Prediction 2172

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation set 3 for TO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 37.98 0.00 0.00 1.17 20.01 81.01 139.67 162.26 173.55
2024-10-13 39.76 0.00 0.00 2.80 21.68 84.75 151.32 176.98 189.81
2024-10-20 36.81 0.00 0.00 0.20 20.55 94.60 168.89 196.31 210.02
2024-10-27 45.40 0.00 0.00 5.01 21.83 117.21 209.15 243.84 261.19
2024-11-03 64.90 0.00 0.00 10.69 36.81 136.84 243.08 284.90 305.80
2024-11-10 78.61 0.00 0.00 5.55 37.77 174.85 314.55 370.30 398.17
2024-11-17 103.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.84 224.71 385.76 447.39 478.20
2024-11-24 129.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.94 275.84 471.89 548.95 587.48
2024-12-01 178.46 0.00 0.00 0.48 67.23 368.19 591.36 677.22 720.15
2024-12-08 238.40 0.00 0.00 17.28 103.62 460.19 710.66 807.78 856.35
2024-12-15 326.99 10.70 27.31 60.53 158.72 577.90 870.04 984.24 1041.35
2024-12-22 442.82 36.40 59.64 106.12 238.53 730.06 1065.10 1194.29 1258.88
2024-12-29 546.40 88.07 112.93 162.66 310.44 863.85 1233.77 1377.43 1449.26
2025-01-05 614.91 125.76 153.35 208.54 370.98 948.58 1340.17 1491.51 1567.18
2025-01-12 670.66 173.12 200.97 256.67 416.62 1019.20 1418.35 1570.98 1647.30
2025-01-19 717.18 208.16 236.72 293.84 459.48 1079.56 1499.80 1659.78 1739.77
2025-01-26 826.29 253.39 285.86 350.82 537.04 1214.72 1652.27 1820.56 1904.70
2025-02-02 925.46 291.16 326.14 396.11 597.63 1341.46 1809.33 1987.61 2076.74
2025-02-09 988.70 340.92 376.31 447.09 652.60 1421.45 1905.60 2091.04 2183.76
2025-02-16 1038.53 380.71 417.65 491.52 706.90 1487.12 1988.07 2180.20 2276.26
2025-02-23 1102.99 414.49 454.41 534.26 760.40 1559.67 2071.58 2269.01 2367.73
2025-03-02 1153.76 443.73 485.56 569.22 799.58 1609.12 2124.53 2325.70 2426.29
2025-03-09 1149.60 474.41 512.54 588.81 801.16 1600.29 2101.82 2296.74 2394.20
2025-03-16 1160.48 476.25 513.97 589.41 806.17 1599.58 2095.82 2291.14 2388.80
2025-03-23 1185.28 491.02 530.14 608.40 828.58 1633.36 2122.72 2314.00 2409.64
2025-03-30 1210.36 509.45 547.95 624.93 847.47 1653.20 2130.38 2314.22 2406.14
2025-04-06 1163.31 504.88 542.98 619.18 834.94 1583.75 2027.28 2198.61 2284.28
2025-04-13 1107.36 501.18 535.88 605.29 801.33 1490.95 1900.89 2058.24 2136.92
2025-04-20 1003.51 493.39 521.23 576.90 734.32 1362.37 1745.23 1893.02 1966.91
2025-04-27 1013.39 473.40 502.51 560.71 730.62 1360.17 1723.13 1861.78 1931.11
2025-05-04 959.70 416.90 445.48 502.65 670.75 1298.49 1648.95 1782.19 1848.81
2025-05-11 830.33 358.98 381.53 426.63 567.23 1149.53 1486.69 1616.25 1681.02
2025-05-18 778.39 301.31 326.33 376.38 522.48 1080.29 1387.88 1506.95 1566.49
2025-05-25 685.75 256.99 279.01 323.04 451.52 961.76 1235.30 1341.98 1395.33
2025-06-01 601.86 221.02 239.45 276.30 386.44 856.41 1101.20 1195.89 1243.23
2025-06-08 515.51 173.07 189.37 221.98 320.18 756.57 978.16 1061.46 1103.11
2025-06-15 455.48 137.89 152.45 181.58 271.68 682.17 885.42 963.97 1003.24
2025-06-22 403.59 107.72 121.65 149.51 232.75 610.81 797.59 869.59 905.59
2025-06-29 349.57 81.86 93.18 115.80 186.98 534.31 692.54 752.34 782.24
2025-07-06 290.41 51.75 60.86 79.07 140.38 458.84 603.36 659.20 687.13
2025-07-13 239.89 30.94 39.29 55.99 107.93 390.70 519.46 569.42 594.40
2025-07-20 204.09 20.07 26.96 40.72 84.23 335.68 458.09 506.14 530.16
2025-07-27 183.64 21.04 27.37 40.03 80.09 300.37 411.21 454.48 476.11
2025-08-03 169.52 24.58 30.09 41.13 73.28 273.98 370.87 409.07 428.17
2025-08-10 148.43 16.12 20.61 29.59 57.70 244.16 328.96 362.18 378.79
2025-08-17 118.70 7.43 10.62 16.99 38.34 208.03 294.03 327.39 344.07
2025-08-24 114.52 6.14 9.72 16.89 38.97 196.57 268.91 296.28 309.96
2025-08-31 111.02 10.20 13.95 21.44 43.88 190.03 265.68 295.18 309.93
2025-09-07 113.71 19.83 22.90 29.05 47.60 191.93 279.53 316.37 334.78
2025-09-14 92.95 14.86 17.86 23.88 43.35 160.75 220.22 242.77 254.04
2025-09-21 91.09 17.49 21.08 28.24 48.13 149.48 205.92 226.74 237.15
2025-09-28 94.74 20.42 24.00 31.16 51.31 152.48 206.13 224.19 233.22
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