Prediction 2174

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation set 3 for PA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 53.07 2.72 6.02 12.62 30.57 91.54 158.61 185.99 199.67
2024-10-13 46.69 3.24 5.88 11.16 25.53 84.83 154.64 183.38 197.75
2024-10-20 50.21 3.44 6.39 12.30 28.22 96.06 174.89 206.83 222.80
2024-10-27 52.69 6.79 9.49 14.88 28.74 105.31 195.21 231.37 249.45
2024-11-03 52.27 5.12 7.95 13.62 28.62 109.03 209.56 250.96 271.66
2024-11-10 63.45 9.97 12.78 18.39 34.24 131.91 252.26 301.82 326.60
2024-11-17 76.00 10.23 13.46 19.91 39.07 156.65 295.44 351.28 379.19
2024-11-24 82.36 1.70 5.93 14.41 38.95 180.74 342.77 408.30 441.07
2024-12-01 103.25 0.00 2.41 13.25 44.40 223.83 406.75 479.95 516.54
2024-12-08 146.57 0.00 4.10 20.45 66.06 292.22 498.36 580.93 622.22
2024-12-15 169.98 0.00 4.44 21.07 71.47 337.17 572.73 666.78 713.80
2024-12-22 232.75 0.30 12.66 37.37 109.52 425.03 692.24 797.78 850.55
2024-12-29 296.41 13.53 28.83 59.42 150.32 510.09 807.27 924.96 983.81
2025-01-05 339.87 19.14 37.51 74.26 180.89 567.19 886.89 1012.75 1075.69
2025-01-12 375.15 34.01 53.64 92.91 205.20 618.86 953.50 1084.57 1150.11
2025-01-19 412.56 43.82 65.42 108.61 232.73 666.42 1016.99 1153.54 1221.81
2025-01-26 414.69 44.85 65.76 107.57 229.19 676.13 1031.29 1170.24 1239.72
2025-02-02 420.92 53.03 72.75 112.21 228.96 685.75 1044.67 1184.17 1253.93
2025-02-09 425.16 65.98 85.73 125.21 241.03 688.54 1043.47 1182.12 1251.45
2025-02-16 425.31 79.44 98.54 136.74 249.34 686.27 1042.45 1182.16 1252.01
2025-02-23 416.86 85.34 103.75 140.55 247.73 668.76 1016.37 1153.19 1221.60
2025-03-02 399.84 88.69 105.56 139.30 236.86 638.27 972.32 1104.34 1170.36
2025-03-09 357.16 91.93 105.19 131.70 210.55 581.07 895.33 1019.23 1081.18
2025-03-16 336.68 96.53 108.12 131.29 202.24 544.11 837.77 954.22 1012.45
2025-03-23 317.29 89.09 100.57 123.52 191.39 509.71 785.07 894.65 949.44
2025-03-30 278.07 72.55 82.19 101.46 160.75 453.40 714.85 818.27 869.98
2025-04-06 255.91 66.25 75.73 94.68 152.26 420.31 662.83 759.29 807.51
2025-04-13 232.29 58.97 67.44 84.37 136.23 381.32 600.75 687.50 730.88
2025-04-20 198.15 52.58 59.58 73.58 116.12 335.08 540.79 622.53 663.39
2025-04-27 175.13 53.78 59.40 70.63 105.88 297.59 484.37 558.50 595.56
2025-05-04 158.03 48.46 53.99 65.07 97.88 265.38 435.98 503.75 537.64
2025-05-11 137.67 42.60 47.15 56.26 84.89 235.49 394.84 458.51 490.34
2025-05-18 117.26 28.49 33.22 42.70 70.82 203.98 344.37 400.61 428.74
2025-05-25 107.69 23.19 27.56 36.28 62.45 188.07 317.81 370.15 396.32
2025-06-01 98.43 22.54 26.33 33.91 56.77 169.27 284.42 330.94 354.20
2025-06-08 89.83 18.36 22.57 30.98 53.79 154.65 255.34 294.91 314.70
2025-06-15 80.10 17.51 21.07 28.18 49.19 132.76 223.49 260.40 278.85
2025-06-22 71.46 15.28 18.71 25.57 44.50 114.22 190.26 221.45 237.05
2025-06-29 68.84 18.17 21.41 27.90 45.81 102.69 167.04 193.33 206.48
2025-07-06 63.86 13.23 16.60 23.34 42.34 93.38 153.69 178.91 191.52
2025-07-13 55.57 4.46 8.21 15.70 34.94 80.51 129.52 149.93 160.13
2025-07-20 55.06 2.72 6.24 13.27 32.20 76.77 125.48 146.32 156.74
2025-07-27 57.56 4.66 8.34 15.69 35.54 76.03 114.25 130.95 139.30
2025-08-03 54.83 1.75 5.63 13.40 34.00 70.22 103.86 118.75 126.20
2025-08-10 49.78 0.00 1.72 8.80 28.26 62.00 91.69 104.92 111.54
2025-08-17 45.35 0.00 0.00 5.44 23.09 59.42 88.88 101.47 107.77
2025-08-24 42.59 0.00 0.00 1.74 19.91 54.50 77.47 87.38 92.33
2025-08-31 41.11 0.00 0.00 3.30 20.84 50.84 76.53 88.06 93.83
2025-09-07 33.72 0.00 0.00 0.52 16.32 43.99 71.46 84.28 90.70
2025-09-14 28.26 0.00 0.00 4.84 16.69 39.35 48.10 51.21 52.76
2025-09-21 29.54 1.70 3.46 6.99 17.15 40.13 48.52 51.47 52.95
2025-09-28 28.88 1.27 3.12 6.83 16.98 39.68 47.83 50.70 52.13
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