Prediction 2175

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation set 3 for AM using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 50.08 13.57 16.48 22.32 37.10 87.19 150.22 175.68 188.40
2024-10-13 54.49 18.82 21.55 27.02 40.41 94.40 162.49 190.19 204.04
2024-10-20 52.58 17.42 20.29 26.02 40.34 96.07 169.79 199.45 214.27
2024-10-27 54.94 18.72 21.55 27.22 40.82 103.93 184.85 216.84 232.84
2024-11-03 59.92 23.99 26.05 30.16 41.18 110.50 198.33 233.75 251.46
2024-11-10 71.26 23.99 26.77 32.33 47.65 129.10 228.24 268.26 288.26
2024-11-17 78.76 25.68 28.52 34.20 50.62 143.38 250.22 293.68 315.41
2024-11-24 81.66 21.20 24.46 31.00 49.14 154.75 270.35 317.16 340.57
2024-12-01 87.78 20.79 24.41 31.65 51.76 168.52 295.93 347.24 372.90
2024-12-08 100.41 23.80 27.85 35.94 58.43 189.54 326.66 381.59 409.06
2024-12-15 109.08 26.20 30.34 38.62 62.73 205.24 353.56 412.94 442.63
2024-12-22 116.04 24.56 29.23 38.57 65.15 219.58 382.67 447.89 480.50
2024-12-29 116.22 25.71 30.01 38.60 64.27 227.32 399.95 468.70 503.08
2025-01-05 120.55 26.51 30.87 39.60 66.15 237.92 423.93 497.76 534.67
2025-01-12 122.46 27.13 31.35 39.79 65.11 247.03 437.81 513.22 550.93
2025-01-19 119.24 23.59 27.76 36.09 61.69 245.08 439.06 515.29 553.40
2025-01-26 120.91 20.11 24.92 34.53 62.72 247.43 440.85 516.83 554.82
2025-02-02 128.13 24.93 29.76 39.43 68.05 255.34 454.08 532.29 571.39
2025-02-09 125.26 25.32 29.76 38.63 65.83 254.25 452.10 530.20 569.25
2025-02-16 116.57 17.65 22.00 30.68 57.65 245.44 446.65 527.46 567.86
2025-02-23 111.91 10.54 15.40 25.11 53.78 236.71 429.50 506.56 545.09
2025-03-02 113.61 12.29 17.00 26.44 54.27 231.92 420.13 495.33 532.93
2025-03-09 104.46 11.98 16.46 25.42 51.29 216.85 399.91 473.57 510.40
2025-03-16 92.10 10.92 14.47 21.57 44.08 200.23 375.15 445.67 480.92
2025-03-23 84.62 10.20 13.91 21.32 42.72 185.28 351.47 419.03 452.81
2025-03-30 81.92 13.89 17.42 24.46 44.57 173.02 332.50 396.53 428.55
2025-04-06 71.74 12.69 16.24 23.34 42.65 152.56 300.46 360.66 390.76
2025-04-13 67.50 17.07 20.05 26.00 43.00 140.78 277.13 332.62 360.36
2025-04-20 62.62 17.39 20.44 26.56 42.33 130.62 259.03 311.49 337.71
2025-04-27 62.79 18.63 21.51 27.26 43.21 124.74 243.63 292.04 316.25
2025-05-04 62.33 16.34 19.60 26.11 43.61 118.69 229.29 274.02 296.38
2025-05-11 58.18 12.74 15.73 21.71 38.61 110.42 219.60 264.31 286.66
2025-05-18 53.89 8.67 11.86 18.23 35.42 103.51 207.86 250.79 272.26
2025-05-25 55.69 8.67 12.07 18.87 36.34 101.99 203.37 245.70 266.87
2025-06-01 55.01 6.80 10.24 17.13 35.23 98.27 194.67 234.69 254.71
2025-06-08 56.34 6.03 9.72 17.09 36.23 99.25 189.37 226.66 245.30
2025-06-15 54.63 4.80 8.66 16.37 36.07 93.98 179.48 215.08 232.88
2025-06-22 57.98 10.80 14.11 20.72 38.32 94.95 176.77 210.67 227.62
2025-06-29 54.66 11.77 15.00 21.45 38.39 91.21 170.19 202.81 219.12
2025-07-06 51.72 8.23 11.68 18.59 36.36 85.83 158.77 188.89 203.95
2025-07-13 53.19 9.01 12.58 19.72 37.58 84.33 152.39 180.88 195.12
2025-07-20 54.28 9.56 13.10 20.16 38.15 84.30 153.73 182.91 197.50
2025-07-27 49.78 2.74 6.74 14.75 34.68 79.54 142.40 168.95 182.22
2025-08-03 47.86 1.85 5.50 12.80 31.40 76.13 135.26 160.23 172.71
2025-08-10 46.92 0.00 3.48 11.28 31.14 72.18 132.29 158.22 171.18
2025-08-17 49.08 0.95 4.77 12.41 32.58 73.44 135.84 163.06 176.66
2025-08-24 48.44 0.53 4.43 12.23 32.51 72.07 133.39 160.32 173.79
2025-08-31 48.85 1.73 5.48 12.98 32.85 74.84 138.79 166.28 180.03
2025-09-07 51.37 2.47 6.38 14.20 34.39 79.95 149.40 178.93 193.69
2025-09-14 34.40 0.00 0.00 0.74 14.85 65.97 108.99 125.79 134.20
2025-09-21 38.73 0.00 1.30 5.65 18.48 70.42 120.25 140.88 151.20
2025-09-28 46.82 0.00 2.07 8.18 25.04 85.87 132.86 151.54 160.88
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