Prediction 2171

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation set 3 for PE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 323.88 175.31 184.52 202.92 246.85 532.15 854.42 982.44 1046.44
2024-10-13 329.63 198.10 206.10 222.09 261.51 545.90 884.18 1016.72 1083.00
2024-10-20 312.12 184.55 193.28 210.75 254.20 557.64 910.06 1045.62 1113.40
2024-10-27 332.86 186.22 194.94 212.40 253.93 612.67 1026.10 1188.55 1269.78
2024-11-03 351.56 187.00 197.96 219.87 269.80 628.18 1074.85 1252.88 1341.90
2024-11-10 397.72 191.93 202.22 222.80 276.51 748.55 1277.89 1491.19 1597.85
2024-11-17 418.47 149.94 161.37 184.23 253.01 840.71 1438.79 1672.62 1789.54
2024-11-24 423.88 90.96 107.41 140.32 237.47 902.57 1595.83 1873.60 2012.48
2024-12-01 484.28 87.09 107.20 147.44 258.04 1036.29 1791.02 2089.08 2238.11
2024-12-08 577.44 91.83 119.50 174.85 319.71 1178.76 2016.72 2352.49 2520.37
2024-12-15 671.69 146.78 172.51 223.97 373.20 1304.86 2253.80 2636.24 2827.46
2024-12-22 754.87 136.45 168.01 231.14 409.78 1460.36 2524.21 2947.57 3159.25
2024-12-29 885.85 166.06 199.49 266.36 472.77 1675.88 2847.00 3315.83 3550.24
2025-01-05 1074.51 218.77 260.90 345.17 602.08 1951.99 3210.40 3707.48 3956.02
2025-01-12 1270.58 302.42 350.93 447.95 733.60 2237.89 3563.98 4081.97 4340.97
2025-01-19 1433.40 354.74 410.58 522.26 849.36 2475.73 3879.04 4424.05 4696.56
2025-01-26 1650.52 407.03 468.90 592.62 959.85 2768.68 4216.46 4782.68 5065.79
2025-02-02 1938.75 507.21 575.82 713.04 1127.13 3125.63 4649.27 5240.25 5535.74
2025-02-09 2097.11 667.65 733.51 865.25 1270.12 3327.68 4866.02 5462.24 5760.36
2025-02-16 2177.65 751.02 820.65 959.90 1382.05 3441.60 5030.74 5648.49 5957.37
2025-02-23 2302.92 801.51 877.46 1029.38 1474.35 3592.31 5216.54 5849.80 6166.43
2025-03-02 2417.10 816.40 898.59 1062.97 1530.84 3733.68 5387.38 6036.89 6361.65
2025-03-09 2469.46 853.50 933.45 1093.36 1555.14 3813.64 5458.61 6100.51 6421.46
2025-03-16 2673.84 889.34 978.96 1158.20 1687.65 4031.95 5703.23 6363.49 6693.63
2025-03-23 2748.17 893.98 990.74 1184.26 1742.50 4153.31 5819.09 6472.91 6799.83
2025-03-30 2743.20 895.73 987.29 1170.41 1717.53 4159.12 5825.22 6472.63 6796.34
2025-04-06 2731.50 890.82 987.15 1179.83 1744.91 4146.60 5773.01 6404.95 6720.92
2025-04-13 2910.81 959.06 1065.74 1279.11 1889.16 4299.01 5901.26 6520.56 6830.21
2025-04-20 2696.85 956.34 1046.80 1227.73 1749.98 4079.68 5640.91 6243.15 6544.27
2025-04-27 2820.70 944.90 1039.88 1229.84 1798.42 4222.81 5769.87 6360.12 6655.24
2025-05-04 2907.18 907.04 1007.33 1207.89 1810.03 4356.34 5914.07 6506.02 6801.99
2025-05-11 2816.78 871.65 965.25 1152.45 1734.24 4257.26 5819.65 6416.57 6715.03
2025-05-18 2700.22 772.13 872.47 1073.17 1660.78 4074.58 5550.17 6117.26 6400.81
2025-05-25 2423.78 684.46 773.81 952.50 1475.58 3696.00 5062.09 5590.07 5854.07
2025-06-01 1990.67 565.22 632.02 765.62 1168.82 3162.30 4428.70 4917.21 5161.47
2025-06-08 1662.82 417.74 473.83 586.02 928.64 2761.88 3942.93 4393.53 4618.84
2025-06-15 1396.28 302.55 348.34 439.93 729.89 2416.62 3524.83 3952.52 4166.36
2025-06-22 1173.14 262.13 298.26 370.51 597.92 2093.35 3109.34 3501.09 3696.97
2025-06-29 1033.00 269.21 296.46 350.95 527.22 1825.49 2722.53 3069.73 3243.32
2025-07-06 890.47 269.17 288.23 326.35 460.61 1598.92 2404.31 2719.10 2876.50
2025-07-13 759.50 255.79 270.03 298.51 394.76 1386.51 2107.01 2388.19 2528.78
2025-07-20 691.91 250.56 260.53 280.49 353.60 1263.05 1954.22 2227.91 2364.75
2025-07-27 623.90 253.77 261.00 275.45 335.11 1132.27 1759.75 2006.43 2129.77
2025-08-03 575.49 274.27 279.69 290.53 327.51 1028.10 1593.00 1816.96 1928.94
2025-08-10 532.70 273.41 275.84 280.69 306.79 938.31 1439.43 1636.51 1735.05
2025-08-17 480.03 264.85 266.40 269.50 284.76 849.48 1340.89 1534.17 1630.81
2025-08-24 431.96 246.98 248.37 251.14 263.58 751.29 1174.20 1343.18 1427.67
2025-08-31 384.53 238.54 240.46 244.31 253.82 684.87 1110.70 1281.80 1367.35
2025-09-07 342.93 215.66 215.99 216.63 225.19 620.77 1066.54 1252.84 1345.98
2025-09-14 285.06 134.40 142.58 158.92 205.87 536.69 826.00 938.30 994.45
2025-09-21 273.07 134.84 141.42 154.59 195.67 468.95 726.65 825.81 875.39
2025-09-28 265.02 130.22 137.63 152.45 194.89 415.89 639.50 727.75 771.87
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