Prediction 2176

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation set 3 for SE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 15.92 3.54 4.21 5.55 9.39 25.10 37.31 42.17 44.61
2024-10-13 15.10 1.49 2.31 3.94 8.48 24.35 36.10 40.76 43.08
2024-10-20 16.04 1.95 2.78 4.44 9.09 25.09 36.98 41.72 44.09
2024-10-27 14.61 1.28 2.06 3.63 8.04 23.32 35.05 39.81 42.19
2024-11-03 12.74 0.49 1.18 2.55 6.49 21.41 32.84 37.43 39.72
2024-11-10 13.51 0.56 1.32 2.83 7.12 22.00 34.08 38.92 41.34
2024-11-17 13.83 0.25 1.05 2.65 7.15 22.23 34.90 40.09 42.68
2024-11-24 13.44 0.00 0.00 1.74 6.71 21.67 34.91 40.27 42.95
2024-12-01 13.05 0.00 0.46 2.15 6.76 21.60 35.41 40.98 43.77
2024-12-08 12.40 0.01 0.80 2.39 6.66 21.22 36.90 43.39 46.64
2024-12-15 11.68 0.00 0.17 1.89 6.34 20.73 37.03 43.72 47.06
2024-12-22 12.49 0.00 0.73 2.44 6.92 22.52 40.07 47.28 50.88
2024-12-29 13.60 0.00 0.78 2.56 7.31 24.33 43.19 50.83 54.65
2025-01-05 14.24 0.00 0.77 2.70 7.70 25.60 45.25 53.16 57.12
2025-01-12 15.03 0.50 1.42 3.26 8.20 27.64 48.80 57.35 61.62
2025-01-19 15.86 0.38 1.37 3.34 8.65 29.68 52.03 60.93 65.39
2025-01-26 17.29 1.30 2.25 4.15 9.37 32.57 56.34 65.87 70.63
2025-02-02 18.74 2.82 3.68 5.41 10.30 35.52 61.49 71.87 77.06
2025-02-09 19.04 3.49 4.34 6.05 10.72 37.15 64.51 75.45 80.92
2025-02-16 20.82 3.89 4.84 6.74 11.94 40.04 68.51 79.90 85.60
2025-02-23 22.79 4.52 5.50 7.48 12.86 42.74 71.20 82.49 88.14
2025-03-02 23.16 4.09 5.08 7.05 12.55 43.72 72.43 83.86 89.57
2025-03-09 24.40 4.59 5.57 7.53 12.97 45.87 75.98 87.97 93.97
2025-03-16 27.05 5.26 6.30 8.39 14.43 49.93 81.16 93.74 100.03
2025-03-23 29.84 4.02 5.31 7.89 15.30 55.01 87.84 100.91 107.45
2025-03-30 33.64 2.70 4.24 7.30 16.38 61.01 95.00 108.40 115.10
2025-04-06 38.18 2.58 4.39 8.03 18.89 67.84 104.37 118.66 125.81
2025-04-13 40.39 0.91 2.91 6.90 18.72 71.62 110.14 125.43 133.07
2025-04-20 41.54 0.35 2.40 6.51 18.88 75.25 115.97 131.88 139.84
2025-04-27 45.94 1.29 3.50 7.92 21.29 82.09 125.35 141.96 150.27
2025-05-04 50.87 3.16 5.44 9.98 24.05 88.91 133.98 151.26 159.90
2025-05-11 52.12 2.25 4.61 9.32 23.97 92.33 140.52 159.21 168.55
2025-05-18 53.53 2.04 4.49 9.39 24.48 94.94 144.37 163.51 173.07
2025-05-25 53.56 1.18 3.75 8.88 24.34 96.58 147.56 167.33 177.21
2025-06-01 52.29 0.00 2.04 7.46 23.34 96.17 147.49 167.34 177.27
2025-06-08 52.92 0.00 1.96 7.35 23.42 97.88 149.55 169.39 179.31
2025-06-15 51.65 0.00 1.74 6.90 22.43 96.70 149.02 169.12 179.17
2025-06-22 49.92 0.00 1.01 6.06 21.30 94.41 145.91 165.68 175.57
2025-06-29 50.28 0.00 1.41 6.60 21.82 94.71 147.18 167.48 177.63
2025-07-06 53.96 0.30 3.08 8.65 25.08 99.76 152.31 172.48 182.57
2025-07-13 46.49 0.00 0.87 5.47 19.16 91.16 143.41 163.50 173.54
2025-07-20 39.33 0.00 0.41 4.01 14.93 82.01 133.84 153.84 163.84
2025-07-27 35.79 0.00 1.41 4.61 14.25 76.56 126.50 145.70 155.31
2025-08-03 33.35 1.13 2.54 5.35 13.64 71.98 119.42 137.60 146.70
2025-08-10 30.62 2.49 3.64 5.94 12.82 67.14 112.73 130.40 139.23
2025-08-17 25.72 1.64 2.56 4.39 10.08 59.53 103.23 120.37 128.94
2025-08-24 22.86 1.45 2.22 3.76 8.59 54.77 96.33 112.57 120.69
2025-08-31 23.28 2.39 3.18 4.76 9.52 54.05 93.40 108.68 116.31
2025-09-07 22.37 0.88 1.67 3.25 8.25 51.88 89.99 104.91 112.37
2025-09-14 28.91 5.33 6.13 7.73 13.45 52.77 77.81 87.27 92.00
2025-09-21 29.04 4.82 5.77 7.67 13.84 51.97 77.04 86.87 91.79
2025-09-28 27.61 3.63 4.62 6.58 12.87 48.32 70.19 79.34 83.92
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