Prediction 2165

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation set 3 for PR using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 709.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 280.92 1954.78 3381.36 3918.46 4187.01
2024-10-13 657.45 0.00 0.00 83.11 370.98 1776.89 3290.81 3864.23 4150.93
2024-10-20 235.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 115.81 1429.97 3144.89 3784.25 4103.94
2024-10-27 856.30 178.43 248.57 388.87 693.68 2193.88 4489.04 5389.53 5839.78
2024-11-03 1494.47 852.05 941.57 1120.62 1479.14 2173.70 4458.05 5421.15 5902.70
2024-11-10 896.03 458.52 504.02 595.03 806.52 1973.46 4789.60 5977.27 6571.11
2024-11-17 474.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.80 1830.24 5182.90 6562.50 7252.31
2024-11-24 1202.92 0.00 68.23 205.64 646.70 2790.66 6663.56 8287.63 9099.66
2024-12-01 1574.35 579.28 630.40 732.64 1011.38 3675.89 8118.88 9937.84 10847.32
2024-12-08 1443.32 871.52 884.86 911.56 996.03 3869.09 8442.66 10332.24 11277.02
2024-12-15 1336.17 648.07 650.94 656.68 672.49 4153.98 9719.16 12045.87 13209.22
2024-12-22 1427.63 520.41 527.41 541.42 574.61 4888.68 11542.66 14224.44 15565.32
2024-12-29 1701.75 578.09 599.41 642.06 746.29 5756.40 13346.39 16409.02 17940.34
2025-01-05 2331.17 559.85 577.23 612.00 937.24 7122.30 15498.04 18825.68 20489.50
2025-01-12 3404.48 458.98 528.63 667.93 1241.67 9189.70 18284.94 21840.65 23618.51
2025-01-19 4447.65 482.24 604.42 848.78 1730.73 10865.40 20551.91 24310.83 26190.29
2025-01-26 6102.85 872.45 1050.36 1406.18 2628.54 13119.96 22837.58 26627.92 28523.09
2025-02-02 8640.24 1040.02 1352.30 1976.87 3988.46 16364.80 26972.21 31073.32 33123.88
2025-02-09 10106.35 1408.18 1741.07 2406.85 4685.16 18814.46 30256.73 34690.67 36907.63
2025-02-16 11358.54 1424.25 1844.43 2684.81 5476.76 21382.67 33815.87 38610.61 41007.97
2025-02-23 14270.34 2076.78 2657.22 3818.12 7349.48 25092.73 38099.71 43119.41 45629.26
2025-03-02 18434.75 3336.87 4136.73 5736.44 10306.38 30001.43 43770.65 49120.99 51796.16
2025-03-09 22488.24 5175.47 6123.14 8018.47 13366.63 34864.70 49058.70 54552.21 57298.96
2025-03-16 26520.37 6201.82 7344.26 9629.14 16204.65 39283.34 54110.00 59948.04 62867.06
2025-03-23 29799.72 7593.98 8871.96 11427.93 18672.43 43774.09 59251.37 65301.06 68325.91
2025-03-30 33579.95 9190.09 10607.23 13441.50 21584.45 48368.22 64700.48 70973.18 74109.53
2025-04-06 35741.15 9336.88 11003.35 14336.27 23685.34 50859.81 67153.43 73396.55 76518.11
2025-04-13 37875.07 10297.21 12067.32 15607.54 25399.19 52425.08 68414.60 74555.32 77625.69
2025-04-20 32342.86 10038.32 11364.17 14015.86 21520.71 46161.92 61498.96 67434.47 70402.23
2025-04-27 31131.92 8313.51 9633.76 12274.26 19968.14 44632.04 59326.66 64926.94 67727.08
2025-05-04 28680.89 5529.40 6851.34 9495.21 17196.91 41908.34 56097.14 61450.51 64127.20
2025-05-11 23751.46 4738.34 5716.25 7672.09 13766.37 35619.95 49284.66 54561.54 57199.99
2025-05-18 18496.86 3188.99 4042.36 5749.10 10736.50 28504.93 40196.15 44761.44 47044.08
2025-05-25 11047.88 1686.78 2133.06 3025.63 5647.39 18830.91 28219.48 31955.71 33823.82
2025-06-01 6472.64 1178.93 1332.56 1639.82 2695.22 12773.13 20439.64 23479.84 24999.94
2025-06-08 4660.69 1579.44 1614.48 1684.57 2081.69 9730.81 16166.40 18698.93 19965.19
2025-06-15 3682.72 1838.39 1868.54 1928.84 2179.09 7777.21 13263.10 15475.99 16582.44
2025-06-22 2717.87 1847.86 1861.45 1888.63 1963.11 5934.39 10156.45 11840.66 12682.76
2025-06-29 2148.34 1304.34 1321.27 1355.14 1502.86 4395.31 7690.29 9011.16 9671.60
2025-07-06 1325.00 828.36 829.59 832.04 903.29 3131.36 5810.49 6934.11 7495.91
2025-07-13 1339.16 847.07 862.98 894.78 1024.86 2245.32 3957.22 4702.36 5074.94
2025-07-20 1184.11 786.02 804.43 841.26 926.97 1819.41 3551.43 4356.94 4759.69
2025-07-27 754.49 418.43 429.54 451.77 507.54 1319.30 2874.45 3566.83 3913.02
2025-08-03 799.34 340.16 343.15 349.13 378.36 1383.32 2594.31 3092.63 3341.79
2025-08-10 950.68 261.86 283.07 325.49 437.02 1322.02 2196.99 2562.46 2745.20
2025-08-17 925.84 297.88 299.01 301.27 412.10 1108.20 1890.06 2235.70 2408.52
2025-08-24 466.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.00 561.86 739.03 818.16 857.73
2025-08-31 343.79 145.02 152.34 166.98 212.55 403.69 666.49 793.48 856.97
2025-09-07 920.88 737.41 743.79 756.56 790.24 1016.88 1662.75 1985.59 2147.01
2025-09-14 632.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1500.98 2387.66 2698.46 2853.86
2025-09-21 926.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 338.12 1793.41 2643.60 2927.57 3069.56
2025-09-28 1461.49 0.00 20.78 264.63 879.81 2329.66 3373.23 3717.44 3889.55
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