Prediction 2168
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation set 3 for SP using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1505.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8871.96 | 17281.81 | 20285.29 | 21787.03 |
| 2024-10-13 | 3352.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9938.09 | 19070.84 | 22431.88 | 24112.40 |
| 2024-10-20 | 3161.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13774.98 | 25596.94 | 29856.86 | 31986.83 |
| 2024-10-27 | 4018.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.28 | 17373.19 | 32671.39 | 38373.43 | 41224.45 |
| 2024-11-03 | 5797.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 174.61 | 18467.14 | 37531.49 | 45115.60 | 48907.66 |
| 2024-11-10 | 6691.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1151.98 | 23050.54 | 44395.65 | 52848.35 | 57074.70 |
| 2024-11-17 | 8488.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1405.65 | 26444.75 | 50094.89 | 59120.78 | 63633.73 |
| 2024-11-24 | 12512.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4356.54 | 32276.87 | 61463.55 | 73265.70 | 79166.77 |
| 2024-12-01 | 14445.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4208.55 | 36266.57 | 67145.81 | 79601.59 | 85829.48 |
| 2024-12-08 | 20949.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8909.82 | 45839.36 | 78877.59 | 92391.38 | 99148.27 |
| 2024-12-15 | 24545.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10200.95 | 50835.76 | 90358.10 | 106882.57 | 115144.80 |
| 2024-12-22 | 29083.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.49 | 12346.25 | 59081.82 | 104964.65 | 123500.03 | 132767.72 |
| 2024-12-29 | 34343.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3754.73 | 15940.99 | 68020.18 | 119263.01 | 140053.82 | 150449.22 |
| 2025-01-05 | 43083.46 | 0.00 | 1722.16 | 6762.94 | 21812.73 | 81251.51 | 137623.67 | 160122.93 | 171372.56 |
| 2025-01-12 | 63040.60 | 3970.00 | 7513.02 | 14599.05 | 34614.43 | 107846.37 | 169229.75 | 193466.85 | 205585.40 |
| 2025-01-19 | 83509.72 | 9682.90 | 14169.78 | 23143.52 | 48416.79 | 134237.04 | 202212.08 | 228946.82 | 242314.19 |
| 2025-01-26 | 95607.04 | 14475.35 | 19203.91 | 28661.02 | 55451.01 | 150456.49 | 220742.58 | 248612.89 | 262548.05 |
| 2025-02-02 | 113664.61 | 20979.49 | 26174.51 | 36564.54 | 66352.86 | 174162.33 | 250005.66 | 279385.14 | 294074.88 |
| 2025-02-09 | 135852.81 | 32297.54 | 38177.99 | 49938.89 | 84074.21 | 201175.57 | 280322.12 | 311082.28 | 326462.36 |
| 2025-02-16 | 153949.83 | 41370.01 | 47896.90 | 60950.67 | 99132.25 | 224917.33 | 309500.59 | 342198.71 | 358547.77 |
| 2025-02-23 | 168431.95 | 48697.48 | 55921.93 | 70370.84 | 110909.04 | 241838.66 | 330208.50 | 364680.52 | 381916.52 |
| 2025-03-02 | 189329.03 | 59238.26 | 67420.43 | 83784.78 | 128045.69 | 265106.99 | 356671.91 | 392778.56 | 410831.89 |
| 2025-03-09 | 213789.39 | 74175.34 | 82888.33 | 100314.32 | 147426.66 | 293516.03 | 386158.62 | 422318.81 | 440398.91 |
| 2025-03-16 | 238806.41 | 78610.18 | 88758.37 | 109054.75 | 164827.52 | 321319.48 | 417403.31 | 455452.69 | 474477.37 |
| 2025-03-23 | 241904.48 | 80912.47 | 90828.50 | 110660.57 | 165191.21 | 329460.23 | 427324.31 | 465669.28 | 484841.77 |
| 2025-03-30 | 249801.94 | 89357.74 | 98839.52 | 117803.07 | 171530.26 | 338926.75 | 439805.44 | 478718.83 | 498175.52 |
| 2025-04-06 | 255617.98 | 88474.32 | 99082.27 | 120298.17 | 179022.63 | 347665.22 | 446302.34 | 484257.56 | 503235.17 |
| 2025-04-13 | 254102.52 | 83128.03 | 94032.94 | 115842.76 | 175751.85 | 346525.88 | 446262.47 | 484329.47 | 503362.97 |
| 2025-04-20 | 236586.50 | 77740.48 | 87217.29 | 106170.91 | 159241.36 | 329220.27 | 425226.03 | 461784.98 | 480064.46 |
| 2025-04-27 | 208023.59 | 62337.51 | 70492.34 | 86801.99 | 134261.58 | 297199.05 | 388120.31 | 422257.64 | 439326.30 |
| 2025-05-04 | 179186.08 | 42934.98 | 50295.61 | 65016.87 | 108169.77 | 264325.90 | 349401.25 | 381129.67 | 396993.88 |
| 2025-05-11 | 158046.52 | 36717.01 | 42803.43 | 54976.29 | 92775.32 | 234728.24 | 315967.88 | 346738.98 | 362124.53 |
| 2025-05-18 | 125503.77 | 19697.27 | 25567.14 | 37306.88 | 71053.14 | 192253.45 | 263098.69 | 290309.62 | 303915.09 |
| 2025-05-25 | 92848.40 | 8525.51 | 13132.93 | 22347.76 | 48445.94 | 148836.01 | 207944.09 | 231099.60 | 242677.36 |
| 2025-06-01 | 64426.25 | 4052.15 | 6780.95 | 12238.54 | 28767.24 | 111746.06 | 161865.59 | 181319.72 | 191046.79 |
| 2025-06-08 | 49712.82 | 3226.79 | 5216.48 | 9195.87 | 21507.76 | 90300.38 | 132901.52 | 149110.73 | 157215.33 |
| 2025-06-15 | 37783.56 | 3540.03 | 4917.71 | 7673.05 | 16415.24 | 70958.08 | 107492.93 | 121775.33 | 128916.53 |
| 2025-06-22 | 26877.20 | 2742.93 | 3629.35 | 5402.21 | 10907.42 | 54708.81 | 85359.16 | 97388.11 | 103402.58 |
| 2025-06-29 | 21822.35 | 2496.44 | 2903.57 | 3717.83 | 7033.07 | 43727.60 | 67434.85 | 76574.62 | 81144.50 |
| 2025-07-06 | 19180.28 | 0.00 | 131.14 | 1168.39 | 5242.42 | 37795.58 | 58732.34 | 67273.02 | 71543.36 |
| 2025-07-13 | 14150.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2311.16 | 28982.50 | 43969.30 | 50083.93 | 53141.24 |
| 2025-07-20 | 13618.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2703.96 | 26178.38 | 41281.12 | 47774.92 | 51021.82 |
| 2025-07-27 | 12018.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1798.75 | 23509.25 | 37838.03 | 43814.30 | 46802.43 |
| 2025-08-03 | 12037.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1141.63 | 23260.27 | 35304.18 | 40042.62 | 42411.83 |
| 2025-08-10 | 11686.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 610.92 | 21625.42 | 31635.75 | 35778.98 | 37850.60 |
| 2025-08-17 | 9620.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19577.04 | 29041.43 | 32691.26 | 34516.18 |
| 2025-08-24 | 8553.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17689.72 | 25317.11 | 28324.23 | 29827.79 |
| 2025-08-31 | 8135.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17928.78 | 29065.04 | 33718.42 | 36045.11 |
| 2025-09-07 | 10401.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20773.54 | 33772.44 | 39654.66 | 42595.77 |
| 2025-09-14 | 5774.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14613.02 | 26936.49 | 31707.25 | 34092.63 |
| 2025-09-21 | 3982.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10675.56 | 23803.29 | 29375.36 | 32161.39 |
| 2025-09-28 | 8211.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2547.06 | 14885.18 | 28040.22 | 33384.29 | 36056.33 |
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