Prediction 2164

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation set 3 for RO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 10.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.34 14.18 46.63 61.23 68.54
2024-10-13 5.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.15 53.04 70.68 79.50
2024-10-20 6.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.91 72.72 94.49 105.38
2024-10-27 7.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.44 92.38 119.04 132.37
2024-11-03 7.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.35 117.50 152.22 169.58
2024-11-10 18.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.05 58.86 164.50 209.39 231.83
2024-11-17 28.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.45 80.98 203.92 255.09 280.67
2024-11-24 32.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.22 100.34 249.63 311.92 343.06
2024-12-01 45.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.99 130.03 300.89 371.32 406.54
2024-12-08 64.37 0.00 0.00 5.22 24.58 167.19 361.92 442.32 482.52
2024-12-15 84.03 3.77 6.98 13.41 33.60 201.13 423.00 514.17 559.75
2024-12-22 107.06 6.30 10.70 19.49 45.96 241.76 493.30 595.72 646.94
2024-12-29 132.91 14.74 19.41 28.76 59.93 286.69 563.87 676.54 732.87
2025-01-05 162.46 14.13 20.84 34.25 76.91 336.12 642.43 765.52 827.07
2025-01-12 205.21 22.96 31.83 49.57 102.81 402.43 727.92 857.56 922.38
2025-01-19 227.93 17.63 28.40 49.95 114.11 441.22 793.03 932.58 1002.36
2025-01-26 279.42 16.53 30.45 58.28 140.28 514.69 884.70 1031.50 1104.90
2025-02-02 319.77 19.58 34.89 65.51 157.38 571.99 961.18 1114.65 1191.39
2025-02-09 328.38 28.59 44.01 74.85 166.94 586.04 978.92 1134.33 1212.03
2025-02-16 314.09 32.59 46.81 75.24 161.68 571.57 970.97 1129.74 1209.13
2025-02-23 316.26 36.07 50.55 79.51 165.72 570.92 969.40 1128.15 1207.53
2025-03-02 328.83 41.41 56.51 86.72 174.39 580.53 978.19 1137.17 1216.67
2025-03-09 321.07 48.44 62.40 90.32 172.23 566.47 952.26 1105.97 1182.82
2025-03-16 315.03 51.04 64.40 91.12 171.48 550.95 927.23 1078.28 1153.80
2025-03-23 301.21 47.34 60.15 85.77 161.73 529.61 892.56 1038.21 1111.03
2025-03-30 277.05 34.39 45.91 68.97 140.14 494.75 843.79 982.62 1052.04
2025-04-06 247.21 27.30 38.13 59.79 125.82 453.18 782.56 913.99 979.71
2025-04-13 208.88 21.82 30.24 47.10 100.47 397.23 704.39 826.72 887.89
2025-04-20 174.06 17.84 24.70 38.41 81.19 349.94 640.00 755.90 813.86
2025-04-27 159.27 26.36 31.81 42.72 78.44 322.15 596.19 705.19 759.70
2025-05-04 150.85 31.17 36.30 46.57 78.69 299.16 554.29 655.99 706.85
2025-05-11 132.82 30.80 34.80 42.81 70.02 269.36 510.02 606.48 654.71
2025-05-18 112.15 20.52 24.37 32.06 56.31 236.68 458.94 548.47 593.24
2025-05-25 96.60 16.13 19.49 26.20 46.95 213.31 421.35 505.52 547.60
2025-06-01 82.54 13.33 15.93 21.12 37.90 190.49 380.87 457.92 496.45
2025-06-08 76.08 13.68 16.22 21.30 36.46 180.33 354.36 423.14 457.53
2025-06-15 74.41 16.44 18.99 24.11 39.24 169.92 332.55 397.83 430.47
2025-06-22 63.10 12.90 15.04 19.32 31.71 149.85 298.74 358.51 388.39
2025-06-29 55.13 14.21 15.68 18.62 27.98 130.86 266.99 321.63 348.96
2025-07-06 51.85 15.63 17.08 19.98 28.98 117.39 242.53 293.33 318.73
2025-07-13 41.91 5.21 7.08 10.83 20.74 100.32 214.27 260.58 283.73
2025-07-20 37.53 0.27 1.81 4.89 14.22 92.00 202.35 247.27 269.73
2025-07-27 40.96 0.11 2.34 6.81 19.10 90.87 190.61 231.19 251.48
2025-08-03 42.83 4.16 6.23 10.35 21.66 88.81 182.06 220.11 239.14
2025-08-10 38.89 0.25 2.25 6.24 17.67 80.99 171.63 208.84 227.44
2025-08-17 30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.51 72.01 162.20 199.08 217.52
2025-08-24 28.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 63.65 150.09 185.78 203.62
2025-08-31 29.32 0.00 0.00 0.95 12.21 63.51 151.13 187.56 205.78
2025-09-07 30.03 0.00 0.00 0.94 11.93 66.09 159.52 198.81 218.46
2025-09-14 22.66 0.00 0.00 0.70 7.84 59.86 130.92 160.36 175.08
2025-09-21 30.78 1.61 2.79 5.15 12.33 76.44 164.11 199.78 217.61
2025-09-28 39.18 3.02 4.63 7.85 16.85 94.25 202.24 246.00 267.88
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