 918.51 1065.28 1138.66
2025-02-23 343.02 52.99 66.63 93.89 174.70 640.66 1038.61 1194.71 1272.75
2025-03-02 395.02 51.15 67.75 100.95 197.43 721.63 1151.64 1321.13 1405.88
2025-03-09 452.27 68.29 86.14 121.86 227.27 807.11 1265.46 1445.07 1534.87
2025-03-16 536.26 86.38 106.79 147.62 275.41 913.73 1401.51 1595.59 1692.63
2025-03-23 642.57 96.59 124.73 181.01 345.85 1070.26 1587.83 1791.14 1892.79
2025-03-30 738.85 104.41 136.53 200.78 394.25 1210.76 1754.07 1964.53 2069.77
2025-04-06 786.53 108.62 144.61 216.59 430.65 1281.15 1834.64 2047.69 2154.21
2025-04-13 872.27 144.60 184.57 264.52 495.14 1367.46 1931.92 2150.67 2260.05
2025-04-20 878.14 174.52 212.22 287.64 508.28 1388.96 1961.07 2181.41 2291.58
2025-04-27 982.14 188.35 231.30 317.19 570.20 1515.90 2102.57 2325.22 2436.55
2025-05-04 1042.50 189.05 234.42 325.18 595.59 1596.64 2194.13 2419.53 2532.23
2025-05-11 1049.78 199.55 243.70 332.00 600.02 1611.83 2228.09 2463.19 2580.74
2025-05-18 1055.75 197.60 244.50 338.32 612.76 1609.76 2212.47 2443.07 2558.36
2025-05-25 985.03 181.41 224.86 311.76 565.39 1519.80 2097.12 2319.07 2430.05
2025-06-01 929.28 172.34 212.82 293.78 529.10 1443.76 1988.52 2196.74 2300.86
2025-06-08 895.69 178.88 216.28 291.06 513.26 1395.05 1912.64 2107.92 2205.55
2025-06-15 840.93 172.40 207.15 276.64 483.27 1315.92 1811.21 1998.92 2092.77
2025-06-22 780.50 158.63 190.64 254.65 445.79 1228.26 1692.44 1867.85 1955.56
2025-06-29 733.97 133.15 163.95 225.55 407.72 1157.11 1600.97 1769.51 1853.77
2025-07-06 656.87 89.96 118.23 174.77 346.88 1069.79 1495.30 1656.48 1737.07
2025-07-13 617.70 90.58 116.72 169.00 326.95 1009.26 1416.16 1570.05 1646.99
2025-07-20 584.81 107.37 131.41 179.49 321.52 952.26 1350.81 1502.19 1577.88
2025-07-27 534.98 98.26 120.82 165.93 299.81 876.36 1256.47 1400.71 1472.83
2025-08-03 479.85 90.93 110.33 149.13 263.29 802.87 1157.68 1291.12 1357.84
2025-08-10 430.81 71.97 89.65 125.00 229.99 731.53 1067.15 1195.07 1259.03
2025-08-17 381.79 50.75 66.79 98.86 195.00 662.02 991.52 1118.98 1182.71
2025-08-24 346.51 31.50 47.15 78.46 170.78 607.61 919.38 1040.00 1100.31
2025-08-31 334.85 40.10 55.13 85.20 173.53 582.12 876.97 990.71 1047.58
2025-09-07 321.43 34.30 48.35 76.46 161.20 553.52 846.62 962.24 1020.05
2025-09-14 298.84 79.61 89.83 110.27 170.94 458.73 626.68 687.64 718.12
2025-09-21 267.75 80.78 89.58 107.16 163.03 405.85 557.65 616.79 646.36
2025-09-28 242.40 82.68 91.18 108.19 154.70 367.95 496.27 542.53 565.65
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