Prediction 2167

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation set 3 for MA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 17.09 0.00 1.25 3.78 10.44 25.95 41.51 47.93 51.15
2024-10-13 15.52 0.00 0.00 1.99 9.05 23.40 36.22 41.45 44.06
2024-10-20 14.70 0.00 0.00 1.75 8.77 21.13 34.16 39.52 42.21
2024-10-27 14.06 0.00 0.00 1.47 8.42 20.34 33.31 38.72 41.42
2024-11-03 12.84 0.00 0.00 1.33 6.94 18.73 31.68 37.45 40.34
2024-11-10 11.24 0.00 0.00 1.08 6.54 17.21 31.37 37.43 40.46
2024-11-17 11.41 0.32 1.16 2.85 7.13 17.28 34.56 42.25 46.10
2024-11-24 13.93 0.76 1.86 4.07 9.31 19.88 40.40 49.54 54.10
2024-12-01 11.02 0.44 1.37 3.23 7.83 18.46 42.08 52.42 57.60
2024-12-08 11.62 0.00 0.71 2.33 6.58 21.68 50.14 62.70 68.98
2024-12-15 11.19 0.00 0.00 0.14 5.15 23.29 56.75 71.52 78.90
2024-12-22 13.47 0.00 0.89 2.77 7.48 28.91 68.44 85.44 93.95
2024-12-29 16.87 4.22 5.02 6.61 10.72 34.51 79.89 99.18 108.83
2025-01-05 22.31 6.94 7.81 9.55 14.30 41.89 92.41 113.70 124.34
2025-01-12 24.86 6.52 7.55 9.62 15.30 49.07 104.76 127.82 139.36
2025-01-19 26.75 5.86 7.02 9.34 15.85 54.86 116.96 142.42 155.15
2025-01-26 27.91 4.09 5.41 8.06 15.32 60.94 126.68 153.51 166.93
2025-02-02 31.28 6.35 7.45 9.67 16.58 69.38 143.18 173.14 188.12
2025-02-09 35.23 7.14 8.35 10.79 18.36 78.84 158.11 190.13 206.15
2025-02-16 40.97 7.31 8.83 11.87 21.17 89.23 173.73 208.27 225.54
2025-02-23 45.27 7.09 8.86 12.40 22.87 95.92 182.10 216.88 234.27
2025-03-02 49.99 7.99 9.86 13.61 24.87 103.10 192.64 228.63 246.62
2025-03-09 48.90 6.84 8.61 12.14 22.69 103.63 196.61 234.00 252.69
2025-03-16 45.86 4.67 6.15 9.10 19.10 101.87 194.67 232.36 251.20
2025-03-23 46.52 3.22 4.90 8.25 18.82 103.12 196.57 234.48 253.44
2025-03-30 50.51 4.36 6.19 9.86 21.53 105.06 196.76 233.65 252.10
2025-04-06 51.85 6.14 8.10 12.03 24.50 105.79 194.30 230.03 247.90
2025-04-13 52.44 5.46 7.53 11.67 24.37 104.42 190.60 225.66 243.19
2025-04-20 48.50 3.97 5.96 9.94 22.14 101.17 186.22 220.58 237.76
2025-04-27 43.93 3.58 5.11 8.16 18.13 95.76 178.32 211.37 227.89
2025-05-04 42.93 3.26 4.83 7.96 18.08 92.10 172.14 204.00 219.93
2025-05-11 45.07 5.92 7.49 10.64 21.05 92.08 172.02 204.35 220.52
2025-05-18 40.27 4.79 6.28 9.26 18.89 83.44 157.30 187.15 202.07
2025-05-25 39.85 4.84 6.40 9.50 19.02 81.03 151.84 180.79 195.26
2025-06-01 38.75 2.43 4.20 7.74 18.00 76.57 142.16 168.87 182.23
2025-06-08 37.00 3.76 5.41 8.72 18.29 72.00 131.72 155.95 168.06
2025-06-15 34.63 6.32 7.78 10.71 19.22 64.49 119.84 142.52 153.87
2025-06-22 32.94 7.15 8.50 11.20 19.25 57.38 105.64 125.53 135.47
2025-06-29 28.50 5.65 7.09 9.96 17.83 49.29 94.52 113.33 122.73
2025-07-06 25.17 3.67 5.18 8.20 16.19 43.60 84.65 101.74 110.29
2025-07-13 25.00 3.63 5.32 8.70 16.76 40.61 77.42 92.96 100.72
2025-07-20 25.45 6.46 7.92 10.83 18.05 40.62 77.35 92.90 100.67
2025-07-27 24.65 4.70 6.24 9.33 17.07 38.55 71.79 85.89 92.95
2025-08-03 22.22 2.18 3.79 7.02 15.28 35.89 64.54 76.34 82.24
2025-08-10 18.84 0.91 2.34 5.20 12.63 28.95 56.48 68.43 74.41
2025-08-17 20.81 2.31 3.73 6.57 14.18 29.14 56.12 68.07 74.04
2025-08-24 19.31 1.20 2.56 5.26 12.50 27.32 51.77 62.64 68.08
2025-08-31 17.95 1.27 2.40 4.65 11.06 25.27 48.40 58.65 63.77
2025-09-07 17.63 0.00 0.68 3.50 10.94 24.65 47.22 57.35 62.42
2025-09-14 16.17 0.00 0.00 1.66 7.71 25.66 33.40 35.91 37.16
2025-09-21 17.11 0.16 1.17 3.20 8.97 27.26 35.54 38.33 39.72
2025-09-28 19.23 0.12 1.37 3.88 10.64 29.36 38.52 42.07 43.84
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