Prediction 2170
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation set 3 for MG using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 421.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1183.70 | 3801.35 | 4936.95 | 5504.74 |
| 2024-10-13 | 673.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1456.66 | 4438.10 | 5731.73 | 6378.55 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1079.96 | 4878.20 | 6463.61 | 7256.32 |
| 2024-10-27 | 522.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2407.26 | 7465.85 | 9596.56 | 10661.92 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1514.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 942.72 | 2212.45 | 7983.14 | 10593.02 | 11897.96 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1176.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 519.48 | 2853.21 | 10750.83 | 14282.40 | 16048.18 |
| 2024-11-17 | 550.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3153.89 | 12924.98 | 17114.90 | 19209.86 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1156.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4936.83 | 17443.32 | 22880.46 | 25599.03 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1626.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7096.74 | 21651.93 | 27824.33 | 30910.53 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1986.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | 802.40 | 8923.14 | 25148.82 | 32067.02 | 35526.11 |
| 2024-12-15 | 2436.63 | 114.56 | 194.59 | 354.65 | 680.88 | 10657.91 | 30504.01 | 38941.67 | 43160.51 |
| 2024-12-22 | 4350.72 | 610.13 | 720.63 | 941.63 | 1467.35 | 14871.28 | 38529.00 | 48305.50 | 53193.75 |
| 2024-12-29 | 6598.51 | 2023.76 | 2052.40 | 2109.69 | 2641.30 | 19571.36 | 46277.27 | 57276.68 | 62776.39 |
| 2025-01-05 | 9723.90 | 1740.90 | 1965.91 | 2415.92 | 4306.19 | 25479.51 | 55402.75 | 67492.23 | 73536.98 |
| 2025-01-12 | 13970.99 | 2068.74 | 2474.30 | 3285.42 | 6061.58 | 32920.30 | 65470.85 | 78475.47 | 84977.79 |
| 2025-01-19 | 17641.23 | 1833.98 | 2453.65 | 3693.00 | 7708.70 | 38999.67 | 74210.68 | 88176.03 | 95158.70 |
| 2025-01-26 | 25003.36 | 1998.37 | 3034.69 | 5107.34 | 11464.87 | 49353.29 | 86168.17 | 100808.53 | 108128.71 |
| 2025-02-02 | 33660.38 | 2332.89 | 3804.53 | 6747.82 | 15795.05 | 61006.93 | 101220.54 | 117009.77 | 124904.39 |
| 2025-02-09 | 41095.94 | 4578.81 | 6373.38 | 9962.50 | 20917.83 | 71361.28 | 114226.13 | 131107.61 | 139548.35 |
| 2025-02-16 | 46146.63 | 6131.02 | 8197.49 | 12330.42 | 24887.52 | 79308.98 | 125149.09 | 143203.23 | 152230.29 |
| 2025-02-23 | 52171.11 | 7876.85 | 10289.67 | 15115.32 | 29134.91 | 86727.71 | 134141.48 | 152848.31 | 162201.73 |
| 2025-03-02 | 61145.54 | 11296.12 | 14160.50 | 19889.26 | 35884.03 | 96883.57 | 145811.33 | 165251.31 | 174971.30 |
| 2025-03-09 | 69229.23 | 15714.67 | 18824.19 | 25043.24 | 42350.34 | 106122.17 | 154943.20 | 174203.63 | 183833.85 |
| 2025-03-16 | 74865.31 | 15842.99 | 19349.54 | 26362.64 | 46144.85 | 111699.18 | 160870.12 | 180510.87 | 190331.24 |
| 2025-03-23 | 74385.51 | 16029.78 | 19403.99 | 26152.40 | 45224.54 | 112005.79 | 160727.89 | 180109.72 | 189800.64 |
| 2025-03-30 | 75611.75 | 17243.54 | 20509.52 | 27041.48 | 46051.72 | 112774.99 | 160876.28 | 179741.57 | 189174.22 |
| 2025-04-06 | 74477.78 | 15715.48 | 19263.89 | 26360.71 | 46524.82 | 110756.50 | 156478.91 | 174419.96 | 183390.49 |
| 2025-04-13 | 73794.16 | 15820.54 | 19352.11 | 26415.23 | 46331.88 | 107385.44 | 150369.55 | 167250.25 | 175690.61 |
| 2025-04-20 | 59557.39 | 14526.41 | 17006.78 | 21967.52 | 36326.44 | 90099.74 | 130056.07 | 145865.85 | 153770.74 |
| 2025-04-27 | 54955.00 | 11352.02 | 13672.51 | 18313.50 | 32270.90 | 83558.17 | 120860.48 | 135475.75 | 142783.39 |
| 2025-05-04 | 50068.77 | 6131.30 | 8475.54 | 13164.02 | 27087.63 | 77623.24 | 113002.99 | 126786.38 | 133678.07 |
| 2025-05-11 | 41033.94 | 4037.70 | 5813.38 | 9364.74 | 20751.80 | 65977.75 | 99836.51 | 113232.50 | 119930.49 |
| 2025-05-18 | 31082.57 | 2092.59 | 3593.15 | 6594.26 | 15546.30 | 52213.57 | 81464.25 | 93174.36 | 99029.41 |
| 2025-05-25 | 19100.21 | 1856.88 | 2598.71 | 4082.36 | 8554.22 | 35836.87 | 60528.70 | 70592.71 | 75624.71 |
| 2025-06-01 | 13147.40 | 2741.83 | 3046.57 | 3656.05 | 5719.94 | 26797.77 | 47579.27 | 56081.57 | 60332.71 |
| 2025-06-08 | 10331.96 | 3473.04 | 3619.78 | 3913.27 | 5005.00 | 21910.62 | 39764.83 | 46947.22 | 50538.42 |
| 2025-06-15 | 8067.31 | 4198.21 | 4201.75 | 4208.84 | 4577.92 | 17752.81 | 33483.16 | 39969.38 | 43212.49 |
| 2025-06-22 | 6210.21 | 3708.18 | 3723.99 | 3755.61 | 3847.68 | 14300.87 | 27664.88 | 33166.99 | 35918.05 |
| 2025-06-29 | 5477.99 | 3122.96 | 3125.48 | 3130.51 | 3370.79 | 11821.41 | 23123.27 | 27782.40 | 30111.97 |
| 2025-07-06 | 4354.51 | 2188.37 | 2222.29 | 2290.12 | 2545.17 | 9691.20 | 19548.40 | 23744.50 | 25842.55 |
| 2025-07-13 | 3277.48 | 1348.22 | 1420.87 | 1566.16 | 1944.67 | 7042.63 | 14573.78 | 17811.05 | 19429.69 |
| 2025-07-20 | 2708.35 | 891.06 | 906.14 | 936.29 | 1041.46 | 5494.96 | 12902.23 | 16221.07 | 17880.49 |
| 2025-07-27 | 2481.64 | 462.62 | 552.83 | 733.26 | 1104.44 | 4676.76 | 11304.12 | 14238.73 | 15706.03 |
| 2025-08-03 | 2519.46 | 945.67 | 948.93 | 955.47 | 999.74 | 4479.60 | 10189.14 | 12693.05 | 13945.01 |
| 2025-08-10 | 2211.50 | 502.49 | 534.14 | 597.44 | 745.34 | 3587.41 | 8624.35 | 10865.96 | 11986.77 |
| 2025-08-17 | 1994.49 | 486.14 | 508.80 | 554.13 | 709.44 | 3028.05 | 7890.80 | 10042.24 | 11117.96 |
| 2025-08-24 | 1214.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.51 | 1663.66 | 5474.94 | 7201.03 | 8064.08 |
| 2025-08-31 | 764.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.52 | 343.09 | 1277.16 | 5525.03 | 7523.44 | 8522.65 |
| 2025-09-07 | 2413.01 | 1207.25 | 1213.36 | 1225.58 | 1325.96 | 3004.42 | 8181.79 | 10647.76 | 11880.74 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1144.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3711.11 | 7404.82 | 8823.56 | 9532.93 |
| 2025-09-21 | 1457.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 337.31 | 3437.21 | 7205.92 | 8776.47 | 9561.74 |
| 2025-09-28 | 2635.14 | 0.00 | 136.95 | 466.83 | 1379.76 | 5079.64 | 8917.76 | 10404.11 | 11147.28 |
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