Prediction 2178

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation set 3 for MT using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 244.30 16.18 31.85 63.21 142.77 482.49 734.91 828.55 875.37
2024-10-13 247.18 10.93 25.86 55.73 133.09 498.05 766.04 865.03 914.53
2024-10-20 301.04 5.10 23.74 61.03 160.35 591.63 875.34 975.99 1026.32
2024-10-27 373.88 45.35 63.47 99.70 196.56 701.29 1010.52 1121.48 1176.96
2024-11-03 446.21 41.74 65.72 113.66 242.78 789.28 1124.41 1248.58 1310.67
2024-11-10 531.47 62.30 88.36 140.50 288.03 918.03 1294.76 1435.85 1506.40
2024-11-17 644.11 82.86 113.18 173.83 351.99 1068.09 1474.66 1622.38 1696.25
2024-11-24 746.41 102.84 138.83 210.81 420.24 1212.35 1672.00 1842.98 1928.47
2024-12-01 867.60 143.57 184.84 267.39 499.66 1409.27 1907.98 2089.73 2180.61
2024-12-08 1028.29 193.53 242.70 341.05 609.43 1644.36 2194.52 2396.32 2497.21
2024-12-15 1275.78 339.72 389.48 489.00 783.01 1954.38 2581.01 2813.40 2929.60
2024-12-22 1590.17 453.29 518.40 648.60 1019.99 2336.69 3035.29 3291.23 3419.20
2024-12-29 1853.61 571.41 643.24 786.89 1208.59 2654.05 3428.86 3717.10 3861.22
2025-01-05 2031.15 648.48 729.09 890.33 1357.26 2867.04 3679.65 3982.19 4133.46
2025-01-12 2210.17 777.94 862.15 1030.58 1508.14 3077.57 3897.89 4198.84 4349.31
2025-01-19 2266.46 854.53 937.78 1104.27 1580.78 3150.64 3999.89 4308.48 4462.78
2025-01-26 2433.98 933.55 1022.02 1198.96 1703.26 3346.47 4197.78 4511.64 4668.57
2025-02-02 2575.86 985.46 1077.57 1261.79 1787.35 3517.57 4398.76 4721.59 4883.00
2025-02-09 2597.88 1045.75 1134.90 1313.20 1824.98 3534.00 4411.04 4735.76 4898.12
2025-02-16 2542.49 1068.79 1154.55 1326.08 1822.60 3477.05 4346.26 4667.44 4828.03
2025-02-23 2530.34 1085.95 1170.65 1340.03 1822.81 3439.81 4286.40 4601.18 4758.57
2025-03-02 2535.07 1100.93 1184.40 1351.36 1816.32 3415.73 4234.51 4542.94 4697.15
2025-03-09 2481.92 1132.90 1209.30 1362.11 1790.71 3345.87 4128.59 4423.05 4570.27
2025-03-16 2485.29 1161.08 1233.16 1377.32 1796.11 3319.40 4074.62 4361.94 4505.60
2025-03-23 2513.14 1168.21 1245.35 1399.64 1832.46 3349.48 4074.06 4347.68 4484.48
2025-03-30 2485.94 1144.82 1220.71 1372.51 1807.88 3298.93 3998.96 4257.78 4387.19
2025-04-06 2422.89 1120.30 1196.68 1349.44 1784.43 3199.69 3855.43 4099.21 4221.10
2025-04-13 2325.54 1092.42 1163.43 1305.44 1710.52 3042.31 3627.00 3841.05 3948.08
2025-04-20 2156.54 1026.00 1091.72 1223.17 1592.40 2829.07 3377.86 3583.10 3685.73
2025-04-27 2035.51 980.46 1037.75 1152.32 1490.08 2657.28 3148.47 3329.83 3420.51
2025-05-04 1903.52 894.78 949.20 1058.05 1378.84 2475.87 2936.99 3105.78 3190.17
2025-05-11 1695.40 805.30 850.51 940.93 1220.62 2233.15 2672.30 2835.64 2917.31
2025-05-18 1485.68 653.43 698.11 787.47 1051.67 1969.88 2359.05 2505.94 2579.38
2025-05-25 1317.71 556.44 597.22 678.79 915.63 1756.84 2090.87 2217.57 2280.92
2025-06-01 1152.97 469.12 504.42 575.01 784.91 1553.73 1854.08 1966.92 2023.34
2025-06-08 963.57 372.02 402.41 463.19 641.56 1329.87 1597.29 1694.85 1743.63
2025-06-15 800.21 290.34 314.13 361.72 513.68 1120.29 1359.51 1452.74 1499.35
2025-06-22 651.26 212.97 234.90 278.78 409.17 919.96 1113.78 1189.77 1227.76
2025-06-29 549.11 198.18 213.93 245.44 344.15 758.23 888.15 936.91 961.29
2025-07-06 467.51 205.73 216.57 238.25 311.31 627.34 721.34 759.56 778.68
2025-07-13 378.30 172.38 183.35 205.31 264.02 490.74 546.29 570.62 582.79
2025-07-20 318.98 144.46 152.88 169.71 217.72 392.35 449.03 476.07 489.59
2025-07-27 299.54 129.01 138.76 158.26 211.41 352.59 370.99 378.48 382.22
2025-08-03 287.76 111.06 122.73 146.07 204.80 307.38 328.01 335.42 339.12
2025-08-10 229.65 100.05 109.22 127.56 177.04 266.42 277.11 277.44 277.60
2025-08-17 186.34 73.19 80.45 94.98 138.52 219.56 229.02 230.33 230.98
2025-08-24 162.63 49.25 58.06 75.69 118.52 200.62 214.66 219.22 221.50
2025-08-31 160.27 67.39 74.23 87.91 116.77 186.82 201.18 205.63 207.85
2025-09-07 135.86 43.92 51.93 67.95 110.00 174.52 190.22 192.31 193.36
2025-09-14 114.30 44.26 48.22 56.15 79.57 152.87 180.08 189.75 194.59
2025-09-21 114.20 61.54 64.36 69.99 88.26 154.51 182.24 192.10 197.03
2025-09-28 118.82 65.01 67.98 73.93 92.27 155.07 184.12 194.69 199.97
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