Prediction 2177

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation set 3 for PB using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 97.21 43.81 46.32 51.34 65.52 153.85 214.67 237.20 248.46
2024-10-13 93.66 35.78 39.32 46.39 65.20 152.93 208.24 227.47 237.08
2024-10-20 91.42 39.60 42.38 47.92 64.12 152.81 204.08 221.36 230.00
2024-10-27 93.12 43.79 46.16 50.89 65.43 147.39 193.54 210.03 218.28
2024-11-03 99.70 37.76 41.75 49.71 69.89 140.85 178.81 191.78 198.26
2024-11-10 94.54 40.96 44.23 50.77 67.45 137.87 176.54 191.35 198.76
2024-11-17 99.32 43.60 46.69 52.86 68.84 147.28 182.51 194.76 200.88
2024-11-24 98.66 38.92 43.17 51.67 73.69 139.84 176.37 190.59 197.69
2024-12-01 93.93 43.27 46.27 52.26 67.78 139.83 181.01 196.09 203.63
2024-12-08 92.19 38.62 42.09 49.03 66.42 139.85 194.26 216.94 228.29
2024-12-15 102.25 42.50 46.08 53.26 72.56 150.78 223.02 253.59 268.88
2024-12-22 107.60 41.38 45.54 53.85 75.74 167.88 259.56 297.62 316.64
2024-12-29 113.44 40.02 44.08 52.20 74.59 187.06 295.33 339.70 361.89
2025-01-05 129.76 33.31 38.98 50.32 81.37 222.91 351.38 403.13 429.00
2025-01-12 154.57 36.94 43.58 56.85 93.79 267.54 415.33 474.01 503.35
2025-01-19 177.24 36.80 44.79 60.77 105.02 308.42 473.20 537.90 570.25
2025-01-26 216.14 57.85 65.71 81.42 127.20 362.04 539.07 609.50 644.71
2025-02-02 265.94 66.35 76.33 96.27 153.87 425.90 629.61 710.23 750.53
2025-02-09 304.55 83.81 94.05 114.52 176.17 493.60 721.63 811.02 855.72
2025-02-16 350.68 83.37 96.61 123.08 201.95 574.92 827.79 926.15 975.34
2025-02-23 424.63 100.57 116.74 149.09 243.25 677.52 955.48 1063.10 1116.92
2025-03-02 495.19 123.25 141.77 178.82 286.39 766.95 1068.21 1186.09 1245.03
2025-03-09 566.91 159.68 179.14 218.06 333.05 861.31 1183.22 1308.68 1371.41
2025-03-16 676.51 198.20 221.09 266.87 407.06 988.23 1332.22 1468.91 1537.26
2025-03-23 775.13 241.10 269.02 324.86 486.66 1125.74 1487.23 1628.43 1699.02
2025-03-30 865.45 293.47 322.26 379.84 552.88 1248.83 1628.45 1774.28 1847.19
2025-04-06 922.99 323.71 355.68 419.61 607.30 1324.59 1712.19 1860.02 1933.93
2025-04-13 1013.47 365.55 401.77 474.20 680.05 1415.26 1815.47 1969.24 2046.12
2025-04-20 1062.33 416.13 451.81 523.17 727.69 1477.41 1880.87 2034.31 2111.03
2025-04-27 1160.47 446.95 486.31 565.03 793.43 1591.62 2002.88 2156.73 2233.66
2025-05-04 1225.77 472.03 512.25 592.68 831.13 1672.51 2091.78 2247.84 2325.87
2025-05-11 1251.35 496.63 536.38 615.88 854.34 1704.58 2139.27 2302.44 2384.02
2025-05-18 1285.29 488.71 534.03 624.68 882.84 1739.74 2172.23 2335.78 2417.56
2025-05-25 1250.67 467.08 511.46 600.23 854.24 1695.30 2110.55 2268.55 2347.55
2025-06-01 1200.54 449.81 491.91 576.12 817.00 1635.83 2033.87 2183.86 2258.85
2025-06-08 1146.87 435.93 474.92 552.90 780.34 1574.31 1955.05 2096.88 2167.79
2025-06-15 1108.10 428.09 465.81 541.25 759.22 1518.30 1889.12 2027.61 2096.86
2025-06-22 1077.28 412.08 449.69 524.91 740.05 1469.35 1822.29 1953.97 2019.81
2025-06-29 1006.12 380.69 414.57 482.35 678.51 1378.21 1712.13 1837.31 1899.90
2025-07-06 912.86 337.50 367.23 426.68 604.68 1271.64 1589.42 1708.26 1767.69
2025-07-13 856.79 310.25 338.71 395.62 564.61 1195.94 1498.65 1611.52 1667.95
2025-07-20 811.62 285.53 313.63 369.82 533.63 1134.24 1433.33 1545.30 1601.28
2025-07-27 749.77 243.08 270.52 325.40 487.50 1054.70 1346.12 1455.05 1509.52
2025-08-03 677.56 201.95 227.08 277.35 423.04 974.83 1252.03 1354.63 1405.94
2025-08-10 635.90 174.26 198.23 246.15 387.59 919.96 1184.65 1283.85 1333.44
2025-08-17 605.49 152.62 176.24 223.49 363.28 872.64 1133.79 1233.02 1282.63
2025-08-24 557.76 119.70 142.68 188.64 324.01 813.05 1057.65 1150.33 1196.67
2025-08-31 489.79 90.42 110.82 151.62 273.03 738.51 976.30 1066.36 1111.39
2025-09-07 440.94 68.19 85.60 120.44 227.67 675.74 918.72 1014.00 1061.64
2025-09-14 382.11 86.88 99.59 125.02 206.10 572.70 753.18 819.43 852.55
2025-09-21 316.42 84.08 94.51 115.39 181.83 496.22 649.04 705.40 733.58
2025-09-28 267.09 83.05 89.93 103.70 152.98 439.47 590.29 646.85 675.14
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