Prediction 2180

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation set 3 for CE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 29.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.19 36.59 53.00 60.77 64.65
2024-10-13 24.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.84 28.86 48.20 57.58 62.27
2024-10-20 22.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.29 24.90 46.30 56.74 61.96
2024-10-27 23.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.36 26.94 54.58 68.00 74.70
2024-11-03 24.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.79 32.48 62.16 76.71 83.99
2024-11-10 17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.05 20.17 74.45 101.42 114.90
2024-11-17 14.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07 18.61 93.54 130.17 148.48
2024-11-24 12.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.11 20.47 117.77 164.86 188.41
2024-12-01 10.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77 22.35 140.70 194.29 221.08
2024-12-08 13.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.54 38.87 198.64 271.33 307.67
2024-12-15 28.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.72 59.90 255.04 343.43 387.62
2024-12-22 29.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.63 83.19 315.87 418.67 470.08
2024-12-29 39.05 0.00 0.00 0.58 20.68 112.66 380.99 497.70 556.06
2025-01-05 65.11 0.00 4.30 13.36 36.93 153.39 458.86 589.34 654.59
2025-01-12 79.63 5.88 11.14 21.65 47.86 195.46 529.19 669.09 739.04
2025-01-19 96.69 4.20 10.67 23.60 57.06 232.25 602.89 757.30 834.51
2025-01-26 125.86 20.39 26.17 37.72 69.20 296.71 697.34 862.92 945.70
2025-02-02 161.05 32.98 38.55 49.69 84.01 367.03 815.96 1000.04 1092.09
2025-02-09 183.69 36.89 42.34 53.24 88.64 430.26 914.36 1110.75 1208.95
2025-02-16 232.07 34.37 42.35 58.31 110.47 520.59 1043.82 1256.09 1362.23
2025-02-23 299.87 34.99 47.14 71.45 144.39 620.79 1171.86 1393.16 1503.81
2025-03-02 357.39 28.18 44.10 75.94 169.77 710.59 1297.52 1532.57 1650.09
2025-03-09 413.77 40.04 57.66 92.90 197.70 790.74 1405.72 1650.59 1773.02
2025-03-16 536.70 73.41 96.50 142.68 282.85 939.92 1585.03 1845.27 1975.39
2025-03-23 656.58 99.95 129.95 189.95 364.19 1106.58 1781.82 2051.48 2186.32
2025-03-30 733.90 107.31 140.19 205.96 402.25 1214.07 1904.78 2177.44 2313.76
2025-04-06 718.37 101.73 135.03 201.61 399.30 1203.00 1877.84 2143.10 2275.73
2025-04-13 709.73 109.22 140.90 204.27 390.56 1176.95 1839.53 2101.39 2232.32
2025-04-20 727.54 141.04 171.93 233.71 416.98 1200.52 1853.54 2110.05 2238.30
2025-04-27 818.69 161.19 196.71 267.73 476.90 1307.34 1965.49 2221.05 2348.83
2025-05-04 860.02 177.16 212.87 284.29 498.18 1352.18 2004.07 2255.82 2381.70
2025-05-11 830.49 175.07 208.36 274.95 480.10 1318.28 1970.37 2225.18 2352.59
2025-05-18 814.87 172.62 206.57 274.48 476.47 1287.66 1910.36 2153.51 2275.08
2025-05-25 807.06 175.17 209.41 277.87 477.80 1266.12 1867.41 2103.56 2221.63
2025-06-01 738.65 164.15 194.03 253.77 430.40 1171.40 1726.78 1943.79 2052.30
2025-06-08 662.20 146.50 172.60 224.80 382.09 1067.66 1583.78 1783.36 1883.15
2025-06-15 603.44 137.42 161.36 209.24 351.45 978.27 1461.46 1649.22 1743.10
2025-06-22 569.01 139.22 161.17 205.06 337.53 913.50 1357.78 1529.78 1615.78
2025-06-29 514.27 123.43 143.64 184.06 303.80 822.66 1237.23 1399.11 1480.05
2025-07-06 435.64 85.57 103.68 139.90 248.98 722.59 1107.90 1258.30 1333.50
2025-07-13 382.24 75.96 92.12 124.44 217.99 646.58 1003.27 1142.61 1212.28
2025-07-20 326.46 78.58 90.95 115.68 187.63 568.45 908.23 1041.43 1108.03
2025-07-27 265.77 61.77 71.98 92.39 152.23 479.25 793.55 917.02 978.76
2025-08-03 232.53 61.34 69.78 86.66 135.96 424.75 702.69 809.79 863.34
2025-08-10 211.37 57.65 65.83 82.20 128.96 374.94 628.39 729.17 779.56
2025-08-17 190.73 50.16 57.80 73.08 116.80 331.64 577.71 677.02 726.68
2025-08-24 162.18 39.11 46.11 60.10 100.54 278.31 507.34 601.49 648.57
2025-08-31 136.65 37.96 44.05 56.22 91.13 236.74 452.75 541.64 586.08
2025-09-07 119.03 21.27 28.01 41.48 78.19 208.43 424.58 515.44 560.87
2025-09-14 107.24 12.65 17.41 26.93 57.79 182.72 305.13 355.91 381.30
2025-09-21 88.26 0.00 4.81 14.86 43.93 157.95 265.63 310.41 332.80
2025-09-28 80.56 0.00 1.56 10.68 39.57 149.71 255.16 297.07 318.03
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