Prediction 2169
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation set 3 for SC using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1204.69 | 3492.51 | 4331.53 | 4751.05 |
| 2024-10-13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1348.26 | 3994.73 | 5006.33 | 5512.13 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2252.07 | 5612.86 | 6899.57 | 7542.92 |
| 2024-10-27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2535.79 | 6292.96 | 7746.47 | 8473.23 |
| 2024-11-03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1715.59 | 6844.12 | 9012.21 | 10096.25 |
| 2024-11-10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2235.08 | 7541.53 | 9775.05 | 10891.81 |
| 2024-11-17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3122.37 | 9075.71 | 11489.40 | 12696.25 |
| 2024-11-24 | 268.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3836.62 | 11495.51 | 14803.28 | 16457.17 |
| 2024-12-01 | 220.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3976.59 | 12441.27 | 16098.94 | 17927.78 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1478.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5985.66 | 15724.67 | 19979.45 | 22106.84 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1612.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6514.39 | 18448.00 | 23670.60 | 26281.89 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1757.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7568.48 | 21058.50 | 26814.38 | 29692.32 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2229.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8658.78 | 23377.12 | 29677.58 | 32827.81 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2365.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9339.59 | 25576.51 | 32435.73 | 35865.34 |
| 2025-01-12 | 3325.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.96 | 11439.57 | 29119.09 | 36521.76 | 40223.10 |
| 2025-01-19 | 6830.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2326.71 | 16101.04 | 35479.59 | 43578.81 | 47628.42 |
| 2025-01-26 | 7671.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2458.03 | 17888.53 | 38020.70 | 46377.34 | 50555.66 |
| 2025-02-02 | 9631.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 341.82 | 3350.77 | 20813.33 | 41774.52 | 50285.44 | 54540.90 |
| 2025-02-09 | 12402.26 | 305.67 | 846.39 | 1927.82 | 5319.07 | 24855.36 | 46732.41 | 55595.01 | 60026.30 |
| 2025-02-16 | 14223.84 | 819.39 | 1421.20 | 2624.84 | 6423.20 | 28022.33 | 51352.98 | 60715.20 | 65396.30 |
| 2025-02-23 | 17276.85 | 1862.94 | 2630.68 | 4166.15 | 8608.98 | 32151.51 | 56653.89 | 66529.08 | 71466.67 |
| 2025-03-02 | 22365.23 | 3609.19 | 4646.38 | 6720.76 | 12396.34 | 38486.40 | 64237.24 | 74625.29 | 79819.32 |
| 2025-03-09 | 28823.83 | 6555.14 | 7770.86 | 10202.30 | 16870.47 | 46673.93 | 73432.23 | 84108.68 | 89446.90 |
| 2025-03-16 | 36954.96 | 9111.26 | 10701.71 | 13882.60 | 22838.20 | 55775.83 | 83644.49 | 94880.66 | 100498.75 |
| 2025-03-23 | 40426.55 | 11553.65 | 13191.83 | 16468.18 | 25584.58 | 60924.46 | 89572.59 | 101006.80 | 106723.91 |
| 2025-03-30 | 46156.05 | 16137.07 | 17723.06 | 20895.04 | 30156.59 | 68109.88 | 98155.09 | 109985.42 | 115900.58 |
| 2025-04-06 | 52736.27 | 17750.70 | 19845.54 | 24035.23 | 35759.45 | 76244.82 | 106068.40 | 117706.59 | 123525.69 |
| 2025-04-13 | 56427.17 | 17976.50 | 20341.12 | 25070.38 | 38046.91 | 80858.38 | 112173.52 | 124354.73 | 130445.34 |
| 2025-04-20 | 60119.10 | 19549.00 | 21942.38 | 26729.13 | 40154.75 | 85632.68 | 116089.73 | 127770.49 | 133610.88 |
| 2025-04-27 | 56077.73 | 18566.55 | 20673.19 | 24886.46 | 37066.62 | 81212.48 | 111109.84 | 122433.58 | 128095.45 |
| 2025-05-04 | 51751.44 | 16125.52 | 18046.49 | 21888.43 | 33105.00 | 76434.48 | 104998.92 | 115782.84 | 121174.80 |
| 2025-05-11 | 51070.18 | 16587.83 | 18360.47 | 21905.75 | 32774.31 | 74176.78 | 102022.88 | 112616.26 | 117912.95 |
| 2025-05-18 | 43452.56 | 11598.23 | 13439.94 | 17123.36 | 27475.45 | 64864.80 | 90916.01 | 100941.16 | 105953.74 |
| 2025-05-25 | 36329.77 | 6927.69 | 8663.61 | 12135.45 | 21793.77 | 56410.45 | 80355.77 | 89628.06 | 94264.21 |
| 2025-06-01 | 31049.13 | 4308.88 | 5815.22 | 8827.90 | 17358.29 | 50284.57 | 72811.91 | 81444.70 | 85761.10 |
| 2025-06-08 | 24435.57 | 1902.03 | 3091.62 | 5470.79 | 12404.38 | 42587.78 | 63229.56 | 71046.17 | 74954.48 |
| 2025-06-15 | 17360.14 | 50.27 | 872.93 | 2518.25 | 7430.69 | 33333.79 | 52352.54 | 59614.04 | 63244.79 |
| 2025-06-22 | 14436.12 | 0.00 | 152.50 | 1770.99 | 6307.61 | 28572.97 | 45592.77 | 52135.03 | 55406.17 |
| 2025-06-29 | 12865.27 | 0.00 | 525.43 | 1843.65 | 5641.81 | 24913.30 | 39807.46 | 45514.04 | 48367.33 |
| 2025-07-06 | 9201.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.21 | 2867.74 | 20021.67 | 34024.95 | 39487.48 | 42218.75 |
| 2025-07-13 | 7924.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2227.62 | 17651.34 | 30003.07 | 34820.23 | 37228.81 |
| 2025-07-20 | 5966.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1177.30 | 15292.65 | 27381.12 | 32133.36 | 34509.48 |
| 2025-07-27 | 5736.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1197.50 | 14452.53 | 26239.33 | 30851.30 | 33157.29 |
| 2025-08-03 | 5390.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 895.12 | 13948.49 | 25012.82 | 29232.44 | 31342.25 |
| 2025-08-10 | 4819.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 558.57 | 12745.75 | 23039.74 | 27091.68 | 29117.64 |
| 2025-08-17 | 4263.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 347.18 | 12127.31 | 22136.80 | 25993.02 | 27921.13 |
| 2025-08-24 | 4499.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 495.76 | 12144.06 | 21765.53 | 25588.63 | 27500.19 |
| 2025-08-31 | 3183.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10663.21 | 21030.87 | 25256.08 | 27368.69 |
| 2025-09-07 | 3968.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 240.54 | 11259.43 | 21802.02 | 26209.35 | 28413.01 |
| 2025-09-14 | 616.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5025.70 | 10343.67 | 12274.79 | 13240.36 |
| 2025-09-21 | 1245.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4894.11 | 9959.17 | 11903.46 | 12875.60 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1512.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5253.13 | 9887.85 | 11793.69 | 12746.62 |
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