Prediction 2173

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation set 3 for RJ using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 135.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.20 240.50 502.48 615.95 672.69
2024-10-13 159.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.28 290.05 561.64 679.19 737.96
2024-10-20 232.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 123.96 370.83 673.44 801.82 866.01
2024-10-27 229.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 107.69 395.52 735.91 877.62 948.47
2024-11-03 184.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.72 334.49 728.36 902.65 989.80
2024-11-10 177.24 0.00 0.00 12.17 100.61 355.91 838.12 1048.49 1153.68
2024-11-17 211.74 64.57 75.56 97.54 152.62 402.99 966.44 1212.68 1335.80
2024-11-24 243.60 79.72 95.48 127.00 200.31 457.31 1131.62 1426.50 1573.94
2024-12-01 206.64 101.23 112.08 133.76 179.67 465.29 1235.90 1568.96 1735.48
2024-12-08 209.43 72.06 83.77 107.20 156.01 535.65 1431.26 1819.71 2013.93
2024-12-15 185.81 26.49 36.87 57.64 102.73 562.82 1603.84 2053.83 2278.82
2024-12-22 261.23 66.30 76.94 98.23 144.20 740.84 1963.02 2478.03 2735.54
2024-12-29 351.35 127.83 137.90 158.03 211.24 916.51 2280.90 2851.23 3136.39
2025-01-05 456.38 100.85 119.30 156.20 260.61 1112.27 2619.42 3242.63 3554.24
2025-01-12 536.80 74.21 96.38 140.73 267.63 1332.09 2967.56 3636.07 3970.33
2025-01-19 639.17 55.18 83.41 139.88 303.33 1533.06 3308.14 4027.10 4386.59
2025-01-26 741.85 18.72 55.56 129.22 334.21 1753.41 3587.36 4326.34 4695.83
2025-02-02 820.82 0.00 0.00 75.48 313.97 1948.42 3953.34 4756.74 5158.44
2025-02-09 857.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 260.96 2158.03 4357.46 5238.78 5679.43
2025-02-16 1128.73 0.00 0.00 4.10 392.03 2620.08 4999.89 5959.25 6438.93
2025-02-23 1415.27 0.00 0.00 63.34 554.06 3002.39 5444.60 6421.02 6909.22
2025-03-02 1622.80 0.00 0.00 139.77 673.45 3257.32 5764.25 6765.67 7266.38
2025-03-09 1563.56 0.00 0.00 123.68 613.97 3187.63 5698.02 6701.31 7202.95
2025-03-16 1630.15 0.00 0.00 134.03 662.52 3232.60 5677.89 6660.49 7151.79
2025-03-23 1692.12 0.00 0.00 173.51 720.63 3287.82 5677.55 6640.39 7121.82
2025-03-30 1675.14 0.00 0.00 168.81 706.03 3175.80 5477.14 6393.16 6851.18
2025-04-06 1397.75 0.00 0.00 125.07 573.15 2789.10 4929.95 5787.70 6216.58
2025-04-13 1367.64 0.00 13.15 154.50 580.15 2637.93 4614.08 5409.94 5807.87
2025-04-20 1263.14 0.00 58.50 187.35 569.63 2473.43 4352.08 5109.40 5488.06
2025-04-27 1065.67 13.96 64.58 165.81 477.69 2169.68 3887.69 4574.64 4918.11
2025-05-04 940.90 54.06 97.79 185.27 451.45 1892.06 3457.32 4080.57 4392.19
2025-05-11 848.83 103.76 141.49 216.96 448.15 1669.64 3161.28 3766.27 4068.77
2025-05-18 668.01 55.45 91.01 162.12 364.91 1356.88 2668.71 3204.80 3472.84
2025-05-25 643.17 74.43 110.23 181.82 370.78 1246.97 2428.92 2918.96 3163.98
2025-06-01 593.47 40.64 78.05 152.86 348.07 1110.25 2138.68 2564.85 2777.94
2025-06-08 556.60 60.01 94.72 164.15 342.24 1009.64 1896.16 2261.16 2443.66
2025-06-15 496.49 64.78 97.74 163.67 335.39 838.76 1596.14 1913.90 2072.78
2025-06-22 482.65 81.15 111.35 171.74 332.59 740.21 1336.77 1588.61 1714.54
2025-06-29 397.18 40.01 70.44 131.31 284.54 584.41 1103.43 1325.73 1436.88
2025-07-06 324.67 0.00 0.00 58.13 228.85 468.17 905.30 1096.17 1191.60
2025-07-13 305.46 0.00 0.00 39.50 207.15 396.30 717.05 861.59 933.86
2025-07-20 307.59 0.00 0.00 24.95 201.48 384.28 713.59 864.64 940.17
2025-07-27 279.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 172.78 356.61 641.15 773.48 839.64
2025-08-03 277.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 149.86 340.53 563.98 667.77 719.66
2025-08-10 224.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 113.92 231.08 426.40 522.97 571.26
2025-08-17 174.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.98 195.27 366.48 450.38 492.32
2025-08-24 146.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.74 174.72 275.01 321.97 345.44
2025-08-31 152.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.29 196.79 283.21 324.85 345.67
2025-09-07 115.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.09 159.64 250.27 294.62 316.80
2025-09-14 102.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.29 197.67 288.32 321.23 337.69
2025-09-21 110.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.37 213.29 292.34 320.33 334.32
2025-09-28 135.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.12 243.70 315.88 339.43 351.20
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